Compassionate-Marksman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved

156

Trades

854

lifetime

Volume

$2.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 05-06 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 62% $-68

Other

24% 100% +$1

Politics

1% 0% $-1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	03-02 09:17
btc updown 15m 1771258500	3	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-16 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$6	15	0	+15	Up	$-6	05-06 06:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	Up	$-6	05-06 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$6	13	0	+13	Up	$-6	05-06 03:10
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	04-25 03:54
BNB Up or Down - April 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-25 03:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	Up	$-6	05-06 06:21
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	Down	+$1	05-06 06:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	Down	$-6	05-06 03:08
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-06 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-06 06:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-06 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Up	$-5	05-06 07:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Down	+$12	05-06 07:10
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	5	$5	88	0	+88	Up	$-5	05-06 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-06 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-06 04:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-06 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-27 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-26 15:37
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-26 12:50
BNB Up or Down - April 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-26 18:52
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-06 05:52
BNB Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-26 18:38
BNB Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-26 20:09
BNB Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-26 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-26 21:22
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-27 12:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 16:04:37	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb8bb5e…
05-06 16:04:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6d4b6f…
05-06 16:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x20ba92…
05-06 15:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xc4269d…
05-06 15:36:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8c2a45…
05-06 15:35:58	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x67936e…
05-06 15:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x683a78…
05-06 15:05:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x809166…
05-06 15:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7cb55e…
05-06 14:53:23	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd7ebae…
05-06 14:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2ff5d0…
05-06 13:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0xec8854…
05-06 13:39:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x326117…
05-06 13:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3f337c…
05-06 13:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x5fbf8b…
05-06 12:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x82026a…
05-06 12:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x9284b0…
05-06 12:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x127295…
05-06 12:34:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x6134e8…
05-06 12:22:24	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x275188…
05-06 12:20:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa8fffe…
05-06 12:08:00	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xcf5d77…
05-06 12:07:58	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x3849a9…
05-06 12:05:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x329859…
05-06 12:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2784f0…
05-06 11:52:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6fc567…
05-06 11:50:32	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x69c908…
05-06 11:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf67691…
05-06 11:37:38	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9b1706…
05-06 11:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2590be…
05-06 11:05:58	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x7d9273…
05-06 11:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0x1c6c96…
05-06 11:05:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4a23b4…
05-06 10:53:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x89978c…
05-06 10:53:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd2dbe3…
05-06 10:53:10	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x17bfbc…
05-06 10:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc2b8b9…
05-06 10:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd8a0a8…
05-06 10:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x5f47a0…
05-06 10:34:56	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe14585…
05-06 10:22:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xd37bb5…
05-06 10:20:42	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x05cd62…
05-06 10:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xbc38c3…
05-06 10:10:40	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd38113…
05-06 10:10:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x06fd93…
05-06 10:10:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0x9eec41…
05-06 10:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x68cb20…
05-06 09:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf9cf43…
05-06 09:48:26	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x304821…
05-06 09:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x75ece1…
05-06 09:23:54	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x92fda0…
05-06 09:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x241feb…
05-06 09:22:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xdaaa37…
05-06 09:07:48	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xf3afae…
05-06 09:07:48	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbcf1ac…
05-06 09:05:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd28027…
05-06 09:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe3ab99…
05-06 08:52:48	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	102	3¢	$3	0x4b624e…
05-06 08:52:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0xa51f1d…
05-06 08:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xb2a04c…
05-06 08:38:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9f917a…
05-06 08:22:08	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x072932…
05-06 08:22:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa4361b…
05-06 08:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf710ff…
05-06 08:09:44	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc0b9cb…
05-06 08:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x73d5ed…
05-06 08:05:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd345a3…
05-06 07:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6bc5b2…
05-06 07:49:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xbcfa37…
05-06 07:49:48	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xf112bb…
05-06 07:43:10	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0xb1072a…
05-06 07:43:10	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2a7e94…
05-06 07:38:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x7eccf2…
05-06 07:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbec461…
05-06 07:24:48	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x443878…
05-06 07:21:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xdbf9af…
05-06 07:21:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9dc787…
05-06 07:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x92a197…
05-06 07:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0xafdfb8…
05-06 07:10:12	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x917132…
05-06 07:10:10	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0xb1a614…
05-06 07:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x34560a…
05-06 07:10:06	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xffd44c…
05-06 07:10:06	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0xb80428…
05-06 07:10:06	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xb70371…
05-06 06:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xdc735c…
05-06 06:52:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x76d77a…
05-06 06:38:36	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x9c64cb…
05-06 06:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0x124fa0…
05-06 06:21:40	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x79775c…
05-06 06:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xeab25f…
05-06 06:21:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xfefafe…
05-06 06:07:38	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x1a3823…
05-06 06:07:38	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0b7062…
05-06 06:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xb20c9e…
05-06 05:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x913b30…
05-06 05:52:50	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x83becc…
05-06 05:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x56ed84…
05-06 04:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xc649dc…
05-06 04:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdeecca…