Colossal-Liar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$165

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

401

Trades

540

lifetime

Volume

$31.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-27 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Other

98% 89% +$53

Politics

1% 50% -$96

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$103

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
uel mta she 2026 07 30 team to advance	2	$324	163	163	+0	MH Maccabi Tel Aviv	+$2	07-30 19:48
ucl hmi stu1 2026 07 28 team to advance	2	$286	146	146	+0	SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz	+$6	07-29 01:54
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-01?	2	$273	140	140	+0	No	+$5	06-02 01:18
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 31?	2	$264	134	134	+0	Yes	+$4	06-01 11:22
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 10?	1	$257	260	0	+260	Yes	+$3	07-11 01:45
Will Panama win on 2026-05-31?	2	$256	130	130	+0	No	+$4	06-01 00:24
Will Iceland win on 2026-05-31?	2	$246	126	126	+0	No	+$6	05-31 16:15
amzn close above 245 on january 27 2026	3	$240	204	114	+90	No	-$15	01-27 19:59
Spread: Australia (-1.5)	2	$237	121	121	+0	Mexico	+$5	05-31 04:28
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	2	$236	155	155	+0	Under	-$40	06-15 16:57
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	2	$230	117	117	+0	Yes	+$4	01-30 20:46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 29?	2	$222	112	112	+0	No	+$2	05-30 13:37
Will Qatar win on 2026-05-28?	2	$205	105	105	+0	No	+$5	05-28 21:56
tsla close above 430 on january 29 2026	2	$203	103	103	+0	No	+$3	01-29 22:45
Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	1	$200	205	0	+205	No	+$5	10-26 00:08
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread home 1pt5	1	$194	204	0	+204	Morocco	+$10	07-04 05:18
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 spread away 1pt5	1	$190	194	0	+194	Colombia	+$4	07-04 01:11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?	2	$185	101	101	+0	Yes	+$5	10-19 17:13
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 19?	2	$182	92	92	+0	No	+$2	10-20 14:48
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 29?	2	$178	92	92	+0	No	-$2	09-28 08:15
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 btts first half	1	$166	190	0	+190	No	+$25	07-03 05:22
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	2	$161	101	101	+0	No	+$25	08-28 02:24
bra int fla 2026 07 29 spread home 2pt5	1	$157	161	0	+161	CR Flamengo	+$4	07-29 22:27
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 spread away 1pt5	1	$154	166	0	+166	Switzerland	+$12	07-03 00:44
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04?	1	$150	163	0	+163	Yes	-$150	06-03 23:01
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	1	$150	152	0	+152	Yes	+$2	09-26 13:56
fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	1	$147	151	0	+151	Colombia	+$4	06-17 23:10
Spread: KRC Genk (-1.5)	1	$147	158	0	+158	Bayer Leverkusen	+$11	07-29 07:10
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	1	$143	155	0	+155	No	+$12	07-02 06:42
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)	1	$143	151	0	+151	Croatia	+$8	06-02 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x89d128…
10-26 00:08:09	Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0xd89493…
10-25 21:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0xb444dc…
10-25 09:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 25?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x745f77…
10-24 21:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8d0f2d…
10-24 13:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x5a9546…
10-23 18:57:59	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	96	94¢	$90	0x40bcaa…
10-23 06:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x6e0272…
10-21 22:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x9712a5…
10-21 22:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x07d617…
10-21 21:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x75cf8a…
10-20 23:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x222e3c…
10-20 21:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 20?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xef2f79…
10-20 19:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0x677d5e…
10-20 14:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 19?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xa855e3…
10-19 17:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	101	94¢	$95	0x7966b3…
10-19 16:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	101	89¢	$90	0x1ebaf9…
10-19 14:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 19?	No	BUY	92	97¢	$90	0x12ca05…
10-18 22:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 18?	Yes	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x6f3460…
10-18 21:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 18?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb4fe11…
10-18 20:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 18?	No	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x4f3a6f…
10-17 22:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0x3f5a49…
10-17 22:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x19136e…
10-17 06:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0x889b38…
10-17 05:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9f2df3…
10-16 20:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xdfdaf5…
10-15 21:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x2e9754…
10-15 21:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xf80e8a…
10-15 20:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xe353cc…
10-15 06:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	92	97¢	$90	0xde2625…
10-15 06:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	91	95¢	$86	0xdd854a…
10-15 03:54:01	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2f1ab0…
10-14 19:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x31710b…
10-14 07:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0xb87b8d…
10-14 07:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0xcbd286…
10-13 21:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xafbfbd…
10-13 14:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	92	97¢	$90	0x54d50e…
10-12 21:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x5b6ca0…
10-12 20:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	96	93¢	$90	0x207540…
10-12 20:41:53	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 12?	No	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0xa409bc…
10-12 07:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x5232d5…
10-11 21:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 11?	No	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x42cf63…
10-11 21:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0x9a4d2d…
10-11 20:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x5ba343…
10-11 03:42:42	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x1cbe5b…
10-10 21:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0xaa9914…
10-10 21:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10?	No	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0xf936ba…
10-10 06:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x963a03…
10-10 01:55:32	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x7535ca…
10-09 19:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x0fe5dd…
10-09 16:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xbfa75b…
10-08 21:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 8?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe55330…
10-08 18:35:14	Will Gemini Argon be released on or prior to October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd50841…
10-07 23:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x517d2b…
10-07 14:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x130f0e…
10-07 13:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 7?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x8a0675…
10-07 00:01:58	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	96	94¢	$90	0x4eb56a…
10-06 19:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x0fd86e…
10-06 14:34:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x659cf6…
10-05 20:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xcd8296…
10-05 15:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x261b2c…
10-05 07:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 5?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xebfee5…
10-05 07:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa0fcbf…
10-05 03:10:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0x200702…
10-05 00:02:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 4?	Yes	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0x1887d2…
10-04 22:36:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x82a212…
10-04 21:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe0d357…
10-04 06:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	93	96¢	$90	0x56b585…
10-04 03:44:01	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 3?	No	BUY	72	92¢	$66	0x0bbdb8…
10-03 22:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 3?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc7722a…
10-03 21:59:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 92-93°F on October 3?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x150963…
10-03 19:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 3?	Yes	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0xe4d465…
10-03 07:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x5a433b…
10-03 07:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 3?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xf5372c…
10-03 02:22:05	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x989b85…
10-02 21:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xfc628d…
10-02 20:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0xa702cf…
10-02 20:07:23	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 2?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd82e9b…
10-02 07:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 2?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x690fa3…
10-02 07:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1897b6…
10-01 21:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 1?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xd0cbad…
10-01 01:12:33	Will Trump praise Nicki Minaj in September?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x25af97…
09-30 20:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 30?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x5baaf2…
09-30 20:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3b27b9…
09-30 05:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 30?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x02bd6d…
09-29 23:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xf1e176…
09-29 01:38:44	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x22a66d…
09-28 21:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 28?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x5369b9…
09-28 21:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 28?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xa8098b…
09-28 15:51:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x71acf3…
09-28 08:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 29?	No	SELL	92	95¢	$88	0xeaefe2…
09-28 07:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x78991f…
09-27 21:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 27?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4a0171…
09-27 21:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 27?	No	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0xc0c790…
09-27 21:00:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x5d9a9a…
09-26 22:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x719796…
09-26 22:26:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9a1768…
09-26 20:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 26?	No	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0xa1f0b4…
09-26 13:56:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	98¢	$150	0x99d90a…
09-26 07:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdae954…