Ill-Fated-Population — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$829

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-17 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

68% 90% +$11

Crypto

31% 100% +$8

Politics

0% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$6.3K	3,158	3,158	+0	Yes	-$35	04-17 20:30
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 0 39	1	$3.1K	3,147	0	+3,147	No	+$35	04-10 06:23
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	1	$3.1K	3,113	0	+3,113	No	+$6	04-09 07:05
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 160 179	1	$3.1K	3,107	0	+3,107	No	+$3	04-07 21:41
xrp above 1pt6 on january 7	1	$1.8K	1,802	0	+1,802	Yes	+$2	01-06 13:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on april 12	1	$1.7K	1,702	0	+1,702	No	+$2	04-11 12:43
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 400 419	1	$1.3K	1,314	0	+1,314	No	+$1	01-01 12:06
solana above 120 on april 12	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	04-11 12:43
will ethereum dip to 2400 december 29 january 4	1	$950	951	0	+951	No	+$1	01-03 09:33
will solana dip to 80 december 29 january 4	1	$900	901	0	+901	No	+$1	01-03 09:32
ethereum above 2400 on january 2	1	$508	509	0	+509	Yes	+$1	01-01 12:08
ethereum above 1800 on april 12	1	$446	447	0	+447	Yes	+$0	04-11 12:44
xrp above 1pt7 on january 9	1	$175	175	0	+175	Yes	+$0	01-09 10:20
bitcoin above 78k on january 2	1	$131	131	0	+131	Yes	+$0	01-01 12:09
will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on january 7	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	01-06 13:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$39	42	0	+42	No	+$3	03-02 18:54
Will Solana reach $190 in October?	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	10-17 16:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	09-27 08:59
will xauusd dip to 3400 in august 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	08-13 06:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 4?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-03 06:15
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in May?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	05-25 05:59
will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 9	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	01-09 10:21
ethereum above 2400 on february 12	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	02-11 19:22
will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026 526	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	07-11 08:19
will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	07-11 08:19
nvda above 140 on february 13 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	02-11 19:22
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-11 19:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$1	500	0	+500	Yes	-$1	03-02 18:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	01-09 10:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 16:05:39	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x347032…
09-27 08:59:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xaa2c3c…
08-13 06:33:21	will xauusd dip to 3400 in august 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6c1a0b…
07-11 08:19:49	will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026 526	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xab6db7…
07-11 08:19:14	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x613b7f…
06-03 06:15:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 4?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x66271b…
05-25 05:59:46	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in May?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc21bbb…
04-17 20:30:42	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	3,158	99¢	$3,114	0x54f8ef…
04-12 19:27:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	3,158	100¢	$3,148	0x9d2643…
04-11 12:44:17	ethereum above 1800 on april 12	Yes	BUY	447	100¢	$446	0x7f7dcf…
04-11 12:43:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on april 12	No	BUY	1,702	100¢	$1,700	0x7b70cf…
04-11 12:43:15	solana above 120 on april 12	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xab627b…
04-10 06:23:31	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 0 39	No	BUY	3,147	99¢	$3,113	0x66695b…
04-09 07:05:37	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	No	BUY	3,113	100¢	$3,107	0x9c9f24…
04-07 21:41:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 160 179	No	BUY	3,107	100¢	$3,104	0xa3ddab…
03-02 18:54:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0x5583b9…
03-02 18:53:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc7ad39…
02-11 19:22:37	ethereum above 2400 on february 12	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb156c4…
02-11 19:22:15	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x96c1d2…
02-11 19:22:05	nvda above 140 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb01b3…
01-09 10:21:56	will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 9	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2d1d80…
01-09 10:20:12	xrp above 1pt7 on january 9	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x50915f…
01-09 10:17:36	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcb855a…
01-06 13:30:45	will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on january 7	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xcba585…
01-06 13:30:15	xrp above 1pt6 on january 7	Yes	BUY	1,802	100¢	$1,800	0x1c0086…
01-03 09:33:29	will ethereum dip to 2400 december 29 january 4	No	BUY	951	100¢	$950	0x6c82cb…
01-03 09:32:23	will solana dip to 80 december 29 january 4	No	BUY	901	100¢	$900	0x6db70b…
01-01 12:09:59	bitcoin above 78k on january 2	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x56ab46…
01-01 12:08:39	ethereum above 2400 on january 2	Yes	BUY	509	100¢	$508	0x851913…
01-01 12:06:21	elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 400 419	No	BUY	1,314	100¢	$1,313	0xda21d5…