Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 04-23 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

44% 100% +$10

Tech

24% — —

Other

18% 0% $-90

Sports

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$279	465	465	+0	open	—	04-21 12:44
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	2	$245	196	193	+3	open	—	04-12 03:51
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$230	290	132	+159	open	—	02-20 20:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	4	$215	303	295	+8	open	—	04-22 05:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$177	1,094	1,094	+0	open	—	04-20 14:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$142	152	152	+0	open	—	04-17 22:10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	3	$135	833	0	+833	open	—	04-21 21:45
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$133	419	419	+0	open	—	04-23 21:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$130	282	282	+0	No	$-90	04-08 00:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$110	88	88	+0	Yes	+$10	03-28 09:10
ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	1	$100	227	0	+227	open	—	03-28 23:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	1	$100	133	0	+133	open	—	01-14 23:23
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$97	189	94	+94	open	—	02-16 06:44
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$86	130	0	+130	open	—	04-21 12:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$59	67	67	+0	open	—	02-28 10:49
houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	1	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	03-28 22:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$36	75	0	+75	open	—	04-23 21:22
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	1	$30	53	0	+53	open	—	01-14 23:07
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$25	96	0	+96	open	—	01-14 23:05
houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	2	$18	71	71	+0	open	—	03-29 17:14
Will the US strike Iraq next?	1	$5	162	0	+162	open	—	01-14 23:21
Will the US strike Syria next?	1	$5	211	0	+211	open	—	01-14 23:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-23 21:22:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	75	48¢	$36	0x96f357…
04-23 21:21:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	419	8¢	$33	0x337ced…
04-22 05:03:38	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	419	24¢	$100	0x9d5204…
04-22 05:02:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	295	36¢	$105	0x138688…
04-21 21:45:52	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	285	19¢	$55	0x7936c0…
04-21 13:28:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	342	15¢	$50	0xf38432…
04-21 12:44:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	130	66¢	$86	0x434d80…
04-21 12:44:04	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	465	17¢	$79	0x980be2…
04-21 12:33:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	15¢	$30	0xad1025…
04-20 17:57:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	84	36¢	$30	0x7a5901…
04-20 17:34:10	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0xe100ad…
04-20 17:34:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0x69e7c4…
04-20 14:54:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x8dfe02…
04-20 14:52:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	1,094	7¢	$77	0x1cc6c8…
04-17 22:10:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	64¢	$48	0x7320b6…
04-17 04:43:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	57¢	$43	0xc67f54…
04-12 03:51:49	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Carlos Ulberg	SELL	193	75¢	$145	0x271da7…
04-12 02:34:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x291670…
04-12 02:28:57	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Carlos Ulberg	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x172f3f…
04-08 00:08:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	282	7¢	$20	0x428de1…
03-29 17:45:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	282	39¢	$110	0x31ef50…
03-29 17:29:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1,094	9¢	$100	0x4841d6…
03-29 17:14:14	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	Yes	SELL	71	11¢	$8	0xc483f2…
03-29 17:13:44	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x7c8084…
03-28 23:01:28	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Joe Pyfer	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xdf37df…
03-28 22:56:22	houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x2f7d83…
03-28 09:10:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	88	68¢	$60	0xeba60c…
02-28 10:49:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	67	44¢	$29	0xca4896…
02-28 10:48:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xa81659…
02-20 20:33:42	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x12483b…
02-20 20:30:52	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	61¢	$80	0x0ecd9b…
02-16 06:44:21	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	92	50¢	$46	0x88abd8…
02-16 06:44:19	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x90a3d3…
02-07 05:18:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x3b2679…
02-07 05:15:25	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	189	26¢	$50	0x3bd4a9…
02-07 05:10:35	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xa26d5e…
01-14 23:23:34	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x1577ba…
01-14 23:21:26	Will the US strike Syria next?	Yes	BUY	211	2¢	$5	0x948cf8…
01-14 23:21:14	Will the US strike Iraq next?	Yes	BUY	162	3¢	$5	0xafa419…
01-14 23:07:20	us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	Yes	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0x936fba…
01-14 23:05:50	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x6fdd36…