Monumental-Circumstance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$85.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

1,007

Trades

2,194

lifetime

Volume

$1.70M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$777

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-25 18:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

98% 60% +$88,943

Sports

2% 72% -$1,572

Crypto

0% 0% -$1,429

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	7	$74.1K	63,966	63,966	+0	No	+$14,106	05-30 18:03
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	3	$62.2K	42,475	42,475	+0	Yes	+$22,695	10-11 17:41
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	6	$51.0K	62,909	34,234	+28,675	Yes	-$280	07-04 18:22
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	3	$46.9K	27,236	27,236	+0	No	+$7,470	07-07 18:04
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	3	$43.4K	29,775	29,775	+0	Yes	+$9,888	07-10 20:53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?	3	$35.6K	24,102	24,102	+0	Yes	+$8,084	09-06 17:22
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	4	$32.9K	41,809	0	+41,809	Yes	+$8,940	07-04 22:02
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-15?	3	$32.3K	18,802	18,802	+0	Yes	+$3,547	10-15 20:27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	4	$26.2K	18,621	18,621	+0	Yes	+$11,003	10-20 20:55
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	3	$24.9K	14,822	14,822	+0	Yes	+$4,197	07-02 20:32
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	3	$22.2K	19,798	19,798	+0	No	+$12,224	07-01 21:23
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	2	$20.4K	45,128	0	+45,128	Yes	+$24,759	07-06 20:15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	2	$17.6K	36,405	0	+36,405	Yes	-$17,600	07-14 20:16
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	4	$16.1K	21,428	21,428	+0	No	-$6,674	07-11 22:47
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	2	$15.4K	41,259	0	+41,259	No	-$15,369	07-14 18:28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	2	$14.5K	9,556	9,556	+0	Yes	+$4,546	10-18 17:30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	4	$13.6K	11,058	11,058	+0	Yes	+$7,636	04-28 20:57
Will PSV win on 2026-08-30?	2	$12.8K	7,755	7,755	+0	Yes	+$2,647	08-30 16:13
fl1 rcl met 2026 03 08 rcl	4	$12.6K	7,094	7,094	+0	Yes	+$1,587	03-08 16:07
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	2	$12.2K	7,246	7,246	+0	Yes	+$2,239	10-25 18:43
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-15?	2	$12.2K	7,463	7,463	+0	Yes	+$2,166	10-15 20:51
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17?	2	$11.4K	6,296	6,296	+0	Yes	+$1,151	10-17 17:22
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?	3	$11.2K	8,224	8,224	+0	Yes	+$5,215	09-19 19:05
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	5	$11.1K	6,709	6,643	+66	Yes	+$2,203	04-08 21:03
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	2	$10.9K	7,353	7,353	+0	Yes	+$894	10-17 17:21
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-10-17?	2	$10.2K	6,003	6,003	+0	No	+$1,797	10-17 17:22
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	2	$10.1K	16,290	0	+16,290	No	-$10,100	10-25 17:44
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?	2	$10.0K	19,046	0	+19,046	No	-$10,000	10-04 19:00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	2	$10.0K	21,568	0	+21,568	No	-$10,000	07-05 21:19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	3	$9.4K	17,240	0	+17,240	Yes	+$7,840	10-13 19:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 18:43:02	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	7,246	100¢	$7,239	0x2724b3…
10-25 17:44:56	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	8,226	62¢	$5,100	0x05166e…
10-25 16:47:47	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	8,065	62¢	$5,000	0x44134d…
10-25 07:34:15	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	7,246	69¢	$5,000	0xb41bea…
10-25 07:29:50	Will PSV win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	9,838	47¢	$4,628	0xf71a6f…
10-25 07:29:50	Will PSV win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	984	48¢	$472	0x74fe9d…
10-22 02:04:02	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	6,351	62¢	$3,957	0x592c75…
10-21 18:02:36	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	10,526	38¢	$4,000	0x6f6f73…
10-21 17:34:23	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	3,030	33¢	$1,000	0xf90be9…
10-21 17:34:06	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	3,030	33¢	$1,000	0x3d5630…
10-21 17:33:14	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	6,351	63¢	$4,000	0x6ec89e…
10-21 17:32:08	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	4,545	44¢	$2,000	0x20e29c…
10-21 15:25:05	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	4,545	44¢	$2,000	0x409f60…
10-20 20:55:24	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xd24bbc…
10-20 20:55:12	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	18,621	100¢	$18,603	0x2d5e84…
10-20 20:50:59	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	SELL	4,651	99¢	$4,605	0x421e57…
10-20 20:30:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5,000	60¢	$3,000	0x6862b6…
10-20 19:53:11	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	4,651	43¢	$2,000	0x66199c…
10-20 19:28:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	6,842	38¢	$2,600	0xa31dfc…
10-20 19:08:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5,682	44¢	$2,500	0x682ccc…
10-20 18:49:12	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	297	100¢	$297	0xa325ef…
10-20 18:06:53	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	6,098	41¢	$2,500	0x9e24f3…
10-20 18:00:35	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	6,383	47¢	$3,000	0x617b95…
10-20 17:57:26	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	4,688	64¢	$3,000	0xbe1af9…
10-20 17:52:12	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	297	67¢	$199	0xacd650…
10-18 17:38:08	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	6,250	80¢	$5,000	0x25ca83…
10-18 17:30:11	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	9,556	100¢	$9,546	0x315e07…
10-18 17:24:35	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	1,279	39¢	$500	0xb962b6…
10-18 16:18:09	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	9,556	52¢	$5,000	0x5a2d0f…
10-18 14:30:14	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	4,255	47¢	$2,000	0x24bdcf…
10-18 13:08:08	Will AZ win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	2,683	60¢	$1,610	0x6229ea…
10-17 19:01:50	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	4,189	82¢	$3,435	0x83824e…
10-17 18:17:29	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	5,085	59¢	$3,000	0x12e2e3…
10-17 17:48:08	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	6,977	43¢	$3,000	0xfc1bfc…
10-17 17:22:18	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	6,296	99¢	$6,251	0x5d3f6c…
10-17 17:22:08	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	6,003	100¢	$5,997	0x53eefe…
10-17 17:21:54	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	7,353	80¢	$5,894	0x3b2552…
10-17 16:54:33	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	3,138	40¢	$1,270	0x989d7c…
10-17 15:37:11	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	6,003	70¢	$4,200	0xaf4732…
10-17 15:28:20	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	4,189	74¢	$3,100	0x524b77…
10-17 15:17:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	3,138	67¢	$2,100	0x07cd83…
10-17 15:06:06	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	6,296	81¢	$5,100	0xa15dd4…
10-17 15:03:41	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	7,353	68¢	$5,000	0x33f198…
10-15 20:51:45	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	7,463	96¢	$7,166	0x285a23…
10-15 20:27:11	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	18,802	95¢	$17,947	0x2b935d…
10-15 19:36:46	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	6,110	74¢	$4,500	0xb1dc7f…
10-15 19:17:37	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	7,463	67¢	$5,000	0x309bf7…
10-15 18:48:46	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	12,692	78¢	$9,900	0x03f5ad…
10-15 17:10:46	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	3,143	67¢	$2,100	0x1ce2dc…
10-14 19:03:24	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	4,954	40¢	$2,000	0x81e2e2…
10-14 18:21:58	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	7,380	50¢	$3,690	0xc4220a…
10-14 18:21:18	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	3,099	71¢	$2,200	0x27e0a6…
10-14 18:16:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	4,423	52¢	$2,300	0x21bcda…
10-13 20:10:03	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	2,633	33¢	$873	0x31effc…
10-13 19:35:22	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	3,030	33¢	$1,000	0x77f4c6…
10-13 19:34:40	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	6,343	39¢	$2,500	0xbbb567…
10-13 19:23:10	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	6,074	61¢	$3,700	0x5f09d5…
10-13 19:03:12	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	769	78¢	$600	0xae0e21…
10-13 19:02:45	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	674	74¢	$500	0xfa008d…
10-13 19:02:13	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	1,190	84¢	$1,000	0xba5d69…
10-13 18:54:00	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	6,727	55¢	$3,700	0xce4c80…
10-13 18:49:58	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	7,867	75¢	$5,900	0x3aaaef…
10-13 18:49:06	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5,556	81¢	$4,500	0xdc4a92…
10-12 19:14:56	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	8,772	57¢	$5,000	0xd55034…
10-11 17:41:45	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	42,475	100¢	$42,433	0x1a1a64…
10-11 15:02:13	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	19,934	47¢	$9,369	0x1ba546…
10-11 13:57:46	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	22,541	46¢	$10,369	0xafe985…
10-09 18:26:43	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	4,306	72¢	$3,100	0xde8ee0…
10-09 17:59:11	Will PSV win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	4,079	76¢	$3,100	0x2557e5…
10-04 19:00:05	Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	9,242	54¢	$5,000	0xb5a9bc…
10-04 18:01:26	Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	9,804	51¢	$5,000	0x8dce44…
09-20 16:16:48	Will AZ win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	SELL	2,564	100¢	$2,562	0xdd53b5…
09-20 13:34:03	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	2,041	49¢	$1,000	0xaee772…
09-20 12:59:49	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	4,225	71¢	$3,000	0x72ed43…
09-20 11:19:18	Will AZ win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	2,564	78¢	$2,000	0x42db58…
09-20 09:01:39	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	2,601	77¢	$2,000	0x81dccc…
09-19 20:30:29	Will Willem II Tilburg win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	1,667	24¢	$400	0x5fd8f3…
09-19 20:01:05	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	4,861	72¢	$3,500	0xab0512…
09-19 20:01:03	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	5,142	72¢	$3,700	0xd24720…
09-19 20:00:39	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	3,059	65¢	$2,000	0x0d2386…
09-19 19:05:21	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	SELL	8,224	100¢	$8,215	0x0d7631…
09-19 16:51:57	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	2,818	35¢	$1,000	0x7f7e43…
09-19 15:36:38	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	5,000	60¢	$3,000	0xb2a46c…
09-19 15:29:20	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	5,405	37¢	$2,000	0xa5a7ec…
09-18 20:15:21	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	SELL	2,000	18¢	$360	0x68b1ad…
09-18 18:48:49	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	2,000	25¢	$500	0x86cf56…
09-18 12:55:05	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	1,562	64¢	$1,000	0x7ee3c8…
09-14 16:03:04	Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	3,125	64¢	$2,000	0x012b3e…
09-13 16:57:07	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	2,344	64¢	$1,500	0xb522f9…
09-13 16:52:21	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	SELL	9,653	49¢	$4,777	0x7ae9fc…
09-13 15:57:39	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	5,209	19¢	$1,000	0xcc5f63…
09-13 15:34:36	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	4,444	45¢	$2,000	0x56161c…
09-12 18:40:13	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	2,907	86¢	$2,500	0x3234fb…
09-12 18:29:06	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	1,639	61¢	$1,000	0x17c6b9…
09-12 18:15:45	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	3,226	62¢	$2,000	0x6469cf…
09-12 18:14:54	Will NEC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0xe482b0…
09-12 18:06:24	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xcdc7e6…
09-12 18:04:48	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x4ac022…
09-12 18:04:31	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xdc40f3…
09-12 18:04:24	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x26c040…