Productive-Efficacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

2,884

Trades

93,960

lifetime

Volume

$491.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-15 22:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% -$3,203

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	37	$1.9K	582	1,300	-718	Up	-$1	05-14 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	25	$1.8K	468	1,400	-932	Down	-$3	05-14 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	34	$1.8K	771	1,100	-329	Up	+$4	05-14 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	19	$1.8K	1,841	0	+1,841	Down	+$18	05-12 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	24	$1.6K	448	1,200	-752	Up	-$3	05-14 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	22	$1.6K	631	1,100	-469	Down	-$113	05-14 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	22	$1.6K	1,607	0	+1,607	Down	+$16	05-12 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	24	$1.6K	712	900	-188	Down	+$5	05-14 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	23	$1.5K	281	1,300	-1,019	Down	-$21	05-14 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	56	$1.5K	1,184	1,300	-116	Up	-$543	05-14 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	13	$1.5K	467	1,167	-700	Down	-$137	05-14 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	23	$1.5K	382	1,100	-718	Down	-$5	05-14 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	26	$1.4K	368	1,100	-732	Down	-$4	05-14 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	71	$1.4K	1,413	0	+1,413	Down	+$14	05-12 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	42	$1.4K	1,369	0	+1,369	Up	+$14	05-12 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	26	$1.4K	348	1,700	-1,352	Down	-$683	05-14 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$1.3K	1,334	0	+1,334	Down	+$13	05-12 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	10	$1.3K	1,321	0	+1,321	Down	+$13	05-12 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	38	$1.3K	1,295	0	+1,295	Down	+$13	05-12 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$1.3K	1,295	0	+1,295	Down	+$13	05-12 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	98	$1.3K	1,277	0	+1,277	Down	+$13	05-12 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	6	$1.3K	1,269	0	+1,269	Down	+$13	05-12 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	16	$1.2K	383	878	-495	Up	-$1	05-14 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	14	$1.2K	1,256	0	+1,256	Down	+$13	05-12 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	15	$1.2K	1,244	0	+1,244	Down	+$12	05-12 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$1.2K	1,227	0	+1,227	Down	+$12	05-12 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	15	$1.2K	1,215	0	+1,215	Down	+$12	05-12 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	16	$1.2K	1,208	0	+1,208	Down	+$12	05-12 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	37	$1.2K	1,202	0	+1,202	Up	+$12	05-12 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	6	$1.2K	1,194	0	+1,194	Up	+$12	05-12 22:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 22:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xdf1569…
05-15 22:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa1f447…
05-15 22:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x46f05f…
05-15 22:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x45767a…
05-15 22:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3b5b0e…
05-15 22:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x166da9…
05-15 22:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb06f57…
05-15 22:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x609b51…
05-15 22:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbab158…
05-15 22:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xe18ff5…
05-15 22:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x85c59e…
05-15 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe33e07…
05-15 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0xd513ba…
05-15 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x291c93…
05-15 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x118874…
05-15 22:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0xfb8ab5…
05-15 22:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe5c7cc…
05-15 22:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc87765…
05-15 22:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbb6e0f…
05-15 22:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb1eef6…
05-15 22:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x96b6c0…
05-15 22:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7c3133…
05-15 22:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x5c74c6…
05-15 22:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x53e5d3…
05-15 22:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c7cab…
05-15 22:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x48da44…
05-15 22:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x37ef52…
05-15 22:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x10d3e2…
05-15 22:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0x034521…
05-15 22:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x93244d…
05-15 22:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x28cf42…
05-15 22:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x70d220…
05-15 22:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4ada90…
05-15 21:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5c771f…
05-15 21:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1bc269…
05-15 21:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xb3816d…
05-15 21:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xb2394a…
05-15 21:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x9056d0…
05-15 21:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x6d1032…
05-15 21:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5517d4…
05-15 21:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x53f481…
05-15 21:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x992cc2…
05-15 21:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x185277…
05-15 21:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa65319…
05-15 21:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa4b6fe…
05-15 21:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x86567f…
05-15 21:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x2d92c1…
05-15 21:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf4f7d6…
05-15 21:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdb5b5c…
05-15 21:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8cd7f7…
05-15 21:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb762fc…
05-15 21:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x6134a4…
05-15 21:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x628303…
05-15 21:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb8860a…
05-15 21:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x040c98…
05-15 21:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb15682…
05-15 21:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xd43ef0…
05-15 21:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x87a327…
05-15 21:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	64	1¢	$1	0x3808ce…
05-15 21:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xfd063c…
05-15 21:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0x962ab8…
05-15 21:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe908d1…
05-15 21:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd19394…
05-15 21:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x564fca…
05-15 21:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4a00a7…
05-15 21:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x25f441…
05-15 21:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb155c1…
05-15 21:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x82250d…
05-15 21:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x6f7955…
05-15 21:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x0aac4d…
05-15 21:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbc1025…
05-15 21:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x882889…
05-15 21:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xea012e…
05-15 21:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd2edce…
05-15 21:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd2e939…
05-15 21:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x45355d…
05-15 21:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3b128f…
05-15 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdd5b81…
05-15 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc3577b…
05-15 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb4d80c…
05-15 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb2237c…
05-15 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa786af…
05-15 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x93eb07…
05-15 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8afad3…
05-15 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8828e8…
05-15 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x49ae55…
05-15 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x3cc2cd…
05-15 21:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	59	1¢	$1	0xbe7f19…
05-15 21:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xaaa150…
05-15 21:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x952474…
05-15 21:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0b1929…
05-15 21:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x460f6c…
05-15 21:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x4569cc…
05-15 21:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xea7a87…
05-15 21:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0xc4631e…
05-15 21:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x829aef…
05-15 21:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70181b…
05-15 21:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xf81146…
05-15 21:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x67c12c…
05-15 21:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa3a37f…