Truthful-Fedelini — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$2.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-31 06:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

79% 97% +$20

Politics

16% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in ankara on march 18 2026 14c	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	03-18 10:52
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-05 03:59
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt6	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-03 13:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$1	05-22 01:16
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	05-29 16:42
Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$45	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 03:05
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$1	04-01 05:05
will xo kitty season 3 be the 2 global netflix show this week	2	$44	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 18:53
highest temperature in dallas on march 16 2026 62forhigher	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-17 01:59
Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by less than 5%?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-01 07:59
Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-18 05:40
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-20 01:56
will union party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-26 22:33
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-16 21:30
will something very bad is going to happen season 1 be the 2 us netflix show this week	2	$37	19	19	+0	Yes	+$1	04-07 19:00
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	03-27 08:12
Will Oh Joong-ki win the 2026 Gyeongsangbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	06-04 02:46
highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 42 43f	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-17 03:25
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	07-15 05:37
will mrbeasts latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	04-10 07:50
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be greater than 13m	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-29 07:18
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-15 11:06
highest temperature in dallas on march 19 2026 92forhigher	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-19 19:15
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$33	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	03-30 18:08
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-12 16:00
will mrbeasts video get between 70 and 72 million views on day 3	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-21 08:07
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	1	$28	29	0	+29	No	+$1	07-04 18:49
highest temperature in shanghai on march 18 2026 14c	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-17 21:45
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 12:14
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	03-16 02:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 06:05:15	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x171a69…
08-31 04:04:31	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x30f7fd…
08-31 02:41:00	Will DeepSeek be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb67a1b…
07-15 05:37:53	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xc5b165…
07-14 01:58:22	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xc7502e…
07-04 18:49:10	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x4a31f5…
06-25 16:01:01	Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x64497d…
06-25 13:25:23	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcbcb97…
06-25 12:14:58	Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x39195e…
06-18 05:40:59	Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x94f92e…
06-15 11:06:25	Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb02cd7…
06-15 00:06:07	Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf286ee…
06-07 20:01:54	will apple announce a new product line during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x30d3d1…
06-04 02:46:37	Will Oh Joong-ki win the 2026 Gyeongsangbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb37023…
06-02 07:20:23	Will Oh Joong-ki win the 2026 Gyeongsangbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x1d7d6a…
06-01 07:59:27	Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by less than 5%?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x218d98…
06-01 00:01:39	Will Richard Montgomery win the CA-01 Special Election?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb0418a…
05-29 17:08:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2a171e…
05-29 16:42:22	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x38c109…
05-29 01:29:53	Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by less than 5%?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf3de05…
05-22 01:16:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xda9b39…
05-20 21:42:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x3b033e…
05-20 01:56:59	Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf83a3f…
05-18 00:26:45	Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xbf0b23…
05-16 21:30:07	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x050086…
05-15 18:47:04	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x752bda…
05-12 16:00:18	Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd2b62a…
05-11 15:41:04	Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd7ff1e…
05-07 20:42:41	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x47f438…
05-05 03:59:56	Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xe7419b…
05-05 03:05:42	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xec376a…
05-04 22:09:50	Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xe1cc6b…
05-03 13:38:56	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xc439aa…
04-27 08:22:48	Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa8dc7e…
04-23 00:00:18	will choosin texas ella langley be the 1 song on us spotify this week 894	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x73b31c…
04-21 08:07:46	will mrbeasts video get between 70 and 72 million views on day 3	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4bfa69…
04-20 19:19:18	will mrbeasts video get between 70 and 72 million views on day 3	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xa955ce…
04-14 18:53:42	will xo kitty season 3 be the 2 global netflix show this week	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa9202e…
04-13 17:37:57	will xo kitty season 3 be the 2 global netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x1ab79b…
04-10 07:50:49	will mrbeasts latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x7e0df1…
04-09 22:17:55	will mrbeasts latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x4f8ac4…
04-07 19:00:19	will something very bad is going to happen season 1 be the 2 us netflix show this week	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x202c63…
04-06 21:03:25	will something very bad is going to happen season 1 be the 2 us netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xa84a79…
04-03 13:06:03	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt6	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x62c509…
04-02 12:30:17	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt6	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x4713ed…
04-01 05:05:53	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x5defcc…
03-30 23:08:55	will russia capture all of ternuvate by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x451cf4…
03-30 18:08:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xc33cb3…
03-30 16:06:33	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x5cd871…
03-30 03:58:24	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x01c3ee…
03-30 00:16:32	ukraine hits moscow by march 31 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x81a04f…
03-29 07:18:20	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be greater than 13m	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x25eae0…
03-29 00:54:52	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be greater than 13m	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x13efdd…
03-27 08:12:03	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x716134…
03-26 22:33:39	will union party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd44051…
03-26 17:19:53	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x26d03e…
03-25 15:05:09	will union party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xcd18c1…
03-19 19:15:11	highest temperature in dallas on march 19 2026 92forhigher	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x4038b0…
03-19 12:10:55	highest temperature in milan on march 20 2026 20corhigher	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x2decd4…
03-18 17:08:29	highest temperature in dallas on march 19 2026 92forhigher	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x56d56d…
03-18 10:52:35	highest temperature in ankara on march 18 2026 14c	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd3ab9e…
03-17 21:45:45	highest temperature in shanghai on march 18 2026 14c	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2f4c40…
03-17 12:06:59	highest temperature in ankara on march 18 2026 14c	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcdf827…
03-17 11:34:43	highest temperature in chicago on march 17 2026 20 21f	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xafbff0…
03-17 03:25:25	highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 42 43f	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x714b82…
03-17 01:59:19	highest temperature in dallas on march 16 2026 62forhigher	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xefc9ea…
03-16 17:01:51	highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x47f38e…
03-16 12:01:31	highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 42 43f	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x64f021…
03-16 05:12:15	highest temperature in dallas on march 16 2026 62forhigher	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdaf718…
03-16 02:19:07	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe83702…
03-16 01:07:43	will avatar fire and ash win best visual effects at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3b6878…
03-16 01:04:45	will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x154c89…
03-16 00:32:01	will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x43386b…
03-15 23:31:49	will kpop demon hunters win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa82487…
03-15 23:20:47	will inga ibsdotter lilleaas win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5f7e35…
03-14 00:00:33	will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xba1e14…
03-14 00:00:33	will kpop demon hunters win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x21148c…
03-14 00:00:33	will avatar fire and ash win best visual effects at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x150a7b…
03-14 00:00:21	will inga ibsdotter lilleaas win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x76efda…
03-14 00:00:19	will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf5d457…
03-14 00:00:19	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x31ac21…
03-11 12:39:09	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt4 or more in february	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x74fa0a…
03-11 12:31:03	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 in february	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf095ac…
03-11 12:30:31	will annual inflation increase by 2pt3 in february 467 579 977 165	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xeb76f2…
03-10 00:28:25	will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 271	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x22a17c…
03-10 00:00:39	will annual inflation increase by 2pt3 in february 467 579 977 165	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf3187c…
03-10 00:00:39	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 in february	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x787010…
03-10 00:00:39	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt4 or more in february	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x5133d9…
03-09 00:42:21	will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 271	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7a1d71…
03-07 21:00:51	will medina win melodifestivalen 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xca2f28…
03-06 13:45:59	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt5	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfc8f8f…
03-06 00:01:03	will smash into pieces win melodifestivalen 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa3efcc…
03-06 00:01:03	will medina win melodifestivalen 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x280f06…
03-05 00:30:27	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt5	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x2d6d98…
03-04 03:18:05	Will Donald May be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbd8c28…
03-04 01:55:51	will jasmine crockett win the texas democratic senate primary by 5 or more	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9cb961…
03-02 21:42:05	Will Donald May be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5f48a2…
03-02 13:45:31	will jasmine crockett win the texas democratic senate primary by 5 or more	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xcc291c…
03-01 18:05:31	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 1 2026 31c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4d55f9…
03-01 13:55:59	highest temperature in miami on march 1 2026 75forbelow	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8971c0…