Familiar-Letter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

290

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$3.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:16
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 09:50
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 09:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:28
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:02
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:09
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 16:30
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 06:04
highest temperature in istanbul on april 2 2026 19corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 17:44
highest temperature in tokyo on april 2 2026 16c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 13:09
highest temperature in denver on april 1 2026 54 55f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 01:32
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:07
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:28
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb61c37…
10-30 14:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x890948…
10-29 17:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c3584…
10-29 09:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5290ec…
10-28 07:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x572958…
10-27 08:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e663f…
10-26 09:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x244118…
10-24 11:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08dc8d…
10-22 10:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea81ce…
10-20 07:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5f67e…
10-19 09:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa997d…
10-18 09:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe021fc…
10-17 14:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc17f67…
10-16 09:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2a065…
10-15 09:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x932bf5…
10-14 09:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc35327…
10-13 14:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa21ecd…
10-13 09:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf452e8…
10-12 09:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2db716…
10-11 08:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc25505…
10-08 09:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9de39a…
10-07 15:20:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x601195…
10-06 08:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01818b…
10-04 15:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x864a25…
10-03 08:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ee1f3…
10-02 11:39:32	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4673af…
10-01 08:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6a1ee…
09-30 12:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84324a…
09-29 14:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66a916…
09-28 09:47:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1689ed…
09-27 08:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa77006…
09-25 12:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf09aee…
09-24 08:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb87b53…
09-23 07:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01c80c…
09-22 08:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73fadd…
09-21 09:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b321f…
09-20 05:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa616d4…
09-19 08:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03aa59…
09-18 06:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb48fd8…
09-17 04:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8807d9…
09-16 08:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3dcf6f…
09-15 09:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacf213…
09-14 08:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23e36d…
09-12 16:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54fe98…
09-11 07:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee31c3…
09-10 08:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8cd3d…
09-09 09:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x573c16…
09-08 15:37:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e84ea…
09-08 06:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x727011…
09-07 08:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58272e…
09-06 17:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c08c7…
09-06 09:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4db1b4…
09-05 01:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c1651…
09-03 09:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb571a…
09-02 07:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c7991…
08-30 08:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaaf925…
08-29 08:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc87847…
08-28 08:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82c2f3…
08-27 08:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x407919…
08-26 08:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35cbeb…
08-25 09:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62df90…
08-24 09:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd77363…
08-23 14:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21854a…
08-22 08:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x948b0e…
08-21 07:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee5fbf…
08-20 08:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a49d2…
08-19 11:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3be37b…
08-18 08:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb86cce…
08-17 07:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f95a8…
08-16 11:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d87db…
08-15 09:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x412793…
08-14 06:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ed54e…
08-13 07:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe4a5e…
08-12 07:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17bab4…
08-11 06:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9525ea…
08-10 07:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ae183…
08-09 01:24:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5fca78…
08-08 07:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x477fb8…
08-07 01:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x330e06…
08-06 06:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x422f09…
08-05 07:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53611c…
08-04 08:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95b64c…
08-03 07:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c7961…
08-02 01:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe15e3a…
08-01 07:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x106126…
07-31 09:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fbc4e…
07-30 06:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42d6b6…
07-29 07:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68be87…
07-28 06:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d765c…
07-27 08:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdcfe6d…
07-26 07:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x818380…
07-25 08:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2156a…
07-24 10:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7b013…
07-23 08:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb76492…
07-22 01:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x406178…
07-21 09:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16467a…
07-21 00:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b5073…
07-20 07:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6972ba…
07-18 23:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03fce5…
07-18 00:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x875f66…