Mild-Flugelhorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

Trades

30,641

lifetime

Volume

$72.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-16 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 35% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 253 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	Yes		+291	$13	4¢	$10	$-3	06-16 21:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772037000	363	$857	886	841	+45	open	—	02-25 16:40
btc updown 15m 1771898400	209	$688	805	588	+217	open	—	02-24 02:10
btc updown 15m 1772118900	135	$573	359	386	-27	open	—	02-26 15:26
btc updown 15m 1771950600	160	$468	367	279	+88	open	—	02-24 16:40
btc updown 15m 1771983900	137	$461	363	327	+36	open	—	02-25 01:58
btc updown 15m 1772136000	91	$415	289	294	-5	open	—	02-26 20:05
btc updown 15m 1771991100	140	$364	337	331	+6	open	—	02-25 03:55
btc updown 15m 1772124300	80	$353	309	189	+120	open	—	02-26 16:48
btc updown 15m 1772119800	116	$351	399	286	+113	open	—	02-26 15:40
btc updown 15m 1772037900	115	$346	330	283	+47	open	—	02-25 16:55
btc updown 15m 1771954200	176	$343	360	349	+11	open	—	02-24 17:40
btc updown 15m 1772204400	92	$341	315	214	+101	open	—	02-27 15:12
btc updown 15m 1771906500	182	$326	355	302	+53	open	—	02-24 04:18
btc updown 15m 1771952400	142	$311	350	213	+136	open	—	02-24 17:04
btc updown 15m 1772121600	114	$303	397	259	+138	open	—	02-26 16:10
btc updown 15m 1772136900	70	$301	212	210	+2	open	—	02-26 20:29
btc updown 15m 1770300900	1	$300	411	0	+411	open	—	02-05 14:18
btc updown 15m 1771989300	88	$300	232	236	-4	open	—	02-25 03:25
btc updown 15m 1772462700	98	$297	245	186	+59	open	—	03-02 14:56
btc updown 15m 1772154900	105	$291	307	283	+24	open	—	02-27 01:25
btc updown 15m 1771949700	115	$291	260	214	+46	open	—	02-24 16:26
btc updown 15m 1771959600	109	$273	230	194	+36	open	—	02-24 19:11
eth updown 15m 1772423100	77	$268	207	168	+39	open	—	03-02 03:59
btc updown 15m 1771948800	122	$262	285	212	+73	open	—	02-24 16:08
btc updown 15m 1771956000	122	$250	288	235	+53	open	—	02-24 18:08
btc updown 15m 1771992000	87	$249	285	148	+138	open	—	02-25 04:10
btc updown 15m 1771957800	94	$248	242	175	+67	open	—	02-24 18:35
btc updown 15m 1771982100	80	$245	216	171	+45	open	—	02-25 01:23
btc updown 15m 1772036100	84	$243	202	199	+3	open	—	02-25 16:26
btc updown 15m 1771965000	93	$240	231	173	+58	open	—	02-24 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 21:29:43	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	Yes	BUY	291	4¢	$13	0x2db29e…
06-15 16:20:03	btc updown 5m 1781540400	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xbf1ff2…
06-15 15:54:55	btc updown 5m 1781538900	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb695a8…
06-15 15:52:57	btc updown 5m 1781538600	Down	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x0d9534…
06-15 15:49:33	btc updown 5m 1781538600	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xcc1ec5…
06-14 21:21:58	btc updown 5m 1781472000	Down	SELL	39	68¢	$27	0x7d4ee5…
06-14 21:04:15	btc updown 5m 1781470800	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x1d760d…
06-14 20:40:55	btc updown 5m 1781469600	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xd99e6b…
06-14 19:03:00	btc updown 5m 1781463600	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xea3daf…
06-14 17:54:12	btc updown 5m 1781459400	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xbacfa1…
06-13 23:55:46	btc updown 15m 1781394300	Up	SELL	36	24¢	$9	0xe893a6…
06-13 23:52:00	btc updown 15m 1781394300	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xfafdb6…
06-13 13:41:45	btc updown 15m 1781357400	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xfd2084…
06-12 22:57:55	btc updown 15m 1781304300	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0ff421…
06-12 21:20:21	btc updown 15m 1781298900	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc92d13…
06-12 20:18:21	btc updown 15m 1781295300	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x8ae2d5…
06-12 18:03:21	btc updown 15m 1781287200	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x9976e6…
06-12 16:39:49	btc updown 15m 1781281800	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x01ac36…
06-12 16:09:25	btc updown 15m 1781280000	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x45c7d6…
06-08 22:34:43	btc updown 15m 1780957800	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x98d19e…
06-08 20:32:54	btc updown 15m 1780950600	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x4b1a2a…
06-05 22:56:09	btc updown 15m 1780699500	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5a6934…
06-05 20:50:27	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x64642f…
06-05 20:23:51	btc updown 15m 1780690500	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5c51d5…
06-05 16:43:31	btc updown 15m 1780677000	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xb56f73…
06-05 16:39:10	btc updown 15m 1780677000	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3bd49d…
06-05 16:34:24	btc updown 15m 1780677000	Down	SELL	9	71¢	$7	0xb8d1f0…
06-05 16:33:18	btc updown 15m 1780677000	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x62e370…
06-05 16:28:58	btc updown 15m 1780676100	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8e6e13…
06-04 21:04:12	btc updown 15m 1780606800	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6a4e3e…
06-04 17:19:55	btc updown 15m 1780593300	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x683377…
06-03 07:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x7a39a2…
06-03 07:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xa6a957…
06-02 22:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6978d3…
06-02 22:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xf33f35…
06-02 22:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x66994d…
06-02 22:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x8f1779…
06-02 22:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xcb604c…
06-02 21:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xdcd509…
06-02 21:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xeaaa40…
06-02 19:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfebf86…
06-02 19:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xac8de3…
06-02 19:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x1dd2f9…
06-02 19:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x959064…
06-02 19:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0b00ba…
06-02 19:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa7a9cc…
06-02 19:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9dedb5…
06-02 18:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x158f4c…
06-02 18:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x45c560…
06-02 15:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xcc581e…
06-02 15:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x99d3ac…
06-02 15:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xb7cce8…
06-02 15:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xaff826…
06-02 03:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0782d3…
06-02 01:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1122c2…
06-02 01:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6ceec4…
06-02 01:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x3d44a9…
06-02 01:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x178dc7…
06-02 01:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xe27b71…
06-02 01:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb271c7…
06-02 00:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x3bef06…
06-01 23:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa4c485…
06-01 23:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf8d9c1…
06-01 23:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x141f89…
06-01 23:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xfdd594…
06-01 23:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x05bc6d…
06-01 23:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x4b8a49…
06-01 22:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd32e71…
06-01 22:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6bb623…
06-01 22:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7daf8c…
06-01 22:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xfec2ef…
06-01 21:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x0b689f…
06-01 21:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xc71297…
06-01 21:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xafddca…
06-01 21:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa385cd…
06-01 21:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x5cce0a…
06-01 21:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb77d2e…
06-01 20:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x86ce59…
06-01 20:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5dbb46…
06-01 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x45f708…
06-01 13:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x3625e9…
06-01 13:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7bba0a…
05-31 23:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x89ccbf…
05-31 23:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x396990…
05-31 23:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaf750c…
05-31 23:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x32b9e2…
05-31 23:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5322b7…
05-31 23:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x84b07d…
05-31 23:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x4859f1…
05-31 16:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7f4b18…
05-31 16:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xba7327…
05-31 16:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x0b23db…
05-31 16:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x27b2de…
05-30 09:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb06d4a…
05-30 09:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x571e21…
05-30 00:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x48fc20…
05-29 09:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xf39138…
05-29 09:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x6dabe3…
05-28 21:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6b95d3…
05-28 21:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xad4ad8…