Substantial-Sigh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$503

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

429

Trades

725

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-10 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 50% +$140

Other

46% 76% -$640

Politics

1% 91% -$9

Sports

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 6pm et	13	$712	1,103	100	+1,003	Up	-$613	06-27 22:58
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 12pm et	17	$537	779	50	+729	Down	+$252	06-27 16:14
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 16c	7	$470	4,915	0	+4,915	No	-$470	04-19 16:29
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 5pm et	11	$341	897	0	+897	Down	+$556	06-27 21:08
highest temperature in miami on march 22 2026 84 85f	2	$202	109	109	+0	No	+$2	03-22 12:14
solana up or down june 14 2026 2pm et	12	$170	94	94	+0	Up	+$17	06-14 19:13
bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 9am et	3	$117	61	61	+0	Down	+$5	08-10 14:09
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 15c	3	$111	832	0	+832	Yes	-$111	04-19 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$110	63	63	+0	Up	+$2	08-10 07:44
ethereum up or down august 10 2026 9am et	2	$109	61	61	+0	Down	+$13	08-10 14:09
bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 5am et	2	$107	62	62	+0	Down	+$16	08-10 09:56
highest temperature in miami on march 22 2026 88forhigher	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	03-22 15:34
highest temperature in taipei on april 13 2026 35c	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	04-12 19:10
highest temperature in wellington on march 22 2026 22corhigher	1	$100	104	0	+104	No	+$4	03-21 11:18
highest temperature in wellington on march 27 2026 24c	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	03-26 20:14
highest temperature in denver on march 30 2026 82 83f	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	03-30 20:28
highest temperature in dallas on march 22 2026 96 97f	1	$100	105	0	+105	No	+$5	03-22 15:34
highest temperature in seattle on april 1 2026 56 57f	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	03-31 08:37
highest temperature in miami on march 22 2026 86 87f	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	03-22 15:34
highest temperature in san francisco on april 16 2026 70 71f	1	$100	105	0	+105	No	+$5	04-16 11:56
highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 32corhigher	1	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	04-09 08:24
highest temperature in seattle on april 10 2026 64 65f	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	04-10 11:29
highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	04-12 10:34
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 11:00 UTC	6	$96	103	103	+0	Up	+$5	07-23 11:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 10:30 UTC	2	$89	116	115	+2	Down	-$11	02-18 10:31
bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 8am et	3	$85	57	57	+0	Down	+$16	06-28 12:41
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	6	$80	100	0	+100	Up	-$80	05-23 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$78	102	0	+102	Up	+$23	05-23 13:47
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$78	101	0	+101	Up	+$23	05-23 13:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 08:00 UTC	4	$77	57	57	+0	Down	-$3	06-13 08:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 17:39:10	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xe7773c…
08-10 17:39:07	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	64	33¢	$21	0xfb077e…
08-10 14:09:48	ethereum up or down august 10 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x0296bf…
08-10 14:09:30	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x3f5f3c…
08-10 13:47:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0xf5aabf…
08-10 13:46:12	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9d2cc6…
08-10 13:46:09	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	61	91¢	$56	0xc9f71f…
08-10 13:45:54	ethereum up or down august 10 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	61	79¢	$48	0x84c260…
08-10 09:56:09	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x35f0c9…
08-10 09:28:25	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	62	74¢	$46	0x8a9306…
08-10 08:08:57	ethereum up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x1e62cc…
08-10 08:08:55	ethereum up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0xc9bb88…
08-10 08:08:37	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x37340d…
08-10 08:08:36	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	32	35¢	$11	0xcff592…
08-10 07:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	63	89¢	$56	0x83e1f7…
08-10 07:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	63	85¢	$54	0x2a0415…
08-08 22:10:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x29b8f7…
08-08 21:51:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x81d5fc…
08-08 20:20:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x63cea4…
08-08 19:55:57	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xe45de9…
08-08 19:55:21	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb62424…
08-08 19:35:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xd18edd…
08-08 19:35:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x2a5e3f…
08-08 19:33:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1e5573…
08-08 19:32:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4dc595…
08-08 19:13:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xd0610b…
08-08 19:13:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb54566…
08-08 19:06:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x84b4ff…
08-08 13:43:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x99c507…
08-08 13:40:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd89364…
08-04 06:38:44	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0x1144ee…
08-04 06:25:32	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x63171e…
08-04 06:10:56	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x598c5b…
08-04 06:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	52	11¢	$6	0x2abe7f…
08-04 06:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4?	Yes	SELL	48	54¢	$26	0xe0733e…
08-04 06:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4?	Yes	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0x91bc05…
08-04 06:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4?	Yes	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x665852…
08-03 18:08:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0xb39880…
08-03 18:07:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0x7d57f8…
08-03 17:41:18	ethereum up or down august 3 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x533295…
08-03 17:35:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x2d6963…
08-03 17:34:38	ethereum up or down august 3 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xb64d5f…
08-03 17:34:35	ethereum up or down august 3 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	32	29¢	$9	0xa7b4fe…
08-03 17:33:21	ethereum up or down august 3 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x29fc0b…
08-03 17:32:50	ethereum up or down august 3 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x6059d5…
08-03 17:32:36	ethereum up or down august 3 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0x424516…
08-03 13:39:15	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xc6f53a…
08-03 13:39:06	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x4ff905…
08-03 13:37:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0xac167a…
08-03 12:22:36	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x983502…
08-02 16:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2040af…
08-02 16:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x45a5c8…
08-02 16:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x73317a…
08-02 15:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x01972a…
08-02 15:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x900fef…
08-01 22:32:00	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$4	0xf4d3d5…
08-01 22:26:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x626041…
08-01 22:20:56	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x66199e…
08-01 22:20:26	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x7e83d1…
08-01 22:18:32	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x62df04…
08-01 21:50:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x05830d…
08-01 21:41:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x933764…
08-01 21:02:26	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x739220…
08-01 21:01:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xe2df40…
08-01 21:01:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xc8a82a…
08-01 21:00:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd47a25…
08-01 20:43:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x26201d…
08-01 20:42:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xa0422d…
08-01 20:41:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x3e6f81…
08-01 20:41:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x5aa7d8…
08-01 19:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xb6776b…
08-01 19:54:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x00c266…
08-01 19:53:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x1b7209…
08-01 19:52:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xfcc97c…
08-01 19:51:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x68983f…
08-01 19:42:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x432528…
08-01 19:42:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x4a5f7c…
08-01 19:42:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x5bc97f…
08-01 19:39:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xf4e856…
08-01 18:54:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xf6322d…
08-01 18:53:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 18:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x61c660…
08-01 18:53:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0xf65a7f…
08-01 18:30:30	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	10	84¢	$9	0x764124…
08-01 18:26:39	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xa112dc…
08-01 17:58:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x837500…
08-01 17:58:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe964d4…
08-01 17:57:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xb83e43…
08-01 17:53:11	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x864933…
08-01 17:50:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x509ab7…
08-01 17:50:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	51	70¢	$36	0x78cab3…
07-26 20:44:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x838bf3…
07-26 20:42:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x14ce68…
07-26 20:42:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x35e70d…
07-26 20:34:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x9a5632…
07-26 20:32:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	23¢	$2	0x06fcaa…
07-25 08:14:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xa498aa…
07-25 07:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 25?	No	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0x3f6c3e…
07-25 07:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xdfb025…
07-25 07:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x304c5c…
07-25 07:46:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$2	0x5e236a…