Jolly-Ruling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$168

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

495

Trades

1,698

lifetime

Volume

$6.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-29 04:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 54% -$172

Politics

2% 71% -$2

Other

1% 75% +$7

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 572 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	14	$81	91	91	+0	Up	-$1	10-20 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	12	$81	76	76	+0	Down	+$9	10-20 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	12	$79	62	62	+0	Up	+$3	10-20 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	9	$72	64	64	+0	Down	+$12	10-20 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	10	$69	69	57	+12	Down	-$1	10-20 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$68	58	58	+0	Down	+$8	10-20 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	11	$67	66	66	+0	Down	+$7	10-20 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	10	$67	77	77	+0	Up	+$7	10-20 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	9	$66	43	43	+0	Down	+$6	10-20 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	10	$65	551	51	+500	Up	+$3	10-20 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	12	$65	65	65	+0	Down	-$5	10-20 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	10	$62	57	57	+0	Up	+$2	10-20 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	9	$62	61	61	+0	Down	+$2	10-20 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	11	$61	64	64	+0	Up	-$9	10-20 18:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	03-31 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	9	$56	54	54	+0	Up	+$6	10-20 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	9	$55	48	40	+8	Down	-$1	10-20 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 02:45 UTC	2	$53	27	27	+0	Up	+$0	04-03 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	12	$51	54	54	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	8	$51	61	61	+0	Up	+$1	10-20 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	7	$50	45	45	+0	Down	+$10	10-20 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	7	$49	73	41	+33	Down	-$11	10-29 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	11	$48	41	41	+0	Up	+$0	10-20 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$47	34	34	+0	Down	-$3	10-29 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 04:35 UTC	3	$47	28	27	+0	Up	+$8	03-26 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	8	$46	56	43	+13	Up	-$4	10-29 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	8	$45	41	41	+0	Up	+$5	10-20 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	10	$43	34	34	+0	Down	-$3	10-20 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	8	$43	40	40	+0	Up	+$3	10-15 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	8	$42	39	39	+0	Up	-$8	10-20 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 04:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4c6a65…
10-29 04:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xdda0e2…
10-29 04:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe10641…
10-29 04:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x02aafc…
10-29 04:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x196c07…
10-29 04:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x34631d…
10-29 04:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x68d5f0…
10-29 04:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x239f5d…
10-29 04:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf0bedd…
10-29 04:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x79f360…
10-29 04:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xad8262…
10-29 04:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7ad6de…
10-29 04:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x51d06e…
10-29 04:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x54cf2c…
10-29 04:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa29183…
10-29 04:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0xd6c67d…
10-29 04:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x69b773…
10-29 04:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x5e2d96…
10-29 04:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc14924…
10-29 04:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfbd015…
10-29 04:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb295eb…
10-29 04:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x66a858…
10-29 04:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x275fc2…
10-29 04:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0x10864b…
10-29 04:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x73610b…
10-29 04:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x1e0e75…
10-29 04:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x751555…
10-29 04:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0x0b0641…
10-29 04:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf88480…
10-29 04:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0x570798…
10-29 04:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xfdc7b0…
10-29 04:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0x6edfaf…
10-29 04:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x14e7e0…
10-29 04:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x7b2ea7…
10-29 04:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc544f8…
10-29 04:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9e8676…
10-29 04:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7bac49…
10-29 04:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x20fa71…
10-29 04:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdfb65d…
10-29 04:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xb17661…
10-29 04:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xf6f35a…
10-29 04:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x2fb718…
10-29 04:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x3bc4ac…
10-29 04:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x95a5d5…
10-29 04:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x157ce0…
10-29 04:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8d1330…
10-29 04:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x394a36…
10-29 04:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xea9343…
10-29 04:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x829389…
10-29 04:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x4f5773…
10-29 04:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x07d7a0…
10-29 04:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x8ca697…
10-29 03:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x14221a…
10-29 03:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xc61c63…
10-29 03:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x1e896a…
10-29 03:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x1037b4…
10-29 03:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xf85e0e…
10-29 03:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x46bd04…
10-29 03:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0a7ef6…
10-29 03:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x63ad3d…
10-29 03:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf6297e…
10-29 03:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1c2035…
10-29 03:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x3f0386…
10-29 03:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	41	46¢	$19	0x282a1a…
10-29 03:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd55c92…
10-29 03:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfc4957…
10-29 03:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6ff69f…
10-29 03:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x454b04…
10-29 03:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x8da483…
10-29 03:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xb2b8ed…
10-29 03:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0xa349ed…
10-29 03:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6cd99c…
10-29 03:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xdf9929…
10-29 03:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd0225c…
10-29 03:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0x9155bb…
10-29 03:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x65a2c9…
10-29 03:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x0013cf…
10-29 03:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x362667…
10-29 03:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x870c06…
10-29 03:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x17b8df…
10-29 03:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	53	25¢	$13	0x94e24b…
10-29 03:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x28bc5c…
10-29 03:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xdf186f…
10-29 03:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x0d28fd…
10-29 03:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xdbf2eb…
10-29 03:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe6963f…
10-29 03:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x324a14…
10-29 03:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x77ad37…
10-20 21:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf354a3…
10-20 21:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x4213c8…
10-20 21:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x777c54…
10-20 21:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x091747…
10-20 21:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe9edf9…
10-20 21:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc5b00f…
10-20 21:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x42159d…
10-20 21:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9f9958…
10-20 21:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x410d67…
10-20 21:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb544f5…
10-20 21:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x69fb19…
10-20 21:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x03aba5…