Separate-Scarecrow-Arrangement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

787

Trades

1,086

lifetime

Volume

$17.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-22 19:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% +$28

Other

0% 0% -$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$101	102	+102	Down	+$1	05-22 13:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$81	84	+84	Up	+$3	05-21 12:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$69	70	+70	Down	+$1	05-21 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$67	69	+69	Down	+$1	05-21 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$62	63	+63	Down	+$1	05-22 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$57	58	+58	Up	+$1	05-21 08:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$51	52	+52	Up	-$51	05-22 17:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$51	52	+52	Up	+$1	05-22 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$51	53	+53	Up	-$51	05-22 17:26
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$51	52	+52	Up	+$1	05-22 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$51	52	+52	Up	+$1	05-21 20:48
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-21 18:48
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-21 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-22 17:09
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-22 13:33
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-21 17:03
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-22 17:23
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-22 10:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-22 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-21 22:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$50	52	+52	Up	+$1	05-22 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$50	52	+52	Up	+$1	05-22 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$50	52	+52	Up	+$1	05-21 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$50	52	+52	Down	+$1	05-22 13:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-22 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-21 20:39
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-21 14:49
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-21 21:09
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$50	52	+52	Up	+$1	05-21 16:29
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$49	50	+50	Up	+$1	05-21 10:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 19:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xaed988…
05-22 19:41:03	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xae8bc7…
05-22 19:29:13	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x009335…
05-22 19:08:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x751df3…
05-22 19:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6811b6…
05-22 19:03:48	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x3f2850…
05-22 19:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xca98ab…
05-22 18:57:30	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc40a94…
05-22 18:56:10	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x3fef33…
05-22 18:53:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xe42238…
05-22 18:53:29	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xef72a1…
05-22 18:49:17	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xf5da11…
05-22 18:43:29	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xc47a64…
05-22 18:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x82032d…
05-22 18:11:48	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x29ac64…
05-22 18:09:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x427185…
05-22 17:54:18	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x45de7b…
05-22 17:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	95¢	$14	0x72216c…
05-22 17:39:41	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x8fb0ea…
05-22 17:34:00	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x716d41…
05-22 17:33:16	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xe99a33…
05-22 17:28:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6081ca…
05-22 17:28:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xdb69b0…
05-22 17:28:15	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xa3e371…
05-22 17:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0x62e25d…
05-22 17:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xad41fd…
05-22 17:26:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc71fc9…
05-22 17:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xaa7007…
05-22 17:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x355e66…
05-22 17:23:34	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x2897f8…
05-22 17:23:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-22 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe02940…
05-22 17:23:27	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x21a6f9…
05-22 17:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0xde57dd…
05-22 17:14:57	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x316937…
05-22 17:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x9f0f10…
05-22 17:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x197555…
05-22 17:09:13	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0c2b10…
05-22 17:04:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x00318c…
05-22 17:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x6d970b…
05-22 16:48:42	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xc96602…
05-22 16:48:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe7e73a…
05-22 16:48:30	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x1654fd…
05-22 16:43:41	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xafcc36…
05-22 16:38:33	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd5a6f5…
05-22 16:29:54	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x91fd8a…
05-22 16:29:48	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xec8160…
05-22 16:19:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x02054f…
05-22 16:18:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x94d7fe…
05-22 16:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x716572…
05-22 16:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xa56c10…
05-22 16:03:23	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x76b9f3…
05-22 16:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x43610f…
05-22 15:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x2f1084…
05-22 15:44:39	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x850ec7…
05-22 15:41:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x3538a3…
05-22 15:38:37	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe2e02e…
05-22 15:38:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x5f8b99…
05-22 15:34:18	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf5551e…
05-22 15:33:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x6cfd0c…
05-22 15:33:06	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4ec3be…
05-22 15:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb1fbe9…
05-22 15:33:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xa68a26…
05-22 15:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe4cb30…
05-22 15:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x7d25ac…
05-22 15:28:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6754e4…
05-22 15:27:44	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x5dff8d…
05-22 15:23:18	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x78ec47…
05-22 15:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xfb0229…
05-22 15:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x76de7a…
05-22 14:23:57	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xea2053…
05-22 14:23:57	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x420f1c…
05-22 14:23:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5f0ecc…
05-22 14:18:32	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x2ef709…
05-22 14:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x3d2782…
05-22 14:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xeac3f7…
05-22 14:08:17	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x8e30db…
05-22 14:08:03	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd595d4…
05-22 14:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x314344…
05-22 14:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xeb78e2…
05-22 14:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xa7255c…
05-22 14:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x74f9c3…
05-22 14:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xca539e…
05-22 14:03:01	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xaf9e27…
05-22 13:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	98¢	$34	0xb75371…
05-22 13:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x216119…
05-22 13:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x5bf723…
05-22 13:49:11	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x23d255…
05-22 13:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x5cf2d0…
05-22 13:42:46	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xdf22f6…
05-22 13:42:01	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xc439e7…
05-22 13:41:55	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xa59e8b…
05-22 13:41:36	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xba7a72…
05-22 13:41:24	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xda1267…
05-22 13:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xebac9d…
05-22 13:38:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xe71480…
05-22 13:38:48	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3788bf…
05-22 13:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf7574e…
05-22 13:38:46	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x174b74…
05-22 13:33:31	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x8809a6…
05-22 13:33:30	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdc9c86…