Loose-Manipulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

722

Trades

743

lifetime

Volume

$3.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 11-01 02:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Other

79% 97% -$2

Sports

15% 99% +$1

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVP	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-12 14:02
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:21
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:36
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$10	5	5	+0	TheMongolz	+$0	05-27 17:22
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:36
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47
val th1 kc3 2026 07 26	1	$5	5	0	+5	Karmine Corp	+$0	07-26 20:06
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	1	$5	5	0	+5	Adrian Mannarino	+$0	10-07 06:30
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-18 22:39
lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game2 kill over 29pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	06-12 10:42
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$5	5	0	+5	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-16 04:21
mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 total 12pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	06-20 01:49
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$5	5	0	+5	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25
Bengals vs. Dolphins	1	$5	5	0	+5	Bengals	+$0	10-11 20:16
lol blg ly 2026 07 05 game1 kill over 27pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	07-06 04:26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 16?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-16 17:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:37:49	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c8af1…
11-01 01:39:04	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9dfbd…
11-01 00:43:13	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdec50d…
11-01 00:05:12	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a307f…
10-31 16:00:21	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d3752…
10-29 15:14:16	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x98a22a…
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x432e43…
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39287e…
10-24 13:22:20	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9c8347…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x285563…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda3986…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a2d57…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe8dab4…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x571687…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70b06f…
10-14 13:09:18	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb5d2c1…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55c6da…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4bce4…
10-13 15:56:03	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee49e9…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf81635…
10-12 09:05:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25dcc0…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x98182f…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa11bc…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcce934…
10-09 02:09:51	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f45a0…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff9364…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f5062…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2838b5…
10-04 23:23:17	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05ee04…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecf8cc…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb62deb…
10-03 02:53:02	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc9612c…
10-02 14:12:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfbae9b…
10-01 20:54:36	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39a1ce…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x76f269…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97d142…
09-30 23:54:47	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x50835a…
09-30 02:03:00	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x733d80…
09-29 13:58:51	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf913ca…
09-29 13:15:59	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47f129…
09-29 06:34:59	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a2829…
09-27 20:35:44	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xba3c9f…
09-27 13:31:18	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f9b56…
09-27 12:29:14	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x83b527…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6886df…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdcf3c1…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c16ab…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d10dc…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x677cbe…
09-21 02:19:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6aa21f…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a9474…
09-20 21:08:28	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbe20f…
09-20 09:13:46	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3cdafb…
09-20 02:59:37	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c5cf2…
09-20 01:26:42	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d1571…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3fbcb1…
09-19 03:59:36	Will AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d50fc…
09-18 20:00:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0f9fe…
09-17 17:27:09	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x67533a…
09-17 17:00:24	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90b034…
09-17 14:00:49	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd9e5c…
09-17 12:51:34	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfea040…
09-17 00:30:42	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc28b33…
09-16 12:24:46	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe926c3…
09-16 10:23:04	M25 Zlatibor: Veljko Krstic vs Henry Best	Veljko Krstic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ec7e0…
09-16 00:09:54	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x192769…
09-15 17:50:49	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x548db5…
09-15 09:42:01	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x515297…
09-14 22:06:21	Will Shelbourne FC win on 2026-09-14?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a0157…
09-14 04:41:45	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeaa86a…
09-13 14:59:06	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd48b4d…
09-13 02:51:28	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23bf9a…
09-12 21:23:37	cs2 saw2 6666 2026 09 12	6666	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa833a8…
09-12 17:08:25	European T20 Premier League: Dublin Guardians vs Glasgow Cosmic	Glasgow Cosmic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39f778…
09-11 21:06:33	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a224a…
09-11 20:26:00	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09bb4f…
09-11 15:23:24	Tulln: Zdenek Kolar vs Alex Barrena	Alex Barrena	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44f39c…
09-11 13:25:18	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs	FunPlus Phoenix	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5b76ec…
09-11 10:50:04	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95cbb0…
09-11 02:58:30	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7246a7…
09-10 18:48:22	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51e245…
09-10 17:31:48	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x152f75…
09-10 01:26:54	Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65ad34…
09-10 01:17:55	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a3607…
09-09 22:45:52	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf1ec2f…
09-09 22:03:06	xauusd up or down on september 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe8837c…
09-09 18:51:12	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc09cd1…
09-09 18:30:57	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55bef7…
09-09 07:41:54	cs2 tyloo the9 2026 09 09	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ea12c…
09-09 04:07:58	Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f37a9…
09-08 23:11:34	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e43b7…
09-08 14:42:55	Antalya 4: Federica Urgesi vs Miriam Bulgaru	Miriam Bulgaru	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x610fde…
09-08 05:01:40	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a574a…
09-07 21:25:49	wta osaka rybakin 2026 09 07	Elena Rybakina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05266f…
09-07 19:01:54	Seville: Petr Brunclik vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa0d83a…
09-04 15:07:28	cs2 fokus aim1 2026 09 04	FOKUS	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50f9dc…
09-03 10:13:04	itf jadou popovi 2026 09 03	Stevan Popovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7a64db…
09-03 09:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x38f75a…
09-03 07:44:54	cs2 fly kg 2026 09 03	FlyQuest	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x422200…
09-02 18:31:58	Will AEK vs. OFI end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e30c2…