Comfortable-Sediment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

290

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 219 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 88% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	26	+26	No	-$26	05-15 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 14:19
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:51
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 02:06
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:06
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:21
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 15:52
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 06:27
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:23
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 25corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:30
highest temperature in wuhan on april 19 2026 30c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 15:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:44
highest temperature in istanbul on april 18 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:23
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:07
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 17 2026 26corbelow	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-17 05:38
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:06
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:54
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 06:51
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x190b8e…
10-27 16:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xda8f94…
10-27 07:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdf9182…
10-26 05:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x587ca6…
10-24 06:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x467d09…
10-22 09:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x470ddc…
10-20 04:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4f9a19…
10-19 06:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb35609…
10-18 07:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x49f1db…
10-17 07:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x637afd…
10-16 05:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe42123…
10-15 05:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd62ce0…
10-14 07:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf23d20…
10-13 13:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x21c670…
10-13 04:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xd41e8a…
10-12 01:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e9f1e…
10-11 03:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32185a…
10-08 05:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5dee3…
10-07 08:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a4307…
10-06 07:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bd3f0…
10-04 07:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x563ce6…
10-03 03:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a7bf4…
10-02 07:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79d85a…
10-02 03:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60dc81…
10-01 05:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde8b4d…
09-30 09:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa35398…
09-29 06:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7cbe1…
09-28 08:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6077d9…
09-27 02:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x411401…
09-25 07:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f50d5…
09-24 06:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f5654…
09-23 05:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7ff74…
09-22 06:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd5987…
09-21 08:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25b0c7…
09-20 03:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0179a…
09-19 06:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f5259…
09-18 01:08:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe18f92…
09-17 01:06:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f69ed…
09-16 08:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64905f…
09-15 23:33:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6dda81…
09-15 02:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c26d9…
09-14 00:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d7160…
09-13 12:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96c47c…
09-12 07:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10c58e…
09-11 01:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b164a…
09-10 01:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38a571…
09-09 00:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x594367…
09-08 01:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x941340…
09-07 01:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c098f…
09-06 07:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8bc993…
09-06 01:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ca5ce…
09-05 09:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x286119…
09-04 08:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5258e9…
09-03 01:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc87b22…
09-01 01:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2353f9…
08-30 00:12:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81c767…
08-29 05:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x491a3b…
08-28 01:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1adac…
08-27 01:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0638df…
08-26 02:00:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0891a…
08-25 06:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1202a2…
08-24 07:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6285a6…
08-23 07:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b3663…
08-22 06:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03b927…
08-21 01:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc22d38…
08-20 05:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5213d…
08-19 07:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d16bb…
08-18 00:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75ac53…
08-17 05:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4b364…
08-16 01:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b1855…
08-15 02:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x534421…
08-14 01:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x497f47…
08-13 00:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x478cf0…
08-12 00:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f13f6…
08-11 00:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf55996…
08-10 00:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e45cb…
08-09 00:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15bda3…
08-08 00:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d50e0…
08-07 00:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8e144…
08-06 00:21:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c8550…
08-05 00:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf80c6d…
08-04 03:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37f231…
08-03 00:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13bc44…
08-02 00:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53fee3…
08-01 00:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef7227…
07-31 07:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d07b4…
07-30 00:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9434de…
07-29 00:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34eb37…
07-28 00:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce9054…
07-27 01:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c9be8…
07-26 08:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1bbe0…
07-26 01:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67a7e5…
07-25 00:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d8844…
07-24 01:16:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x369514…
07-23 00:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6bb6a…
07-22 01:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f7ec6…
07-20 23:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x574e3d…
07-19 22:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27474f…
07-18 22:01:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9de5c…
07-17 23:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e21d7…