Torn-Cartel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$870

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

36.4%

Resolved

10,649

Trades

141,632

lifetime

Volume

$196.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 09-13 06:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 27% +$135

Other

2% 43% -$685

Sports

2% 45% -$319

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 7689 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+5	$4	96¢	$5	+$0	08-04 14:47
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	+5	$3	96¢	$5	+$2	08-03 13:17
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+138	$1	1¢	$2	+$1	09-08 04:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	30	$1.1K	1,923	+1,923	Down	-$277	09-11 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	18	$980	1,667	+1,667	Down	+$233	09-09 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	12	$961	1,413	+1,413	Up	-$110	09-11 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	16	$796	1,648	+1,648	Up	+$70	09-10 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	3	$625	912	+912	Up	+$6	09-07 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	8	$593	1,087	+1,087	Down	-$312	09-11 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	17	$584	877	+877	Up	+$16	09-12 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	11	$552	876	+876	Down	-$530	09-13 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	31	$539	943	+943	Down	-$28	09-10 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	18	$522	901	+901	Up	-$75	09-10 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	4	$486	1,100	+1,100	Down	-$486	09-08 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	9	$478	754	+754	Down	+$276	09-04 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	5	$464	681	+681	Down	-$64	09-11 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	9	$427	641	+641	Down	+$214	09-08 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	12	$419	846	+846	Up	+$191	09-11 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	7	$377	616	+616	Up	-$31	09-12 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	5	$344	562	+562	Up	+$77	09-07 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	8	$334	533	+533	Up	-$241	09-12 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	4	$327	551	+551	Down	+$224	09-10 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	3	$313	451	+451	Down	-$143	09-06 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	6	$313	420	+420	Up	-$91	09-11 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	5	$300	478	+478	Down	-$17	09-13 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$291	364	+364	Down	-$291	09-10 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$291	339	+339	Down	+$48	09-10 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	6	$267	408	+408	Up	-$1	09-12 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	3	$264	406	+406	Up	+$17	09-06 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	12	$258	449	+449	Down	+$108	09-12 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	3	$254	399	+399	Up	+$4	09-13 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$252	460	+460	Up	-$69	09-12 21:58
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	2	$250	431	+431	Down	+$181	08-28 04:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 06:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0x35f4ca…
09-13 03:24:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0x1f2a89…
09-13 03:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	93	57¢	$53	0x15e6ab…
09-13 03:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	92	55¢	$51	0xf87c5b…
09-13 03:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x01d2fb…
09-13 02:58:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x828858…
09-13 02:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	22¢	$18	0x796049…
09-13 02:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	139	49¢	$68	0xe20313…
09-13 02:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x5c9318…
09-13 02:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	119	72¢	$86	0xdacb57…
09-13 01:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	94	66¢	$62	0x50d073…
09-13 01:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	94	71¢	$67	0x5b2561…
09-13 01:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0xffba29…
09-13 01:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	41¢	$21	0x238de4…
09-13 01:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	84¢	$24	0x59729b…
09-13 01:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	95	86¢	$82	0xf3ec08…
09-13 01:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	95	84¢	$80	0x059737…
09-13 01:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	93	56¢	$52	0x050458…
09-13 01:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	74	57¢	$42	0x158a39…
09-13 01:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	143	66¢	$94	0x76932a…
09-13 01:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x67eac9…
09-13 01:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	85¢	$31	0x7128c6…
09-13 01:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	140	56¢	$78	0x80cbf5…
09-13 01:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	140	57¢	$80	0xb9e5cb…
09-13 00:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	143	80¢	$115	0xcb34b8…
09-13 00:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	139	51¢	$71	0x2b3f00…
09-13 00:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x884646…
09-13 00:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	92	47¢	$43	0x251acf…
09-13 00:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	51¢	$29	0x277a6c…
09-13 00:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	92	53¢	$48	0x3b4a26…
09-13 00:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	89	14¢	$12	0xe5f683…
09-13 00:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	59	26¢	$15	0x6831d4…
09-13 00:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xf9c30c…
09-13 00:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	140	71¢	$99	0x358b51…
09-13 00:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	141	68¢	$96	0xa83bf9…
09-13 00:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	142	77¢	$109	0x38001b…
09-13 00:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	141	69¢	$97	0x272f68…
09-13 00:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf5cb90…
09-13 00:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	61	75¢	$46	0x87e890…
09-13 00:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x4fd0b9…
09-13 00:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0x373f02…
09-12 23:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	281	64¢	$180	0xc800fd…
09-12 23:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	95	76¢	$72	0x99e4da…
09-12 23:38:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0xa4e34d…
09-12 23:37:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xfcc468…
09-12 23:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	74	52¢	$38	0x265e1d…
09-12 23:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	92	51¢	$47	0x0a4e8d…
09-12 23:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0xa5a67d…
09-12 23:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	69	67¢	$46	0x01ae45…
09-12 22:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	143	73¢	$105	0xeb4975…
09-12 22:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x9cf0ec…
09-12 22:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	140	59¢	$83	0xc46700…
09-12 22:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xa62582…
09-12 22:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	98	91¢	$89	0xe1e0a8…
09-12 22:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	135	18¢	$24	0x08e31b…
09-12 22:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	140	63¢	$88	0xefd15a…
09-12 22:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x6972f0…
09-12 22:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	95	60¢	$57	0xbe4c92…
09-12 22:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x403d85…
09-12 21:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	142	74¢	$105	0x6067af…
09-12 21:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	133	54¢	$72	0x53d604…
09-12 21:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	135	41¢	$55	0x72461d…
09-12 21:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xbbb03f…
09-12 21:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	140	65¢	$90	0xa1d462…
09-12 21:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	140	57¢	$80	0x69d085…
09-12 21:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	141	63¢	$89	0x7ee8cd…
09-12 20:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	134	26¢	$35	0x835b4c…
09-12 20:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x23436b…
09-12 20:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xfd6cd5…
09-12 20:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	138	46¢	$63	0x15bf76…
09-12 20:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	139	47¢	$66	0x26aeb7…
09-12 20:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	142	77¢	$109	0xe0994c…
09-12 20:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xfcf1b7…
09-12 20:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x265e2d…
09-12 20:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xdef020…
09-12 20:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x69e342…
09-12 20:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4f8076…
09-12 20:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x457e01…
09-12 20:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x299b77…
09-12 20:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x104175…
09-12 20:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x00ea6c…
09-12 20:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	91	73¢	$67	0xf9d8bb…
09-12 20:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	95	78¢	$74	0xbb27ec…
09-12 20:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	80	79¢	$63	0xf48b2a…
09-12 20:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	139	56¢	$78	0x0181ae…
09-12 20:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	51¢	$24	0x778904…
09-12 20:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	90	51¢	$46	0x9214cf…
09-12 20:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	141	62¢	$87	0xaf9228…
09-12 20:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	59¢	$14	0xf18f91…
09-12 19:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	142	69¢	$98	0x804d3d…
09-12 19:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	141	64¢	$90	0xc0e601…
09-12 19:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	95	34¢	$32	0xa6ebdd…
09-12 19:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0xb46131…
09-12 19:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	141	59¢	$83	0x857802…
09-12 19:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	122	81¢	$99	0xa125aa…
09-12 19:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	68¢	$29	0x4145d6…
09-12 19:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	142	67¢	$95	0x59df9b…
09-12 19:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	55¢	$21	0xbe85ee…
09-12 19:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	64	58¢	$37	0x537e8e…
09-12 19:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	65	18¢	$12	0x21d9f3…