Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$354

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-16 10:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

50% — —

Politics

31% 100% +$18

Tech

15% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes		+2	$1	54¢	$1	+$0	06-16 10:28
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes		+1	$1	79¢	$1	$-0	06-16 10:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	6	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	03-14 21:37
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$31	41	41	+0	open	—	02-11 12:37
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	10	$31	66	37	+29	open	—	02-19 21:59
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	6	$20	13	9	+4	open	—	04-27 21:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$14	25	11	+14	Yes	+$8	04-24 21:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	02-28 19:31
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	7	$11	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	03-14 21:38
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	03-14 21:41
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-26 22:39
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	3	$9	49	11	+38	open	—	02-19 23:56
will nvda reach 220 in february	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-14 15:11
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	02-12 10:36
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-21 04:57
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	3	$6	9	6	+3	open	—	02-10 22:12
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	03-26 22:38
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	1	$5	71	0	+71	open	—	06-16 10:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	03-26 22:33
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-14 21:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 02:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$5	10	3	+7	open	—	04-07 02:46
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-05 03:21
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-03 02:02
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$4	67	0	+67	open	—	03-26 22:36
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-01 12:33
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-03 02:03
will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of february 767 713 548 338 651 365 876 463 984 145	2	$3	434	221	+213	open	—	02-22 05:06
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	02-28 10:42
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$3	52	0	+52	open	—	03-02 16:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	3	$3	31	0	+31	open	—	03-03 02:01
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$3	259	62	+196	open	—	02-23 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 10:30:37	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xb64d58…
06-16 10:28:30	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xff9fc6…
06-16 10:28:30	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x174349…
06-16 10:26:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x53f808…
06-16 10:26:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x11f3b9…
05-15 02:27:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x9c0e4e…
04-27 21:24:38	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xeff081…
04-24 21:21:14	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x488223…
04-24 21:20:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x68b54b…
04-24 21:14:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe03e56…
04-24 21:13:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xffc800…
04-16 17:34:34	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc1769f…
04-14 00:57:27	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x9513a9…
04-10 06:00:55	Claude 4.7 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x66a271…
04-10 05:57:25	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd52a42…
04-10 05:56:49	Claude 4.7 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x104239…
04-08 09:58:59	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb2f216…
04-07 02:46:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x397dc8…
04-07 02:45:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe0d1b2…
03-26 22:39:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x740037…
03-26 22:38:55	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5c36c1…
03-26 22:38:31	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd22d61…
03-26 22:38:03	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe5c364…
03-26 22:36:57	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0xbee084…
03-26 22:36:43	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x698a57…
03-26 22:36:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0x8165d3…
03-26 22:33:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2cd06d…
03-24 06:00:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1efc3b…
03-14 21:43:17	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x5657af…
03-14 21:41:29	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xfef142…
03-14 21:40:07	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x1b0fbc…
03-14 21:39:47	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x57e31f…
03-14 21:38:07	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xb3b8ca…
03-14 21:37:47	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xe12fdd…
03-14 21:37:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0xa72c31…
03-13 21:16:43	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x47ca4b…
03-13 21:14:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x517410…
03-11 16:59:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xab3de5…
03-07 02:29:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xa17997…
03-06 00:20:15	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x017785…
03-05 03:21:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x54ccc8…
03-04 01:01:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xcb786c…
03-03 02:03:23	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xc9e839…
03-03 02:02:51	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x390838…
03-03 02:01:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4c841b…
03-03 02:01:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd02a0a…
03-03 02:01:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe5710b…
03-02 16:57:21	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x79ca57…
03-02 16:57:07	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x9689a5…
03-02 11:17:15	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xaa40bd…
03-02 11:16:19	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x49181a…
03-02 11:07:35	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x27bbfa…
03-02 02:41:09	btc updown 15m 1772418600	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xab84d9…
03-02 02:39:13	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x070b89…
03-02 02:37:17	Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xc055b9…
03-02 02:37:01	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xe47471…
03-02 02:36:53	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa2a767…
03-02 00:45:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf3409d…
03-01 23:39:45	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd66bed…
03-01 23:39:37	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe2bcf9…
03-01 23:33:51	btc updown 5m 1772407800	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x22cf2a…
03-01 23:31:31	btc updown 5m 1772407800	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3079ed…
03-01 12:33:39	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0eb683…
03-01 12:29:37	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4e7936…
03-01 12:28:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x42b410…
03-01 12:28:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x54f450…
03-01 12:28:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x7a7380…
03-01 12:27:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xea426e…
02-28 20:23:39	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x685cbd…
02-28 19:34:11	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x4a45a2…
02-28 19:31:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x729c2f…
02-28 19:27:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfbc695…
02-28 10:45:19	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x690f48…
02-28 10:45:13	bitcoin above 66k on february 28	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xd494c8…
02-28 10:42:57	pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x720596…
02-27 00:19:46	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xadbb9d…
02-27 00:18:42	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x91c52a…
02-27 00:18:12	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1b77ed…
02-23 02:25:32	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	196	1¢	$1	0xc8b9f3…
02-23 02:22:42	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xbf8ed1…
02-23 02:18:46	btc updown 5m 1771812900	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x185df6…
02-22 05:06:38	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of february 767 713 548 338 651 365 876 463 984 145	Yes	SELL	221	0¢	$0	0xac55e3…
02-22 05:06:10	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x771055…
02-21 05:07:28	bitcoin above 72k on february 24	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x56e94b…
02-21 05:06:34	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	No	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x12e354…
02-21 05:06:06	bitcoin above 72k on february 22	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x8b323b…
02-21 05:05:50	bitcoin above 60k on february 22	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x002a22…
02-21 05:05:36	bitcoin above 64k on february 22	No	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x33e626…
02-21 05:03:30	new 10 us blanket tariff goes into effect by february 28	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xacaa27…
02-21 05:00:32	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0xef9cdf…
02-21 04:57:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x3fee41…
02-21 04:55:36	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xd981a7…
02-20 20:00:32	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xd94873…
02-20 16:36:04	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of february 767 713 548 338 651 365 876 463 984 145	Yes	BUY	434	1¢	$3	0x3559d3…
02-20 16:35:22	will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xb0656a…
02-20 16:35:14	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x4a5a67…
02-20 16:31:16	will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xd9abe2…
02-20 16:31:10	will the us next strike iran on february 18 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x40080e…
02-20 16:31:02	will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x529c68…
02-20 16:29:38	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7e2375…