Likely-Celeriac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$697

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-24 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 51% +$5

Other

21% 39% -$55

Sports

14% 57% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:45 UTC	2	$44	28	27	+1	Up	+$10	04-18 20:50
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11 prochzka win by ko tko	2	$38	93	0	+93	No	-$38	04-10 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 04:15 UTC	2	$37	27	26	+1	Up	+$15	04-19 04:20
UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	2	$33	23	23	+0	Alexander Volkov	+$7	10-24 18:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:20 UTC	2	$32	21	20	+1	Up	+$9	04-18 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$31	27	27	+0	Down	+$1	05-21 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 05:20 UTC	2	$30	21	20	+1	Up	+$11	04-19 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:25 UTC	2	$30	33	32	+2	Up	+$11	04-17 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:50 UTC	1	$27	48	0	+48	Down	-$27	04-18 20:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:40 UTC	2	$26	18	18	+1	Up	+$9	04-18 20:45
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?	1	$25	676	0	+676	No	-$25	07-06 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:20 UTC	2	$23	16	16	+1	Up	+$8	04-17 13:25
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?	2	$18	14	14	+0	Yes	+$11	07-06 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$17	11	11	+0	Up	+$5	05-02 12:14
ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	2	$15	10	10	+0	Rafael Fiziev	+$5	06-27 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:40 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	04-17 17:45
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-26 09:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	05-19 04:13
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?	2	$13	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	04-26 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-21 15:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-21 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 07:15 UTC	1	$11	37	0	+37	Down	-$11	04-19 07:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 07:25 UTC	1	$11	21	0	+21	Down	-$11	04-19 07:27
Japan to win the second half?	1	$10	62	0	+62	No	-$10	06-29 18:05
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?	1	$10	71	0	+71	No	-$10	07-06 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 04:30 UTC	1	$10	34	0	+34	Down	-$10	04-19 04:30
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B	1	$10	25	0	+25	by Owl Team	-$10	05-18 18:34
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	1	$8	42	0	+42	No	-$8	04-28 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 06:40 UTC	1	$8	15	0	+15	Down	-$8	04-19 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-22 20:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 18:58:39	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	23	86¢	$20	0x12ce19…
10-24 18:39:24	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x08720f…
07-06 21:15:59	Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xbfa03c…
07-06 21:09:43	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb3c6b8…
07-06 20:22:01	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0xcefef6…
07-06 18:44:37	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	676	4¢	$25	0x7a6632…
07-04 17:47:05	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x2e4f29…
06-29 18:05:08	Japan to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x9ae39c…
06-27 19:00:16	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Rafael Fiziev	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x84337a…
06-27 18:46:19	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Rafael Fiziev	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0a56de…
06-27 18:24:14	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27	Michel Pereira	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xafd0f1…
06-27 18:10:08	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27	Michel Pereira	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x731fd6…
06-26 19:40:43	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x562ace…
06-26 19:10:11	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7fcca1…
06-26 19:06:59	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0120d7…
06-13 21:25:37	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xece8d9…
06-10 07:55:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7e2c1a…
06-01 08:56:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x118d63…
06-01 08:46:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x75b678…
05-30 20:30:07	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1b5809…
05-30 18:23:02	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3d096b…
05-26 09:17:43	BNB Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	92¢	$9	0xdd2f63…
05-26 09:15:24	BNB Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf903cc…
05-26 08:54:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0x1f2c1b…
05-26 08:51:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9d8b32…
05-24 17:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x807b6d…
05-24 17:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe1ea5a…
05-23 12:22:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9cee47…
05-22 20:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xf0556f…
05-22 20:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2e0471…
05-22 10:03:44	BNB Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0xf3dcea…
05-22 10:00:12	BNB Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xddbb58…
05-22 09:56:58	BNB Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6caa78…
05-22 09:55:00	BNB Up or Down - May 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x6fb777…
05-22 09:50:55	BNB Up or Down - May 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x81f82a…
05-21 15:26:40	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbbec84…
05-21 15:23:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x9d27be…
05-21 15:21:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x32884e…
05-21 15:17:47	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x08c48f…
05-21 15:15:30	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x48dfaa…
05-21 15:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xec8601…
05-21 15:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa37dcb…
05-21 14:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xa19e38…
05-21 14:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf750d9…
05-21 14:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	83¢	$15	0x704ed5…
05-21 14:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2a9236…
05-19 13:16:07	Dota 2: Team NS vs Nix Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A	Team NS	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x00b196…
05-19 04:17:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x18bf57…
05-19 04:15:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9b47d5…
05-19 04:13:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x022851…
05-19 04:10:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xef8efc…
05-18 18:34:05	Dota 2: Travoman Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B	Travoman Team	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x3c1eb0…
05-05 18:11:26	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x384e97…
05-05 08:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0xea606e…
05-03 14:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xddc7c8…
05-03 14:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8b8025…
05-02 12:20:16	UFC Fight Night: Marwan Rahiki vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Main Card)	Ollie Schmid	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8b20e0…
05-02 12:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7dabca…
05-02 12:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x306182…
05-02 07:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x60fb22…
05-02 07:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7a2df9…
05-02 07:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0x2688d3…
05-02 07:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc71046…
04-28 19:53:24	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0xb5f7c7…
04-26 20:54:46	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x650d9b…
04-26 19:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9106cf…
04-26 18:51:44	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x8d2e62…
04-26 18:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x612f71…
04-26 18:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xae5698…
04-19 07:27:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xf41e96…
04-19 07:16:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	37	29¢	$11	0x0d6883…
04-19 06:46:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdf408b…
04-19 06:40:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xd5866e…
04-19 05:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x411577…
04-19 05:21:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x777160…
04-19 05:15:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xefb2e8…
04-19 04:30:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xc9e1c5…
04-19 04:28:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x70a25b…
04-19 04:20:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x0522b6…
04-19 04:15:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	27	42¢	$11	0xc86e72…
04-18 20:52:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	48	56¢	$27	0x1f2b1d…
04-18 20:50:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x48b5da…
04-18 20:49:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0x274e54…
04-18 20:45:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xa062e5…
04-18 20:41:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x5d68df…
04-18 20:25:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8d7862…
04-18 20:22:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0x476f26…
04-17 17:45:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd91f6b…
04-17 17:42:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7c88be…
04-17 17:36:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x136c18…
04-17 17:31:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6fceac…
04-17 17:29:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	32	62¢	$20	0xd83cf1…
04-17 17:26:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x212d9e…
04-17 13:25:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:20 UTC	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x8595ae…
04-17 13:20:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xe1b378…
04-17 09:36:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x45dbdf…
04-17 09:36:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x69a43c…
04-10 12:34:47	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11 prochzka win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	71	40¢	$29	0x9f0a5b…
04-08 16:03:35	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11 prochzka win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x38594e…