Joint-Pawnshop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.56K

Unrealized P&L

+$73

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

1,013

Trades

5,422

lifetime

Volume

$2.20M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$405

Open exposure

$494

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 08:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Politics

45% 66% -$5,253

Crypto

33% 95% +$363

Other

20% 37% +$8,116

Sports

1% 47% +$124

Tech

1% 88% +$212

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	No		+642	$421	77¢	$494	+$73	10-24 09:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	96	$190.7K	101,363	103,618	-2,256	No	-$6,906	04-15 10:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	72	$182.7K	101,764	101,764	+0	Yes	-$13,303	04-08 03:00
will trump visit china by march 31	132	$151.8K	76,639	76,639	+0	No	+$1,162	03-27 12:41
bitcoin above 58k on april 9	2	$86.6K	43,364	43,360	+3	Yes	+$0	04-09 14:50
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	2	$70.0K	35,035	35,035	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 04:16
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	244	$69.7K	56,063	35,359	+20,704	Yes	+$1,484	05-11 01:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	62	$66.0K	68,355	0	+68,355	No	+$2,344	03-29 03:33
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	145	$59.6K	60,022	11,793	+48,229	Yes	+$5,903	05-06 08:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	34	$48.1K	48,220	500	+47,720	No	+$628	05-20 12:31
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	26	$46.7K	24,106	24,106	+0	Yes	+$1,421	04-11 15:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$43.8K	33,657	33,657	+0	Yes	-$5	04-07 22:32
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	40	$37.5K	19,568	19,587	-19	Yes	+$1,604	04-11 15:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	1	$35.1K	35,212	0	+35,212	No	+$66	03-19 01:33
bitcoin above 62k on march 18	1	$29.7K	29,703	0	+29,703	Yes	+$30	03-17 07:18
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 13	1	$27.9K	27,907	0	+27,907	No	+$28	03-13 06:06
bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	1	$27.8K	27,806	0	+27,806	Yes	+$28	06-23 03:32
bitcoin above 54k on june 15 2026	4	$27.6K	27,638	0	+27,638	Yes	+$28	06-14 13:32
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	4	$26.1K	13,209	13,209	+0	No	-$236	04-11 08:13
bitcoin above 54k on june 18 2026	9	$25.7K	25,748	0	+25,748	Yes	+$26	06-16 11:30
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	33	$22.5K	23,022	0	+23,022	Yes	+$558	04-02 01:27
will bitcoin reach 81k on march 16	1	$20.7K	20,690	0	+20,690	No	+$21	03-16 07:50
bitcoin above 76k on june 4 2026	4	$20.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$0	06-04 09:39
ethereum above 2400 on june 4 2026	8	$20.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$10	06-04 11:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?	39	$19.2K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$43	06-12 08:34
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$16.6K	16,639	0	+16,639	Yes	+$33	06-08 01:57
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 9 15	2	$16.6K	16,606	0	+16,606	No	+$17	03-15 02:40
bitcoin above 62k on march 21	2	$16.4K	16,460	0	+16,460	Yes	+$39	03-20 03:20
bitcoin above 54k on june 20 2026	6	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	Yes	+$15	06-19 17:05
bitcoin above 74k on june 5 2026	82	$14.9K	7,454	7,454	+0	No	+$7	06-04 12:19
will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	58	$14.6K	14,658	0	+14,658	Yes	+$15	04-02 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:58:23	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x46c6d7…
10-27 08:35:47	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe1b19a…
10-27 05:40:33	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	160	83¢	$133	0xff3825…
10-27 05:39:56	Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	169	16¢	$28	0xfe4dc5…
10-27 05:39:30	Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	997	19¢	$189	0x5e5047…
10-27 05:26:59	Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	48	20¢	$10	0xb3d352…
10-27 05:19:47	Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	47	20¢	$9	0x947932…
10-27 04:39:53	Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0xf8bc2d…
10-27 04:39:48	Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	80	20¢	$16	0x9c3546…
10-27 04:39:11	Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0xf6326c…
10-26 12:23:12	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	393	63¢	$246	0xbd728d…
10-26 08:56:42	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	SELL	318	82¢	$261	0xaec3a6…
10-26 07:54:18	Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	1,468	43¢	$631	0x8f2142…
10-26 07:37:36	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	253	70¢	$177	0x11c9d9…
10-26 07:11:14	Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0xb40a64…
10-26 07:09:32	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	27	83¢	$22	0xfc6d8e…
10-26 06:42:35	Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	1,680	19¢	$317	0xc1764c…
10-26 06:05:12	Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	302	59¢	$178	0xcc5d29…
10-26 05:56:23	Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xd8ec6a…
10-26 05:36:23	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	195	76¢	$149	0x7aba7e…
10-26 05:36:11	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	SELL	199	88¢	$174	0xfddb8e…
10-26 04:55:36	Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	1,790	41¢	$729	0x52172d…
10-26 03:03:33	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x584d90…
10-26 03:03:12	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	821	61¢	$504	0x44d4f0…
10-26 02:59:51	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	491	78¢	$384	0x2aa287…
10-24 16:18:20	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x66fe22…
10-24 16:10:53	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xcded97…
10-24 12:59:41	Will N1 launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	142	74¢	$105	0x667399…
10-24 11:46:08	Will N1 launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0b684d…
10-24 11:22:53	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xef6a2f…
10-24 11:22:26	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb8419e…
10-24 10:46:05	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1,099	83¢	$912	0xe928d5…
10-24 09:51:02	Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4282ea…
10-24 09:43:33	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x71ac1d…
10-24 09:43:15	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x36c889…
10-24 09:42:39	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	SELL	68	67¢	$46	0xb8596d…
10-24 09:42:39	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x85b1b5…
10-24 09:42:14	Will N1 launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xd81e28…
10-24 09:42:14	Will N1 launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	189	78¢	$148	0x3d19fd…
10-24 09:41:00	Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x021563…
10-24 08:00:59	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	SELL	163	67¢	$109	0x934d76…
10-24 07:07:59	Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	632	75¢	$474	0x427d03…
10-24 07:06:27	Will N1 launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	331	69¢	$230	0x237a60…
10-24 07:02:17	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc0aed0…
10-24 06:56:30	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2b35e1…
10-24 06:55:53	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x67c171…
10-24 06:53:56	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7445f9…
10-24 06:52:18	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xbde0b7…
10-24 06:51:12	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	BUY	412	58¢	$238	0xa721e7…
10-24 06:49:09	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1,855	82¢	$1,524	0xfb1224…
10-21 15:21:17	Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	233	29¢	$67	0xf06bb0…
10-21 14:46:56	Will SS&C (SSNC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	197	65¢	$128	0x7924d0…
10-21 14:46:42	Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x1c60e4…
10-21 14:46:32	Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	249	54¢	$135	0xc99a0a…
10-21 14:42:24	Will SS&C (SSNC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	250	71¢	$177	0xd577cf…
10-21 14:31:17	Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	233	29¢	$68	0x1d2599…
10-21 14:29:15	Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	256	48¢	$122	0x818e6f…
10-21 14:25:32	Will SS&C (SSNC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	447	66¢	$296	0x1df3f3…
10-05 15:24:17	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	1,186	17¢	$206	0xe650e9…
10-05 14:40:56	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	1,701	25¢	$430	0x04317d…
10-05 12:56:13	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	458	48¢	$220	0x527d67…
10-05 12:51:32	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xf80c44…
10-05 12:51:11	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	3,365	17¢	$556	0x83c9b7…
10-05 07:57:04	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	Yes	SELL	145	15¢	$22	0xee1bfd…
10-05 07:57:04	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xd45625…
10-05 07:56:56	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	Yes	SELL	1,319	21¢	$277	0x6b1123…
10-05 07:19:26	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	Yes	SELL	388	26¢	$101	0x318a31…
10-05 06:55:40	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,163	87¢	$1,013	0xdbabd4…
10-05 06:55:31	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	907	88¢	$798	0xf40891…
10-05 06:50:52	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	1,864	16¢	$290	0x8d7207…
09-24 13:07:11	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	664	82¢	$545	0xb61008…
09-22 23:44:10	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	127	50¢	$64	0xcfab8b…
09-22 20:55:36	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x2b8865…
09-22 19:54:28	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x2f9af8…
09-22 16:21:10	Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	388	77¢	$300	0xc7d721…
09-22 14:07:27	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x18dfa5…
09-22 14:05:43	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x80ca72…
09-22 14:05:16	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x8e9f4e…
09-22 13:59:24	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	94	46¢	$43	0x2d7b83…
09-22 13:59:15	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x9dca86…
09-22 13:56:18	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xecafe5…
09-22 13:55:34	Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	SELL	65	50¢	$33	0x4cb9c4…
09-22 13:55:19	Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0xdad07f…
09-22 13:53:19	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x5f308a…
09-22 13:53:18	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xeee129…
09-22 13:52:54	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2fda42…
09-22 13:52:40	Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0xa5082f…
09-22 13:50:52	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x8eb2f1…
09-22 13:49:16	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc809c0…
09-22 13:49:16	Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x590bb8…
09-22 13:46:45	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x40cc86…
09-22 13:46:01	Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x0158df…
09-22 13:45:45	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x10ce91…
09-22 13:43:16	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe0deb4…
09-22 13:42:48	Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x31605e…
09-22 13:40:27	Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xcaa22e…
09-22 13:38:19	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7891eb…
09-22 13:37:06	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1070e0…
09-22 13:35:22	Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	SELL	40	64¢	$26	0x1df572…
09-22 13:32:49	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x22b5f5…