Hearty-Somebody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$2.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$160

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-07 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

61% 76% +$44

Politics

23% 53% -$134

Crypto

11% 53% -$15

Tech

5% 67% +$71

Sports

1% 25% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		+132	$120	98¢	$130	+$10	05-11 21:01
Plague pandemic in 2026?	No		+31	$30	98¢	$31	+$1	10-07 15:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$512	496	496	+0	No	-$37	04-24 17:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$123	159	159	+0	Yes	-$95	04-08 13:41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$120	132	0	+132	open	—	05-11 21:01
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$98	129	129	+0	Yes	+$78	02-12 17:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$87	49	49	+0	No	+$7	01-25 18:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$84	144	141	+3	No	-$56	04-26 13:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	3	$77	43	42	+0	No	+$7	04-30 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$65	73	73	+0	Up	+$5	05-03 16:39
will israel strike gaza on february 16 2026	2	$62	35	35	+0	No	+$7	02-17 12:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$1	04-30 12:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$60	68	0	+68	No	+$8	04-26 13:41
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$58	69	69	+0	No	+$50	02-13 10:58
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	2	$50	100	50	+50	Yes	-$10	01-15 22:05
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	01-12 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	9	$47	53	31	+23	Down	+$10	05-06 16:49
will wti dip to 85 by april 6 2026	2	$44	50	0	+50	No	+$6	04-08 17:37
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	1	$43	44	0	+44	Yes	+$0	02-02 16:32
ice shooter charged by march 31	1	$40	57	0	+57	No	+$17	01-12 09:31
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$40	48	0	+48	Yes	+$8	04-12 10:49
ice shooter fired by march 31	1	$40	48	0	+48	No	+$8	01-12 09:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	2	$40	52	0	+52	No	+$12	04-26 13:42
will russia enter toretske by january 15	3	$36	37	0	+37	No	+$1	01-15 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$36	108	12	+96	Up	-$24	05-03 16:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$34	32	32	+0	No	+$4	05-26 06:33
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	1	$32	60	0	+60	No	-$32	09-16 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	6	$32	36	36	+0	Down	+$2	05-03 16:58
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$1	05-11 21:04
Plague pandemic in 2026?	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	10-07 15:59
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	1	$30	33	0	+33	No	+$3	04-28 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$26	25	25	+0	Down	+$6	05-03 16:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 15:59:01	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x86584d…
09-20 20:22:01	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x1bdfe6…
09-16 07:59:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0x91d66f…
09-16 07:47:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa580de…
07-15 11:05:47	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x7c0635…
07-15 11:04:37	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x863ef5…
06-21 21:40:34	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0xebcf31…
06-21 21:40:11	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x585895…
06-21 21:37:08	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd2a8b7…
05-26 06:33:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	32	60¢	$19	0xef271d…
05-25 14:24:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x04e97e…
05-25 13:50:45	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0xc90ef4…
05-12 19:38:00	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0xb252c0…
05-11 21:04:54	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x1c2bd0…
05-11 21:03:58	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x27d717…
05-11 21:02:29	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0x2f1991…
05-11 21:01:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x19791c…
05-07 13:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x053b5b…
05-07 13:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc13bd7…
05-07 13:02:08	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xc989be…
05-07 12:58:47	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xea8d73…
05-07 07:27:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0x27a56d…
05-07 07:10:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	29	45¢	$13	0x717553…
05-06 16:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc65955…
05-06 16:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x54a088…
05-06 16:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x4f335a…
05-06 16:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xebde0c…
05-06 16:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfad10f…
05-06 16:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x742c32…
05-06 16:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd32fdf…
05-06 16:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xea72c4…
05-06 16:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3f02d5…
05-03 17:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xa51a9a…
05-03 17:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x911cde…
05-03 17:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x570cca…
05-03 17:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x5c30fa…
05-03 17:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfffb09…
05-03 17:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xf938ab…
05-03 17:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8a1445…
05-03 17:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x4d9025…
05-03 16:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xb0e518…
05-03 16:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xef6b2a…
05-03 16:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x312f75…
05-03 16:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x33fe9f…
05-03 16:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	46¢	$7	0x2f7135…
05-03 16:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x983e94…
05-03 16:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0x6666e2…
05-03 16:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xdf4f03…
05-03 16:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x13646d…
05-03 16:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf4ce78…
05-03 16:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x487af7…
05-03 16:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x06a90c…
05-03 16:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x1ecc7a…
05-03 16:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcef04d…
05-03 16:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x029911…
05-03 16:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x60e548…
05-03 16:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x3d45a3…
05-03 16:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbccb89…
05-03 16:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x194850…
05-03 16:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe0de67…
05-03 16:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	64	45¢	$29	0xb71e4b…
05-03 16:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x1de60c…
05-03 16:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x017e9d…
05-03 16:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0x9e0c81…
05-03 16:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6854e2…
05-03 16:29:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc95778…
05-03 16:29:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x92ff71…
04-30 12:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xa0a2e6…
04-30 12:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6c74f3…
04-30 12:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xf4d281…
04-30 12:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdbea9b…
04-30 12:47:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc834b3…
04-30 12:43:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xa63d55…
04-30 12:39:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x29d39a…
04-28 08:46:46	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xfa9270…
04-26 17:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2b8658…
04-26 13:43:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	71	8¢	$5	0xebe933…
04-26 13:42:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x22c2f8…
04-26 13:41:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x0009a1…
04-26 13:41:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x19155e…
04-26 13:41:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x813ad9…
04-26 13:41:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf9b6a9…
04-25 22:06:16	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	142	9¢	$12	0xaaba35…
04-24 17:23:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xbf6a94…
04-24 17:23:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xca6586…
04-24 17:00:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	154	97¢	$149	0x2ca76c…
04-24 07:53:36	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xea84c0…
04-24 07:43:16	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	7¢	$10	0xfa30d6…
04-24 07:20:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	71	12¢	$9	0xf3c09b…
04-17 23:09:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xd498b2…
04-17 13:34:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc0ddfe…
04-12 10:49:03	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x72df2c…
04-08 17:37:45	will wti dip to 85 by april 6 2026	No	BUY	38	88¢	$34	0xa9bf0d…
04-08 17:37:09	will wti dip to 85 by april 6 2026	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x0d1bd6…
04-08 16:57:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	101	10¢	$10	0xc2bab8…
04-08 13:51:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	24	66¢	$16	0x530ec7…
04-08 13:41:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x501627…
04-08 10:51:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	106	75¢	$79	0x2ee2c7…
04-08 10:51:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	329	24¢	$79	0xa6aa41…
04-07 23:24:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	105	8¢	$9	0x3dc57b…