Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$62

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

199

Trades

216

lifetime

Volume

$305

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-30

last 11-03 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

82% 62% +$46

Politics

16% 73% +$17

Crypto

1% 50% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	+1	$1	90¢	$1	+$0	10-30 04:59
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	+7	$2	16¢	$1	-$1	08-13 20:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	+1	$1	78¢	$1	$0	11-01 05:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	2	$4	9	+9	Yes	-$1	09-09 09:17
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	2	$4	9	+9	Yes	-$1	09-19 05:49
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-14 06:59
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-23 11:06
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-20 22:16
wti closes above 76 on august 7 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-07 11:47
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	09-18 03:15
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-02 00:50
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-21 06:42
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-31 10:10
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-09 17:23
will trump say hell during his executive order signing 20260803134026615	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-03 16:42
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-24 02:07
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-17 19:27
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-19 15:19
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-18 11:54
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	1	$2	8	+8	Down	-$2	09-08 11:03
spy closes above 770 on august 13 2026	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-13 04:10
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-08 22:58
spy closes above 760 on september 16 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-16 11:35
will aapl dip to 300 by august 10 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-12 03:30
saudi arabia military action against yemen on september 23 20260916	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-17 19:06
will xauusd reach 4450 by august 10 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-11 19:21
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-16 03:33
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	08-26 20:29
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 22:31
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-01 16:44
will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-23 17:06
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-17 04:55
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-08 00:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 17:09:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb50f25…
11-03 08:48:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x97d3dd…
11-03 00:48:22	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe09b7c…
11-02 16:47:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x47a8b6…
11-02 08:47:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0720e7…
11-02 00:46:58	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3600c2…
11-01 16:45:01	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x04d8d6…
11-01 05:07:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3a554f…
10-31 18:28:51	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7bcd0e…
10-31 06:22:24	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 90.5% to 92%?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3474d8…
10-30 22:19:45	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 92% to 93.5%?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdfe56d…
10-30 13:12:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6b0c55…
10-30 04:59:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9dac44…
10-29 20:50:30	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x06e1d9…
10-29 10:35:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5ec81b…
10-29 02:35:34	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf385c2…
10-28 15:23:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb2fb47…
10-28 07:20:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x63b971…
10-27 23:18:32	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x26b819…
10-27 14:45:26	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x251213…
10-27 06:43:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1e5f54…
10-26 10:39:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcb0b4c…
10-26 02:39:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa9afbc…
10-25 18:39:12	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaa8c8a…
10-25 10:36:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4ccc29…
10-25 02:26:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2f7a93…
10-24 17:01:41	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x780915…
10-24 07:34:41	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x284a90…
10-24 07:13:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x40e608…
10-23 21:15:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc85dfe…
10-23 12:55:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe7793a…
10-23 12:54:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1caa24…
10-23 04:53:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfb7ce4…
10-22 20:52:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd53def…
10-22 12:51:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x44abf7…
10-22 04:51:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7fd6ee…
10-21 20:46:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x28c634…
10-21 00:32:26	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4abc3f…
10-20 16:25:42	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa9fbc4…
10-20 08:25:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4258dc…
10-20 00:25:17	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x665f16…
10-19 16:25:11	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x98689c…
10-19 08:24:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2f08f6…
10-19 00:24:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfa0be6…
10-18 16:24:24	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x346ada…
10-18 08:24:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb7e151…
10-18 00:08:42	Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4e2c7d…
10-17 15:59:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xadbd94…
10-17 06:28:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x83568f…
10-16 21:29:26	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf9ab2e…
10-16 12:58:39	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5a2f00…
10-16 04:02:19	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4fc7a3…
10-15 19:05:04	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x43f092…
10-15 10:58:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x31e371…
10-15 02:57:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe5f079…
10-13 18:54:21	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x22077e…
10-13 10:54:11	Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7a9e01…
10-13 02:54:06	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x51f2ae…
10-11 14:33:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3c8e95…
10-11 06:28:21	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4811de…
10-10 21:50:15	Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb73244…
10-10 13:30:55	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9f6777…
10-10 05:03:39	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3f77a6…
10-09 19:03:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbf39fc…
10-09 11:02:43	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9ce513…
10-09 03:02:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x798100…
10-08 19:02:32	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1eb273…
10-08 10:25:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa765df…
10-08 02:25:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x23cb5d…
10-07 14:40:25	Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1a2121…
10-07 14:05:22	SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2b2c98…
10-06 15:46:47	Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x044ae2…
10-06 12:11:01	Will Spalding United FC win on 2026-10-06?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x29bbc9…
10-06 11:36:12	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6fa4b0…
10-06 07:44:22	Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xaf70bb…
10-05 13:04:56	Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x50c460…
10-04 19:56:43	Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6f2e4f…
10-04 17:23:04	Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfdbb5e…
10-04 15:28:35	Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5bca33…
10-04 08:21:20	Racing Club Montevideo vs. CA Penarol Montevideo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5261e1…
10-04 08:21:19	San Martin de Tucuman vs. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb17005…
10-04 07:43:43	Will Atletico de Rafaela win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x63708d…
10-04 07:43:40	Will CA Colegiales win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x53d3ed…
10-04 07:10:17	Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1c11ee…
10-04 06:33:25	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa8649b…
10-04 06:33:23	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbcf52c…
10-04 05:51:19	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9904ee…
10-04 05:51:16	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd7d1cc…
10-04 05:13:38	VVV Venlo vs. Roda JC Kerkrade: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x25644b…
10-03 13:45:41	Will Tonbridge Angels FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x31901a…
10-03 11:55:14	Finland vs. Albania: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7995dc…
10-03 11:19:59	Leyton Orient FC vs. Plymouth Argyle FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7f5c68…
10-03 11:19:56	Will Cliftonville FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4ed7d6…
10-03 04:18:08	Will Plymouth Parkway FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x777b4a…
10-03 03:50:08	Will Torquay United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcab410…
10-03 03:16:47	Will Clachnacuddin FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x192e1e…
10-03 02:43:51	Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5a50e2…
10-02 20:47:09	Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8ae4cc…
10-02 18:26:56	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x72b532…
10-02 14:24:06	Will Limavady United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x31dcc0…