Subtle-Motel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

Trades

12,619

lifetime

Volume

$81.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-02 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

55% 47% +$10

Sports

34% — —

Politics

8% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 524 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+73	$35	36¢	$26	$-9	06-01 14:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	4	$590	331	331	+0	open	—	05-19 18:05
nba cle phi 2026 01 14	57	$332	554	163	+391	open	—	01-15 01:05
nba phi tor 2026 01 11	68	$314	583	0	+583	open	—	01-12 01:53
will trump say pool during executive order signing today	5	$300	370	0	+370	open	—	03-31 21:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$298	597	0	+597	open	—	05-24 15:05
bra fla san 2026 04 05 fla	5	$297	337	0	+337	open	—	04-05 22:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	8	$297	588	0	+588	open	—	05-26 05:06
nba mem por 2026 02 06	40	$290	226	189	+37	open	—	02-07 04:41
nba phx mia 2026 01 13	61	$287	568	0	+568	open	—	01-14 00:14
nba lac sac 2026 02 06	19	$282	146	237	-92	open	—	02-07 05:18
nba bkn dal 2026 01 12	55	$276	459	0	+459	open	—	01-13 01:16
uef ita nir 2026 03 26 draw	3	$269	360	0	+360	open	—	03-26 20:54
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	50	$269	440	58	+382	open	—	01-11 21:03
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw	3	$267	319	0	+319	open	—	04-08 19:19
ere her1 her 2026 04 05 her1	9	$261	363	0	+363	open	—	04-05 13:18
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$254	550	0	+550	open	—	04-04 23:07
mls tor col 2026 04 04 draw	15	$249	327	0	+327	open	—	04-04 17:22
nhl nj min 2026 01 12	58	$248	454	0	+454	open	—	01-12 20:27
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 12 2026	2	$240	727	0	+727	open	—	04-14 12:45
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	4	$240	667	0	+667	open	—	04-14 12:45
nba hou sac 2026 01 11	19	$240	159	268	-110	open	—	01-12 04:15
cs2 ast10 fnc 2026 01 13	55	$237	427	0	+427	open	—	01-13 18:14
cs2 ff ban5 2026 03 29	6	$236	426	0	+426	open	—	03-29 16:57
nba tor ind 2026 01 14	75	$227	420	0	+420	open	—	01-14 21:06
nhl ana van 2026 03 24	11	$225	428	0	+428	open	—	03-25 03:26
nba cle mem 2026 04 06	1	$224	260	0	+260	open	—	04-06 18:06
es2 cor mir 2026 03 27 total 2pt5	20	$223	390	0	+390	open	—	03-27 19:06
lal rea gir 2026 04 10 rea	1	$222	252	0	+252	open	—	04-10 20:10
cs2 ast10 fnc 2026 01 13 game2	44	$221	385	0	+385	open	—	01-13 17:57
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	9	$221	274	0	+274	open	—	04-10 00:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 17:38:52	Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 15+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x42028c…
06-02 17:24:03	Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9e1248…
06-02 17:12:16	Morocco vs. Madagascar: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xfcec8f…
06-02 17:10:38	Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfa39b0…
06-02 17:10:33	Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x7bab72…
06-02 17:10:17	Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2f3db5…
06-02 17:10:15	Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x99c31e…
06-02 02:35:26	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xfadda4…
06-02 02:35:26	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Colorado Rockies	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x99aa5b…
06-02 02:35:26	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Colorado Rockies	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x158003…
06-02 01:01:29	Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)	Minnesota Twins	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x479215…
06-02 00:24:33	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc299d6…
06-02 00:10:35	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	San Francisco Giants	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb514e2…
06-02 00:10:35	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	San Francisco Giants	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x6c9339…
06-02 00:10:28	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	San Francisco Giants	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xfb9763…
06-02 00:10:28	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x069d35…
06-01 23:55:06	Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x6967fd…
06-01 23:26:05	Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x87a77d…
06-01 20:34:54	Will Trump say "President Biden" this week?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x6620ed…
06-01 19:44:28	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x6674a6…
06-01 18:01:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xcc401c…
06-01 14:20:17	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xbffd3c…
06-01 14:19:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9d48b1…
06-01 14:19:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd22691…
06-01 14:17:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x106462…
06-01 14:14:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x37ec94…
06-01 13:28:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xa56a27…
06-01 13:28:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x262069…
06-01 13:25:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x57f6be…
05-29 01:06:38	Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xce8670…
05-28 22:52:42	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xa51cdf…
05-28 16:11:54	Will Vance say "War" 7+ times during Air Force Academy Address?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$6	0x27eedb…
05-28 15:59:49	Will Vance say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during Air Force Academy Address?	No	BUY	66	48¢	$32	0x1cbc50…
05-28 14:21:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xcaf2a7…
05-28 13:49:48	Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xfbfc45…
05-28 13:45:51	Spread: Slovakia (-2.5)	Slovakia	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xf10b5a…
05-28 13:45:36	Spread: Slovakia (-2.5)	Slovakia	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x83c1d4…
05-28 01:36:22	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0xdc5dd5…
05-28 01:25:31	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	New York Mets	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7ea731…
05-28 01:25:31	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	New York Mets	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6d1ac6…
05-28 00:41:02	Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xd56511…
05-28 00:41:02	Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x475933…
05-28 00:34:48	Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)	Chicago Cubs	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xf567e5…
05-28 00:34:02	Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x688624…
05-27 22:55:45	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	Detroit Tigers	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x279e7f…
05-27 22:55:40	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	Detroit Tigers	BUY	41	32¢	$13	0x4a83cc…
05-27 22:55:13	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)	Detroit Tigers	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x250b18…
05-27 20:12:04	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	41	74¢	$31	0x7083b1…
05-27 20:07:01	Real Madrid vs. Saski Baskonia	Real Madrid	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4fbf65…
05-27 20:06:26	Real Madrid vs. Saski Baskonia	Real Madrid	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xacde23…
05-27 19:47:22	Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	Miami Marlins	BUY	4	82¢	$4	0x81d880…
05-27 19:47:15	Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	Miami Marlins	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x31cd6f…
05-27 18:02:50	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	BUY	42	85¢	$35	0xddf4de…
05-27 17:58:55	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	44	38¢	$17	0x205581…
05-27 16:32:14	Will Trump say "Pool" or "Pond" during Cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0993e7…
05-27 16:01:51	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	59¢	$19	0x509f3b…
05-27 16:01:24	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x6bdb80…
05-27 15:55:29	Will Trump say "Iran" 10+ times during Cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	490	35¢	$172	0xe30fde…
05-27 15:52:22	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x6e97a2…
05-27 15:51:43	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0xe3e698…
05-27 15:46:28	Will Trump say "Deal" 15+ times during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x7f97e4…
05-27 02:42:04	Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0x2e5dd2…
05-27 02:38:53	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd7204c…
05-27 01:59:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x96d9b9…
05-27 01:50:28	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	Minnesota Twins	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5afb89…
05-27 01:50:25	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	Minnesota Twins	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6d1e9b…
05-27 01:50:23	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3a6e6a…
05-27 01:46:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	BUY	26	33¢	$9	0x7c89ef…
05-27 01:06:17	Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc812ca…
05-27 01:01:30	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5	Under	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x3965c8…
05-27 00:45:27	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xd7cc68…
05-27 00:45:26	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x9a3603…
05-27 00:25:08	Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)	Houston Astros	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x8d866b…
05-26 23:54:51	Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	Miami Marlins	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x8ab566…
05-26 23:54:51	Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	Miami Marlins	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x43f963…
05-26 22:55:07	Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)	Boston Red Sox	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xd405a8…
05-26 22:55:07	Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)	Boston Red Sox	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xc12155…
05-26 22:55:07	Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)	Boston Red Sox	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x7aece4…
05-26 22:55:07	Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)	Boston Red Sox	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x4aed64…
05-26 19:47:22	Reyer Venezia vs. Derthona Basket	Reyer Venezia	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x7ca2b6…
05-26 19:45:19	Reyer Venezia vs. Derthona Basket	Reyer Venezia	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x774d2f…
05-26 19:42:56	Reyer Venezia vs. Derthona Basket	Reyer Venezia	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7ec0ef…
05-26 19:42:49	Reyer Venezia vs. Derthona Basket	Reyer Venezia	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xa54568…
05-26 19:42:47	Reyer Venezia vs. Derthona Basket	Reyer Venezia	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xf826c7…
05-26 05:11:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x895aa7…
05-26 05:06:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x7d28b4…
05-26 04:18:28	Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xf862cf…
05-26 04:18:00	Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x6310d7…
05-26 04:17:51	Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf35f4c…
05-26 04:17:49	Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xd4b410…
05-26 04:17:49	Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xafde9e…
05-26 04:17:49	Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1e07d4…
05-26 03:24:53	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	52	40¢	$21	0x7974ec…
05-26 02:42:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x6c67d6…
05-26 00:41:31	Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x20074a…
05-26 00:38:29	Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x221e89…
05-26 00:29:04	Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0xee7709…
05-26 00:06:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x522ee5…
05-26 00:00:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0xe4f5a1…
05-26 00:00:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7e3053…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	686	$7.99M	65,855	05-27 20:37
Parallel-Flock 0x507e…beae	645	$6.27M	45,226	05-24 11:51
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	513	$4.78M	58,733	05-27 20:56
Vigilant-Environment 0xdbdd…a5de	505	$175.2K	2,119	05-27 18:09
(anonymous) 0x2652…2a1d	482	$2.20M	43,620	04-07 10:41
(anonymous) 0x1d94…9100	426	$145.4K	12,709	04-07 10:30
Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e	409	$345.3K	4,291	05-27 20:12
Unwilling-Leap 0x0c69…2b8d	396	$30.4K	5,431	05-07 20:41