Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$501

Unrealized P&L

-$28

Hit rate

46.6%

Resolved

Trades

252

lifetime

Volume

$5.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-12

last 10-25 01:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

57% 27% -$462

Politics

31% 40% +$120

Sports

10% 25% -$44

Crypto

2% 20% -$66

Tech

1% 0% -$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+75	$16	4¢	$3	-$13	10-06 04:51
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	+100	$9	2¢	$2	-$7	10-06 04:51
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	+55	$8	2¢	$1	-$7	10-06 04:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	9	$441	422	422	+0	No	+$378	10-02 07:33
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	10	$381	619	619	+0	open	—	10-24 06:16
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	2	$326	280	280	+0	Yes	+$26	10-13 21:35
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	1	$308	455	0	+455	Yes	+$147	10-03 14:38
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	8	$274	390	390	+0	No	-$157	10-14 20:58
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	5	$239	322	322	+0	No	-$64	10-09 03:53
Will Bernard Sévigny win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?	2	$143	83	83	+0	Yes	+$23	10-06 22:13
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)	4	$135	442	0	+442	Fluminense FC	-$135	10-21 22:06
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	1	$131	354	0	+354	Aston Villa FC	-$131	10-24 06:24
lib flu pal 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	6	$130	937	0	+937	Fluminense FC	-$130	10-14 20:59
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-16?	1	$120	429	0	+429	No	-$120	10-16 07:42
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	4	$108	231	231	+0	open	—	09-16 03:00
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-14?	1	$100	285	0	+285	Yes	+$185	10-13 21:38
Will Finland vs. Albania end in a draw?	2	$96	175	175	+0	No	-$64	10-03 14:34
Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-02?	2	$95	396	0	+396	Yes	+$301	10-02 20:55
Will Mirassol FC vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?	1	$86	297	0	+297	No	-$86	10-16 07:40
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$83	389	0	+389	No	-$83	09-28 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 15?	3	$74	188	0	+188	No	-$74	09-15 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 14?	7	$73	177	177	+0	No	+$18	09-14 13:39
Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)	1	$69	627	0	+627	Mirassol FC	-$69	10-16 07:42
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	09-13 22:51
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	2	$64	50	50	+0	No	+$7	09-22 06:24
Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	2	$63	350	0	+350	Yes	-$63	10-09 04:01
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	3	$60	50	50	+0	No	-$2	09-14 06:39
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$59	58	58	+0	open	—	09-14 06:09
wta ribera you 2026 09 28	2	$56	31	31	+0	Marina Bassols Ribera	+$2	09-29 06:15
Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	2	$53	32	32	+0	Yes	+$11	10-05 22:23
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?	5	$49	45	45	+0	No	+$19	09-17 22:19
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	3	$49	36	36	+0	open	—	10-05 22:27
Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$46	57	57	+0	Yes	$0	09-28 18:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 01:36:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–10%?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x5781a2…
10-25 01:36:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–12%?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xdd93ba…
10-25 01:26:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–12%?	Yes	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0xb7e594…
10-25 01:26:21	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	441	1¢	$3	0x16a836…
10-24 06:24:47	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	354	37¢	$131	0xc60409…
10-24 06:16:27	Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	446	31¢	$138	0xd35eb0…
10-23 21:53:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Yes	BUY	232	8¢	$18	0x6dc2a6…
10-23 15:09:17	Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	53	34¢	$18	0x4319b6…
10-22 21:59:26	Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xefabb4…
10-21 22:06:36	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)	SE Palmeiras	BUY	190	31¢	$59	0x3b46f6…
10-21 22:06:17	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)	SE Palmeiras	BUY	277	13¢	$36	0xceef65…
10-21 22:06:00	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)	SE Palmeiras	BUY	119	30¢	$36	0x68dba9…
10-21 18:07:53	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)	SE Palmeiras	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0xce9ea4…
10-21 18:06:11	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)	SE Palmeiras	BUY	107	30¢	$32	0x8ac490…
10-21 18:04:45	Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	114	35¢	$40	0x969719…
10-21 18:02:53	Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x6d0608…
10-16 07:42:52	Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)	SC Internacional	BUY	627	11¢	$69	0x1bb5ab…
10-16 07:42:24	Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	429	28¢	$120	0xf3466d…
10-16 07:40:57	Will Mirassol FC vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	297	29¢	$86	0x9ac91a…
10-14 20:59:45	lib flu pal 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	SE Palmeiras	BUY	340	14¢	$48	0xad5721…
10-14 20:59:12	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)	SE Palmeiras	BUY	210	4¢	$9	0xf64612…
10-14 20:59:12	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)	SE Palmeiras	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x6cf87c…
10-14 20:59:12	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)	SE Palmeiras	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x4a173d…
10-14 20:58:40	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	SELL	390	15¢	$59	0xc9dcbb…
10-14 20:37:33	lib flu pal 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	SE Palmeiras	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xf161cf…
10-14 20:37:31	lib flu pal 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	SE Palmeiras	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x6e7de3…
10-14 20:37:31	lib flu pal 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	SE Palmeiras	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x5a6c4d…
10-14 20:23:49	lib flu pal 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	SE Palmeiras	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0xd78614…
10-14 14:18:42	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	No	SELL	34	47¢	$16	0x3b26e4…
10-13 21:38:12	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	285	35¢	$100	0x61e64d…
10-13 21:37:36	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)	SE Palmeiras	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0xe0a76b…
10-13 21:35:10	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	280	63¢	$176	0xf5bc1f…
10-09 04:02:52	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0xbf4629…
10-09 04:02:52	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	77	14¢	$11	0x604dd3…
10-09 04:01:43	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	290	18¢	$52	0x580e11…
10-09 04:01:13	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x027a58…
10-09 04:00:43	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0x8fcf8d…
10-09 03:53:17	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	27¢	$65	0xf2b01d…
10-09 03:53:15	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	28¢	$23	0x03e96f…
10-09 03:01:27	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x9c9a07…
10-07 05:18:29	Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	150	23¢	$34	0x881fba…
10-07 03:51:35	Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5	Under	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x8bee0e…
10-07 03:09:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	47	28¢	$13	0xf694a7…
10-07 03:09:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?	No	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0xd67835…
10-07 03:09:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?	No	SELL	24	36¢	$9	0xd029f2…
10-07 03:09:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	23	37¢	$9	0x4938c2…
10-07 03:09:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?	No	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0x5797cf…
10-07 03:08:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?	No	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x79a34a…
10-07 03:08:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x9644ab…
10-07 03:08:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	No	SELL	19	51¢	$9	0x62111d…
10-06 22:15:17	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x97b206…
10-06 22:15:15	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	125	42¢	$52	0xfce030…
10-06 22:15:15	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x76b244…
10-06 22:15:15	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x68f9be…
10-06 22:13:56	Will Bernard Sévigny win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0xe47476…
10-06 04:51:33	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x72caec…
10-06 04:51:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xd9363a…
10-06 04:50:49	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	55	15¢	$8	0x3ee958…
10-06 04:50:30	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xe525ad…
10-06 04:00:01	Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5	Under	BUY	95	30¢	$28	0x8f95e5…
10-06 03:53:43	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	112	68¢	$76	0xcb6411…
10-06 03:53:43	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xa0f24e…
10-06 03:53:43	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	82	68¢	$56	0x25fb1a…
10-06 03:49:13	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	47¢	$127	0x6f8203…
10-06 03:49:13	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x603a4e…
10-06 03:49:12	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xb97f37…
10-06 03:42:31	Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	413	31¢	$130	0xba27c6…
10-06 03:41:06	Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x415574…
10-05 22:28:23	Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	54	27¢	$15	0xc561da…
10-05 22:28:08	Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0x003dfb…
10-05 22:27:31	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	29	66¢	$19	0xd2149e…
10-05 22:27:31	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$4	0x70920f…
10-05 22:23:55	Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xcca7b8…
10-05 21:21:02	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	280	54¢	$150	0xf182c4…
10-05 02:48:46	flavio bolsonaro charged or arrested by september 30 20260609144215531 20261001003357876	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x02a2d3…
10-04 20:15:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	29	49¢	$14	0x3fe507…
10-03 14:38:48	Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	BUY	455	68¢	$308	0xec4330…
10-03 14:34:45	Will Finland vs. Albania end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	175	9¢	$16	0x67fdf2…
10-03 14:20:15	Will Finland vs. Albania end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	175	46¢	$80	0x7a78cb…
10-03 13:17:51	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Yes	BUY	75	21¢	$16	0x043089…
10-02 20:55:33	Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	292	24¢	$70	0xbe86e5…
10-02 20:51:14	Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xd0c2ef…
10-02 07:42:14	Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	110	25¢	$28	0xf82cb7…
10-02 07:41:17	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	No	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0xfb0a60…
10-02 07:33:03	Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	No	SELL	93	95¢	$88	0xf1fff7…
10-02 07:32:15	Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0xc6df14…
10-02 06:47:44	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x04b862…
10-02 06:47:32	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x72a5a0…
10-02 06:47:12	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	No	BUY	49	18¢	$9	0x1a267b…
10-02 06:43:41	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7e47d9…
10-02 06:43:33	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6d9dea…
10-02 06:43:26	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by October 31?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa94807…
10-02 06:43:21	Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x0b0e81…
10-02 06:42:56	Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x4880d5…
10-02 06:32:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x73276a…
10-02 06:26:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x693b8d…
10-02 06:26:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x615a7f…
10-02 06:26:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd9f087…
10-02 06:26:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb677c9…
10-02 06:26:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x56a285…