Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$234
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
415
lifetime
Volume
$8.19K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$37
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 06-17 12:57
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
63%
Other
36%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +31 $-15 100¢ $31 +$46 06-14 22:09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +45 $7 $4 $-3 06-01 13:22
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +8 $3 16¢ $1 $-2 05-31 17:04
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +90 $12 $1 $-12 06-05 06:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +51 $-205 $0 +$205 06-09 18:45