Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$180
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
324
lifetime
Volume
$5.82K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$183
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 06-11 00:22
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
55%
Other
44%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +503 $131 25¢ $126 $-5 06-11 12:27
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +201 $16 $14 $-2 06-02 11:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +45 $7 28¢ $12 +$6 06-01 13:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +170 $13 $9 $-3 06-08 22:26
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +90 $12 10¢ $9 $-3 06-05 06:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +51 $-205 13¢ $7 +$211 06-09 18:45
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +77 $25 $3 $-22 05-31 17:12
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +8 $3 30¢ $2 $-1 05-31 17:04