Modest-Writer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

168

Trades

424

lifetime

Volume

$3.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 05-19 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 99% +$24

Sports

14% 62% +$32

Other

9% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades on file.

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba chi was 2026 04 07	1	$67	100	+100	Bulls	+$33	04-07 13:09
nba cha bos 2026 03 04	1	$65	94	+94	Hornets	$-65	03-04 04:52
nba orl min 2026 03 07	1	$57	82	+82	Magic	$-57	03-07 13:57
nba okc tor 2026 02 24	1	$56	100	+100	Thunder	+$44	02-23 13:40
nba lac nop 2026 03 18	1	$56	102	+102	Pelicans	+$46	03-18 06:23
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	1	$48	72	+72	Patriots	+$24	01-25 05:15
nfl hou pit 2026 01 12	1	$47	78	+78	Texans	+$31	01-12 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	5	$33	34	+34	Down	+$0	05-19 01:59
bnb updown 15m 1779153300	5	$33	33	+33	Down	+$0	05-19 01:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	5	$33	34	+34	Down	+$1	05-19 00:39
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$32	32	+32	Down	+$0	05-19 01:29
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	5	$32	32	+32	Down	+$0	05-19 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	5	$32	32	+32	Down	+$1	05-18 22:49
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	5	$31	31	+31	Up	+$0	05-18 21:59
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	5	$31	31	+31	Up	+$0	05-19 00:14
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	5	$31	31	+31	Up	+$0	05-18 23:59
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	5	$31	31	+31	Down	+$0	05-18 23:59
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	5	$31	31	+31	Down	+$0	05-18 20:44
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	5	$30	31	+31	Down	+$0	05-19 00:54
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$30	30	+30	Down	+$1	05-18 19:09
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$30	30	+30	Down	+$0	05-18 19:09
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	5	$30	30	+30	Down	+$0	05-18 18:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	5	$30	31	+31	Down	+$1	05-19 00:54
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	5	$30	30	+30	Down	+$0	05-19 01:14
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	5	$29	30	+30	Down	+$0	05-18 18:09
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	5	$29	30	+30	Up	+$0	05-18 17:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	5	$29	29	+29	Up	+$0	05-18 21:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	5	$29	29	+29	Up	+$1	05-18 22:39
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	5	$28	28	+28	Down	+$0	05-18 20:44
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	5	$28	28	+28	Down	+$0	05-19 00:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 01:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x10be41…
05-19 01:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0f5adf…
05-19 01:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x63d149…
05-19 01:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0a2e67…
05-19 01:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xcf1693…
05-19 01:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xafd66d…
05-19 01:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x96ae58…
05-19 01:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf0fa82…
05-19 01:49:53	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19f485…
05-19 01:49:51	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x768a65…
05-19 01:49:51	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4710f3…
05-19 01:49:50	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd9d097…
05-19 01:49:50	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9ca7bf…
05-19 01:44:12	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x84e8dd…
05-19 01:44:10	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbaf8c0…
05-19 01:39:16	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x704a3e…
05-19 01:39:16	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x34148c…
05-19 01:39:14	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x82d052…
05-19 01:34:41	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd1c363…
05-19 01:29:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32b927…
05-19 01:29:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb880f9…
05-19 01:29:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9c571a…
05-19 01:29:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7f0fd2…
05-19 01:29:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb3c2c3…
05-19 01:29:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa768fe…
05-19 01:29:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x89f292…
05-19 01:29:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x279979…
05-19 01:29:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x854fa2…
05-19 01:29:26	bnb updown 15m 1779153300	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc5c9ce…
05-19 01:29:25	bnb updown 15m 1779153300	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x86db38…
05-19 01:29:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x29487f…
05-19 01:29:21	bnb updown 15m 1779153300	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf15bb2…
05-19 01:29:21	bnb updown 15m 1779153300	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x802fbf…
05-19 01:29:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9b45ca…
05-19 01:29:14	bnb updown 15m 1779153300	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2b87d2…
05-19 01:19:10	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd47fe9…
05-19 01:19:10	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x84123e…
05-19 01:14:46	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10c32c…
05-19 01:14:44	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d7941…
05-19 01:14:44	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x070cab…
05-19 01:14:41	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0xbe1d62…
05-19 01:14:39	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ac0ce…
05-19 01:14:39	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1de371…
05-19 01:09:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x12917b…
05-19 01:09:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0bbb6a…
05-19 01:09:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2092e0…
05-19 01:09:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3c8fac…
05-19 01:04:18	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x4aade3…
05-19 00:59:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x98ca52…
05-19 00:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0xa5ed4b…
05-19 00:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x1034f4…
05-19 00:54:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf74427…
05-19 00:54:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6d9157…
05-19 00:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x93049e…
05-19 00:54:25	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x73b52d…
05-19 00:54:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x59f357…
05-19 00:54:25	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0a3a22…
05-19 00:54:23	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x943550…
05-19 00:54:23	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x53688d…
05-19 00:54:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x05c8e8…
05-19 00:54:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x40db68…
05-19 00:54:19	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x539419…
05-19 00:44:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17eff0…
05-19 00:44:40	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x59695d…
05-19 00:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdde6f1…
05-19 00:44:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb8b92…
05-19 00:44:26	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5bbb6c…
05-19 00:44:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8cb563…
05-19 00:44:14	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2654e…
05-19 00:44:14	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c7043…
05-19 00:44:10	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x54cbd7…
05-19 00:39:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xa86525…
05-19 00:39:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x815f81…
05-19 00:39:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x2b6dd2…
05-19 00:39:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x1866b5…
05-19 00:39:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xfe84a8…
05-19 00:29:28	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb5abaa…
05-19 00:29:25	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe4cb71…
05-19 00:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xff10c6…
05-19 00:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x10db84…
05-19 00:29:20	doge updown 15m 1779149700	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf7e794…
05-19 00:29:16	doge updown 15m 1779149700	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfe54de…
05-19 00:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x73ce8d…
05-19 00:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3769e7…
05-19 00:29:14	doge updown 15m 1779149700	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2c5e36…
05-19 00:24:41	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfbf69e…
05-19 00:24:26	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x119db8…
05-19 00:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x470232…
05-19 00:24:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x824a10…
05-19 00:24:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x88dd1c…
05-19 00:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc808a9…
05-19 00:19:32	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1236da…
05-19 00:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe7fae1…
05-19 00:19:16	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa193e4…
05-19 00:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x432436…
05-19 00:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x665aeb…
05-19 00:19:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1831d6…
05-19 00:14:45	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa9d684…
05-19 00:14:45	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3b8361…
05-19 00:14:43	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f356c…