Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$637

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.5%

Resolved

185

Trades

3,044

lifetime

Volume

$25.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-30

last 10-30 06:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

75% 11% -$528

Politics

11% 20% -$35

Sports

8% 9% -$50

Tech

3% 0% -$25

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $0

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
AWS service disrupted by November 30?	21	$170	142	142	+0	open	—	10-26 01:54
Will Real Tomayapo be relegated from the 2026 Bolivia LFPB?	13	$151	120	120	+0	open	—	10-29 09:58
Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	7	$122	84	84	+0	No	-$3	10-24 23:29
Will C.J. Stroud have 3,849.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	10	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	10-21 11:40
Will Justin Herbert have 3,349.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	11	$101	98	98	+0	open	—	10-26 22:08
Will Quentin Johnston have 649.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	10	$91	86	86	+0	open	—	10-25 12:33
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	13	$91	90	90	+0	open	—	10-26 19:49
Will DK Metcalf have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	12	$90	80	80	+0	open	—	10-25 13:53
Will Chase Brown have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	13	$87	85	85	+0	open	—	10-23 00:43
Will Lyngby be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	9	$87	80	80	+0	open	—	10-28 22:39
Will Trevor Lawrence have 31.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	10	$85	99	79	+20	open	—	10-28 22:41
Will CeeDee Lamb have 1,399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	8	$79	80	80	+0	open	—	10-27 14:34
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	5	$78	60	60	+0	No	+$8	10-22 17:33
Will Aaron Rodgers have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	10	$78	67	67	+0	open	—	10-26 01:21
Will Genoa be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?	6	$75	60	60	+0	open	—	10-19 18:44
Will Josh Allen have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	8	$74	80	80	+0	open	—	10-29 12:38
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	11	$74	80	80	+0	open	—	10-16 15:56
Will Rome Odunze have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	9	$72	67	67	+0	open	—	10-24 03:25
Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	6	$72	51	51	+0	open	—	10-19 11:28
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	5	$72	57	57	+0	open	—	10-05 17:56
Will Silkeborg be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	6	$71	60	60	+0	open	—	10-27 21:04
Will Drake Maye have 29.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	6	$70	60	60	+0	open	—	10-26 06:05
Will DeVonta Smith have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	8	$70	49	49	+0	open	—	10-25 05:41
Will Lil Uzi Vert release an album in 2026?	6	$70	60	60	+0	open	—	10-21 20:19
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	8	$69	70	70	+0	No	-$4	10-25 19:16
Will Josh Downs have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	7	$69	60	60	+0	open	—	10-05 09:38
Will NK Rudeš be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	6	$68	60	60	+0	open	—	10-28 03:00
Will Jonathan Taylor have 15.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	11	$68	69	68	+1	open	—	10-28 02:02
Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	7	$67	60	60	+0	open	—	10-25 16:47
Will Jordan Love have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	10	$67	79	79	+0	open	—	10-19 15:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 06:11:12	Will Nathan Fielder be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xe2ca85…
10-29 17:55:01	Next DeepSeek Pro released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x85d2cb…
10-29 13:54:53	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xfb5560…
10-29 13:20:49	Will Delfín be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x6d7e3a…
10-29 12:38:37	Will Josh Allen have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x9ac0b5…
10-29 12:36:07	Will Josh Allen have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x93485e…
10-29 12:01:47	Will Kenneth Walker III have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xbfa6e3…
10-29 11:20:52	Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xda6188…
10-29 11:19:50	Will Caleb Williams have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x3aaa88…
10-29 11:19:34	Will Caleb Williams have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa3396b…
10-29 10:36:31	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 14?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x5ed278…
10-29 10:34:52	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 14?	No	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x2ad642…
10-29 10:34:34	Will Kenneth Walker III have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xfd36c0…
10-29 09:58:49	Will Real Tomayapo be relegated from the 2026 Bolivia LFPB?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xf8f1dd…
10-29 09:36:11	Will Kyle Connor record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x4c4783…
10-29 09:03:05	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	No	SELL	19	66¢	$13	0xc6bd40…
10-29 08:58:44	Will Real Tomayapo be relegated from the 2026 Bolivia LFPB?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x1ea400…
10-29 08:48:53	Will Jaguares be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x801540…
10-29 08:43:17	Will Nathan Fielder be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x55571e…
10-29 08:35:17	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	No	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0xf9735f…
10-29 08:32:59	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $7.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xd73db9…
10-29 08:25:01	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xda29e8…
10-29 08:15:01	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x4c0841…
10-29 08:08:19	Will Kyle Connor record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xec624f…
10-29 08:01:43	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x69ad39…
10-29 07:57:38	Will Dallas Goedert have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0x70e30a…
10-29 07:54:14	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x76aa3b…
10-29 07:47:13	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xaf1b9d…
10-29 07:43:40	Will Sam Darnold have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8f939c…
10-29 07:19:56	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x4f5d3c…
10-29 07:16:43	Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xfef3b6…
10-29 07:10:10	Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x961e07…
10-29 07:10:01	Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x7965ee…
10-29 07:05:49	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x161f25…
10-29 06:05:19	Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x5f1058…
10-29 05:59:26	Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala in New York?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xa653b3…
10-29 05:59:17	Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala in New York?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x212b59…
10-29 05:56:56	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs record 100+ points?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x911df1…
10-29 05:53:58	Will Tama Shimabukuro qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x94fb3d…
10-29 05:51:41	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs record 100+ points?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xc904c2…
10-29 05:48:44	Will Jaguares be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xbabe98…
10-29 05:07:28	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $7.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x69f31d…
10-29 04:51:32	Will Kaden Honeycutt win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xa39c5b…
10-29 04:46:31	Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.5 or higher?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xa93ed8…
10-29 04:46:23	Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.5 or higher?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x32b3cc…
10-29 04:32:08	Will Delfín be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xee7846…
10-29 03:41:08	Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x2c8509…
10-29 02:31:25	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x40a52b…
10-29 02:31:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xa67bc7…
10-29 02:01:52	Will Auston Matthews record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xebb9e7…
10-29 01:54:34	Next DeepSeek Pro released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x947a92…
10-29 01:47:53	Will FC Zhetysu be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?	No	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0x010e23…
10-29 01:38:56	Will Tama Shimabukuro qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xbe1416…
10-29 01:22:05	Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x8326a8…
10-29 01:14:40	Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0xf3f6e2…
10-29 01:14:40	Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x53e7a4…
10-29 01:08:13	Will Courtland Sutton have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xef42d4…
10-29 01:04:25	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x42b0ff…
10-29 01:01:50	Will FC Altai be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x8d7f04…
10-29 00:57:07	Will FC Zhetysu be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?	No	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xad2fb8…
10-29 00:54:40	Will FC Altai be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xdc7f98…
10-29 00:27:23	Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0x0f49b1…
10-29 00:24:01	Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x17bc87…
10-29 00:20:26	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xec8974…
10-29 00:12:55	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x0026e8…
10-29 00:09:47	gemini carbon released by november 13 2026 20261026	No	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0xe781a4…
10-29 00:06:32	dwts 35 week 8 elimination tatali	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x56ee4c…
10-29 00:06:29	dwts 35 week 8 elimination tatali	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x7cd9f5…
10-28 23:58:50	Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xf48230…
10-28 23:56:53	Will Nico Collins have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xa7f575…
10-28 23:56:07	dwts 35 week 8 elimination tatali	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x282bb4…
10-28 23:56:05	dwts 35 week 8 elimination tatali	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x8f481d…
10-28 23:41:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x74f43e…
10-28 23:31:40	Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x537120…
10-28 23:16:35	Will Gemini Carbon debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xb5f6c7…
10-28 23:15:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0x150926…
10-28 22:41:16	Will Trevor Lawrence have 31.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x15c9c7…
10-28 22:39:59	Will Lyngby be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xb87451…
10-28 22:37:43	Will Sam Darnold have 3,449.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x54e6ed…
10-28 22:33:22	Will Lyngby be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x2d4f42…
10-28 22:24:01	Will Gemini Carbon debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x8df9bd…
10-28 22:20:50	Will Matthew Stafford have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xd84afb…
10-28 22:19:50	Will Matthew Stafford have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0x406028…
10-28 22:16:25	next fable model 5pt2 released by november 4 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfd6fa4…
10-28 22:16:23	next fable model 5pt2 released by november 4 2026	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x13fa5b…
10-28 22:14:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x06d266…
10-28 22:01:22	will gemini carbon debut in the top 3 of the text arena leaderboard by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6ca9b5…
10-28 21:59:35	will gemini carbon debut in the top 1 of the text arena leaderboard by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0e062d…
10-28 21:32:05	Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x9d5dc0…
10-28 21:27:11	Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x697159…
10-28 21:23:01	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0xc9c915…
10-28 21:23:01	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0x971267…
10-28 21:20:23	Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xd2355f…
10-28 20:41:19	Will AC Milan qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x9f6a40…
10-28 20:27:26	Will Real Tomayapo be relegated from the 2026 Bolivia LFPB?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x491c25…
10-28 20:21:01	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xe7895b…
10-28 19:58:07	over 25m committed to the over computer public sale	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x5f3af8…
10-28 19:38:46	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x6f910b…
10-28 19:38:28	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xe01c05…
10-28 19:35:32	over 25m committed to the over computer public sale	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x980f2a…