Alarming-Caftan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$7.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-21 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

83% — —

Other

15% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 3000 on january 1	1	$215	215	0	+215	open	—	01-01 16:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 2	1	$213	213	0	+213	open	—	01-02 16:51
bitcoin above 90k on january 4	1	$211	211	0	+211	open	—	01-04 16:37
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 6	1	$209	209	0	+209	open	—	01-06 16:38
ethereum above 3200 on january 9	1	$206	206	0	+206	open	—	01-09 16:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 15	1	$202	202	0	+202	open	—	01-15 16:47
will the price of solana be between 140 150 on january 12	1	$202	202	0	+202	open	—	01-12 16:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 16	1	$201	202	0	+202	open	—	01-16 16:36
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 13	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	01-13 16:47
bitcoin above 94k on january 18	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	01-18 16:38
will the price of xrp be between 2pt00 2pt10 on january 23	1	$198	198	0	+198	open	—	01-23 16:54
will the price of solana be between 120 130 on january 24	1	$197	197	0	+197	open	—	01-24 16:37
will the price of solana be between 130 140 on january 28	1	$197	198	0	+198	open	—	01-28 16:59
will the price of solana be between 130 140 on january 26	1	$196	197	0	+197	open	—	01-26 16:45
solana above 110 on january 30	1	$195	195	0	+195	open	—	01-30 16:49
solana above 100 on february 5	1	$190	190	0	+190	open	—	02-05 16:11
will the price of solana be between 80 90 on february 9	1	$186	186	0	+186	open	—	02-09 16:53
will the price of solana be between 90 100 on february 10	1	$185	186	0	+186	open	—	02-10 16:38
xrp above 2 on january 21	1	$178	179	0	+179	open	—	01-21 16:36
ethereum above 2000 on february 26	5	$165	170	6	+163	open	—	02-26 16:59
xrp above 1pt3 on february 27	1	$163	163	0	+163	open	—	02-27 16:37
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 3	1	$162	163	0	+163	open	—	03-03 16:38
will the price of solana be between 130 140 on january 19	1	$157	157	0	+157	open	—	01-19 16:46
ethereum above 2000 on february 19	1	$157	157	0	+157	open	—	02-19 16:21
will the price of solana be between 120 130 on january 20	1	$156	157	0	+157	open	—	01-20 16:46
xrp above 1pt4 on february 16	1	$155	155	0	+155	open	—	02-16 16:34
will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on february 15	1	$154	155	0	+155	open	—	02-15 16:36
will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on february 17	1	$154	155	0	+155	open	—	02-17 16:34
xrp above 2pt2 on january 11	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	01-11 16:44
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 11	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-11 16:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 18:54:17	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x88bacb…
05-21 17:54:29	Will Team WE qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xa23bb6…
05-06 20:26:55	Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc86ee2…
05-06 20:24:45	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1c5bc7…
05-06 20:23:54	Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2cf5e5…
05-06 20:23:25	Will Trump say "Clown" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcea6b6…
05-06 20:21:10	Airbnb Nights and Seats Booked above 160 million in Q1?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa7e481…
05-06 20:19:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x363718…
03-24 18:24:33	over 240 us flights cancelled on march 24	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7880cd…
03-24 18:24:07	will rizo velovic be voted off survivor season 50 this week 629	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaaf79d…
03-24 18:23:07	will solana dip to 80 on march 24	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xeb5324…
03-24 18:22:27	tsla close above 390 on march 24 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfa744d…
03-24 18:21:49	googl close above 290 on march 24 2026	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xf6694b…
03-24 18:20:37	msft close above 370 on march 24 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xda96b6…
03-24 18:20:13	meta close above 600 on march 24 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x4eca14…
03-24 18:19:39	aapl close above 255 on march 24 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8284d4…
03-24 18:18:59	nvda close above 185 on march 24 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb713ae…
03-18 10:11:43	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x154b95…
03-18 10:11:17	m quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 05 2026 1pt55	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3036f0…
03-18 10:10:57	googl close above 305 on march 18 2026	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7392ad…
03-18 10:10:31	amzn close above 210 on march 18 2026	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x942e5a…
03-18 10:10:13	aapl close above 250 on march 18 2026	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x4421fd…
03-18 10:08:21	msft close above 410 on march 18 2026	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf5e028…
03-18 10:07:55	nvda close above 190 on march 18 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x25180c…
03-18 10:07:33	tsla close above 390 on march 18 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9c437f…
03-18 10:07:01	meta close above 610 on march 18 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6f6c04…
03-13 18:18:19	will pltr close between 146 and 148 week march 13 2026	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x6176fa…
03-13 18:13:45	will msft close between 410 and 420 week march 13 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x07666d…
03-13 18:13:13	will meta close below 620 week march 13 2026	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1c63b8…
03-13 18:12:33	nvda close above 185 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe50ddc…
03-13 18:12:17	tsla close above 400 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xb9f705…
03-13 18:11:51	googl close above 305 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb960db…
03-13 18:11:27	amzn close above 215 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x68f287…
03-13 18:11:01	aapl close above 255 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2e5319…
03-13 18:10:35	msft close above 410 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4f6a20…
03-13 18:01:49	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbabc90…
03-13 18:01:37	will radarscope be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa36b97…
03-13 18:01:31	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2296c8…
03-13 18:01:25	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 13 793 685 412	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0x31488d…
03-12 19:48:41	googl close above 300 on march 12 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xde9a44…
03-12 19:48:19	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 13 793 685 412	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xf1f928…
03-12 19:47:31	will radarscope be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x69a284…
03-12 19:47:05	will trumps approval rating be between 41pt5 and 41pt9 on march 13 2026 792	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xbb163c…
03-12 19:46:41	bzfd quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 12 2026 0pt03	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x85fb2c…
03-12 19:46:11	tsla close above 400 on march 12 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1cbfdd…
03-12 19:45:31	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8c40f6…
03-12 19:45:01	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x857d0b…
03-12 19:44:19	nvda close above 185 on march 12 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x7ed553…
03-12 07:43:33	will mrbeasts next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 5	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4f3fa4…
03-11 17:43:07	msft close above 400 on march 11 2026	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7d60c2…
03-11 17:42:39	will mrbeasts next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 5	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc561b9…
03-11 17:41:43	tsla close above 420 on march 11 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x15f9b7…
03-11 17:41:11	meta close above 660 on march 11 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x31ffa6…
03-11 17:40:45	googl close above 315 on march 11 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xde2444…
03-11 17:40:19	amzn close above 215 on march 11 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x521f6e…
03-11 17:38:41	msft close above 400 on march 11 2026	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xdc665d…
03-11 17:38:09	aapl close above 255 on march 11 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbfcaf4…
03-11 17:37:25	nvda close above 195 on march 11 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x90299d…
03-10 16:50:25	solana above 90 on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe8f679…
03-10 16:45:09	will cr win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbe74a0…
03-09 06:37:39	will ph win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2dca5d…
03-08 18:17:55	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf44d75…
03-08 18:17:49	will the climate fund initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x16922e…
03-07 17:08:25	2026 arnold palmer invitational presented by mastercard top20 tommy fleetwood	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x378d25…
03-07 17:05:33	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xb168ae…
03-07 17:02:55	will the climate fund initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9e9f61…
03-07 17:01:51	will cr win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5b527d…
03-07 17:00:55	will ph win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x851b93…
03-05 16:55:35	ethereum above 2100 on march 5	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x4c5301…
03-03 16:38:45	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 3	No	BUY	163	100¢	$162	0x36e284…
03-02 16:46:51	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 2	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x3a848f…
02-27 16:37:21	xrp above 1pt3 on february 27	Yes	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x672ee0…
02-26 16:59:54	ethereum above 2000 on february 26	No	BUY	163	98¢	$161	0xe71fac…
02-26 16:57:50	ethereum above 2000 on february 26	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xd60f0e…
02-26 16:57:50	xrp above 1pt4 on february 26	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x080fcd…
02-26 16:55:06	xrp above 1pt4 on february 26	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x67d27f…
02-26 16:52:12	ethereum above 2000 on february 26	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcae41d…
02-26 16:51:40	ethereum above 2000 on february 26	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xbf6bd6…
02-26 16:49:56	ethereum above 2000 on february 26	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7fbf36…
02-26 16:46:46	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on february 26	Yes	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x4f297b…
02-26 16:46:34	will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on february 26	No	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x5c7618…
02-26 16:44:38	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on february 26	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4a33cd…
02-26 16:40:58	will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on february 26	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x73e5ff…
02-22 17:19:50	will ethereum reach 2200 february 16 22	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x7f3f7a…
02-22 17:18:42	will solana dip to 70 february 16 22	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x279837…
02-19 16:57:32	bitcoin above 66k on february 19	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x1cbe4e…
02-19 16:21:18	ethereum above 2000 on february 19	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0xc2bc05…
02-19 16:18:24	bitcoin above 66k on february 19	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x59d969…
02-17 16:40:09	bitcoin above 66k on february 17	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x247b36…
02-17 16:36:39	bitcoin above 68k on february 17	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xb4e0dd…
02-17 16:34:55	will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on february 17	No	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0xd4279a…
02-17 16:24:29	bitcoin above 68k on february 17	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcb599c…
02-16 16:34:13	xrp above 1pt4 on february 16	Yes	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x48de22…
02-15 16:36:47	will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on february 15	No	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0x884ece…
02-14 17:42:07	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xc72be2…
02-14 16:39:17	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x162cd7…
02-14 00:17:21	dota2 ty heroic 2026 02 13	Heroic	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x92a40d…
02-14 00:12:25	dota2 ty heroic 2026 02 13	Heroic	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd01256…
02-14 00:10:43	dota2 ty heroic 2026 02 13 game4	Team Yandex	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x2df3b5…
02-13 23:51:01	dota2 ty heroic 2026 02 13 game4	Team Yandex	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9c55bf…