Present-Recipe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

290

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 01:38
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:22
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:31
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:19
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:14
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:53
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:40
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:53
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-04 13:38
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:27
highest temperature in los angeles on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 02:13
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:40
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 17:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc86a09…
11-02 06:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63e88b…
10-31 15:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x244cfa…
10-30 14:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb57a9d…
10-29 17:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x452857…
10-29 09:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43a95a…
10-28 07:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1c62f…
10-27 09:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab678d…
10-26 09:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf53bd8…
10-24 11:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0527d4…
10-22 10:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4e518…
10-20 07:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadc30e…
10-19 09:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x010014…
10-18 10:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d4df3…
10-17 15:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb87f4c…
10-16 10:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19f9a2…
10-15 13:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04b4a0…
10-14 09:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa08d46…
10-13 09:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c31d7…
10-12 09:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fc9a7…
10-11 09:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21140d…
10-08 12:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x436261…
10-07 15:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x020771…
10-06 15:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb34ba…
10-05 06:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x265ba1…
10-03 09:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41d732…
10-02 13:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68b6f5…
10-01 09:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43be8c…
09-30 02:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd521c9…
09-28 09:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fa76b…
09-27 09:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabd31b…
09-25 16:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2d9f6…
09-24 08:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c785d…
09-23 08:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68e23b…
09-22 08:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e6b80…
09-21 09:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbd43f…
09-20 05:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5dcd1…
09-19 08:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x505196…
09-18 07:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7526fa…
09-17 04:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6151eb…
09-16 08:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc73692…
09-15 10:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e4019…
09-14 09:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2561cc…
09-13 03:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb29ddf…
09-11 09:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f2d6f…
09-10 08:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22047e…
09-09 02:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4019de…
09-08 06:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef2d1e…
09-07 08:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x999b43…
09-06 16:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2cfee…
09-06 10:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70b2ae…
09-05 01:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ae882…
09-04 01:01:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb33e9…
09-02 07:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb32659…
08-30 09:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36bac8…
08-29 09:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1974c…
08-28 08:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1f060…
08-27 09:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadd89f…
08-26 08:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50ae17…
08-25 09:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x261565…
08-24 14:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe59029…
08-23 15:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64aa48…
08-22 09:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x013597…
08-21 08:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1121b2…
08-20 09:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfeee87…
08-18 08:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4e0d7…
08-17 08:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x290fe3…
08-16 14:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ba2fc…
08-15 10:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39055e…
08-14 06:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13126a…
08-13 09:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8d46d…
08-12 09:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ce564…
08-11 07:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5449a…
08-10 08:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b8ff0…
08-09 06:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb31ff7…
08-08 07:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x430264…
08-07 08:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfa24c…
08-06 07:41:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd6522…
08-05 08:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14f2c6…
08-04 08:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5763b…
08-03 07:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5d51e…
08-02 06:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xece120…
08-01 07:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a3b49…
07-31 14:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e7bb3…
07-30 07:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4517ae…
07-29 07:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x027d70…
07-28 07:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0278d1…
07-27 09:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1a092…
07-26 07:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf99e98…
07-25 09:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5fe17…
07-24 13:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20f892…
07-23 08:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x924421…
07-22 02:10:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ec6f1…
07-21 09:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ae2a9…
07-21 00:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x236fda…
07-20 08:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9af201…
07-18 23:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09032e…
07-18 05:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1db89…
07-17 07:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f724f…
07-15 22:18:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xf26c2c…