Bleak-Spill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$186

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

469

Trades

3,355

lifetime

Volume

$24.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 05-09 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$186

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 259 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1773406500	6	$73	63	49	+14	open	—	03-13 12:58
xrp updown 5m 1773184800	2	$72	49	48	+1	open	—	03-10 23:25
xrp updown 5m 1773183900	2	$72	49	48	+1	open	—	03-10 23:11
btc updown 5m 1773420300	3	$70	49	48	+1	open	—	03-13 16:49
sol updown 5m 1774147800	5	$70	60	49	+11	open	—	03-22 02:54
sol updown 5m 1774147500	5	$67	77	47	+30	open	—	03-22 02:49
btc updown 5m 1774154400	2	$66	49	48	+1	open	—	03-22 04:44
xrp updown 5m 1773667500	2	$62	50	49	+1	open	—	03-16 13:27
eth updown 5m 1774155600	3	$60	65	64	+1	open	—	03-22 05:04
sol updown 5m 1772923200	1	$50	96	0	+96	open	—	03-07 22:39
btc updown 15m 1771190100	4	$46	31	31	+0	open	—	02-15 21:31
eth updown 15m 1771018200	4	$40	41	41	+1	open	—	02-13 21:28
btc updown 15m 1771264800	6	$39	37	23	+14	open	—	02-16 18:11
sol updown 5m 1774193700	4	$38	28	27	+0	open	—	03-22 15:37
btc updown 5m 1774241700	8	$38	57	25	+32	open	—	03-23 04:59
eth updown 5m 1772996400	1	$37	74	0	+74	open	—	03-08 18:59
xrp updown 5m 1772988900	1	$37	74	0	+74	open	—	03-08 16:55
eth updown 5m 1772998500	1	$37	79	0	+79	open	—	03-08 19:34
eth updown 5m 1772940300	1	$37	72	0	+72	open	—	03-08 03:24
eth updown 5m 1772944500	1	$37	74	0	+74	open	—	03-08 04:34
xrp updown 5m 1772985900	1	$37	73	0	+73	open	—	03-08 16:04
sol updown 5m 1772927700	1	$37	73	0	+73	open	—	03-07 23:54
xrp updown 5m 1772964300	1	$37	73	0	+73	open	—	03-08 10:04
btc updown 5m 1772947200	1	$37	75	0	+75	open	—	03-08 05:19
eth updown 5m 1772987100	1	$37	73	0	+73	open	—	03-08 16:24
sol updown 5m 1772936700	1	$37	73	0	+73	open	—	03-08 02:24
xrp updown 5m 1772952000	1	$37	72	0	+72	open	—	03-08 06:39
eth updown 5m 1772939400	1	$37	72	0	+72	open	—	03-08 03:09
eth updown 5m 1774192200	3	$37	36	25	+12	open	—	03-22 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	4	$36	27	27	+0	Up	+$9	05-05 10:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 09:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x31809f…
05-09 09:05:51	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa52c0d…
05-09 09:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7980ea…
05-09 07:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0140c8…
05-09 07:05:37	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xebcb5f…
05-09 06:40:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe715a6…
05-09 06:35:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbfc9ef…
05-09 06:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x66050e…
05-09 06:10:47	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa1973f…
05-09 06:06:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5af1c7…
05-09 05:51:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xba178b…
05-09 05:50:50	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf7fb74…
05-09 05:35:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5531f2…
05-09 05:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe62850…
05-09 05:20:46	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x79c6b1…
05-09 04:40:33	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8c1eb9…
05-09 04:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xebd8b4…
05-09 04:30:24	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x04ea88…
05-09 04:05:24	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x833927…
05-09 04:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa625b2…
05-09 03:55:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa38c5b…
05-09 03:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1adcbd…
05-09 02:45:29	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc6c7a4…
05-09 01:35:54	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6d95e6…
05-09 01:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa924be…
05-09 00:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2c890d…
05-08 23:50:47	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x874752…
05-08 22:55:43	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc0f01c…
05-08 22:45:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2a4693…
05-08 22:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc20bee…
05-08 21:40:54	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6eac38…
05-08 21:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x97db33…
05-08 20:25:58	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4c8022…
05-08 20:20:59	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1c4864…
05-08 20:05:56	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x73d0ba…
05-08 19:15:55	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x18ac28…
05-08 19:00:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc1d031…
05-08 18:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x139149…
05-08 18:20:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x9f1bd3…
05-08 18:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x32c9f3…
05-08 17:05:58	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xcdb347…
05-08 15:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x99766e…
05-08 14:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xad2d27…
05-08 14:05:30	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x64e281…
05-08 12:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x31be6a…
05-08 10:11:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3f5a43…
05-08 10:10:22	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x283c0b…
05-08 09:46:21	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xabf94c…
05-08 09:45:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xaf6654…
05-08 07:06:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xaeb629…
05-08 07:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2b4f4e…
05-08 05:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0c9c36…
05-08 05:05:29	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdb27d3…
05-08 05:00:37	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x16d2fc…
05-08 04:55:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x051218…
05-08 04:25:24	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9aabb6…
05-08 00:05:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xaa4cfc…
05-07 23:05:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xef95ad…
05-07 22:56:09	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x117723…
05-07 22:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa1a455…
05-07 21:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfb8fd2…
05-07 21:45:34	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x34c7ec…
05-07 21:36:19	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf2e3ee…
05-07 21:35:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa28f64…
05-07 21:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf64d9a…
05-07 20:05:35	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcf9618…
05-07 19:55:45	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xff1404…
05-07 19:50:58	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb392ff…
05-07 19:41:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0e9417…
05-07 19:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x977b1b…
05-07 19:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6d269c…
05-07 18:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaf4f60…
05-07 17:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x73a71f…
05-07 17:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb5bb0f…
05-07 16:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x229cc2…
05-07 16:05:30	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc9d84b…
05-07 16:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x805ae7…
05-07 16:00:36	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2ff554…
05-07 15:50:24	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2ca12d…
05-07 15:11:14	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x428c5a…
05-07 15:10:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2843cd…
05-07 12:31:08	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb77aff…
05-07 12:15:30	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbe8853…
05-07 12:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4c725b…
05-07 11:26:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x394cda…
05-07 11:25:36	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x615f90…
05-07 11:06:14	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x17e913…
05-07 11:05:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x88ec2a…
05-07 08:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2ce19d…
05-07 07:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9afbbd…
05-07 06:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6ecc4b…
05-07 06:30:50	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x414e91…
05-07 04:56:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x889824…
05-07 04:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xedde68…
05-07 04:15:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x30c818…
05-07 04:15:51	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb18f92…
05-07 04:00:55	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7e8989…
05-07 04:00:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xaff48b…
05-07 03:40:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc0662f…
05-07 03:20:38	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2cab5b…