Phony-Chainstay-Shelter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$153

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 07-21 07:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% 100% +$0

Sports

20% — —

Other

18% 100% +$1

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba okc bos 2026 03 25	1	$9	22	+22	open	—	03-24 08:40
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$9	43	+43	open	—	03-19 05:03
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	1	$8	9	+9	open	—	06-06 03:48
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 15c	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	04-01 05:49
nhl sj nsh 2026 04 13	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	04-13 06:35
israel closes its airspace by june 11	1	$7	8	+8	open	—	06-11 04:00
iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	07-04 06:14
iran successfully targets shipping on july 3 20260625225210244	1	$7	8	+8	open	—	06-28 10:34
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	07-16 03:58
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$7	7	+7	Team Falcons	+$1	05-07 05:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	05-22 07:26
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	07-07 06:08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	04-26 06:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	05-02 10:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-14 03:46
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 5	1	$6	9	+9	open	—	03-17 07:43
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	1	$6	57	+57	open	—	07-21 07:14
nhl fla ott 2026 04 09	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-09 05:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$5	74	+74	open	—	05-26 03:47
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 27	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	03-27 10:23
will trump shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615194910741	1	$5	117	+117	open	—	06-18 08:05
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	03-27 10:09
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-14 05:11
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	03-15 07:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 07:14:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	57	10¢	$6	0xe8c2f0…
07-16 03:58:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xc3765f…
07-07 06:08:01	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb06068…
07-04 06:14:44	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x631e67…
06-28 10:34:02	iran successfully targets shipping on july 3 20260625225210244	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x703b0a…
06-18 08:05:43	will trump shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615194910741	Yes	BUY	117	4¢	$5	0xdacc5f…
06-11 04:00:12	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xbb45aa…
06-06 03:48:19	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0x778bb3…
05-26 03:47:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x1e1858…
05-22 07:26:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x5df28e…
05-14 03:46:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x3fe086…
05-07 05:58:17	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	7	89¢	$7	0x8f529f…
05-02 10:07:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x64ab7f…
04-26 06:29:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xc4da5d…
04-13 06:35:33	nhl sj nsh 2026 04 13	Predators	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x7c6063…
04-09 05:35:43	nhl fla ott 2026 04 09	Senators	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x1dbb0f…
04-01 05:49:13	highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 15c	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x7ca7d2…
03-27 10:23:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 27	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x0c3f75…
03-27 10:09:11	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4ed011…
03-24 08:40:43	nba okc bos 2026 03 25	Celtics	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x909b1d…
03-19 05:03:53	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	43	20¢	$9	0x3dc7d3…
03-17 07:43:49	will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 5	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x82be51…
03-15 07:27:55	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb50175…
03-14 05:11:27	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x4803b8…