Humiliating-Buzzard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$74

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.4%

Resolved

Trades

7,204

lifetime

Volume

$25.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 06-01 15:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

55% 40% +$68

Crypto

39% — —

Politics

5% 100% +$5

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 1621 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	25	$1.4K	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	05-20 03:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$978	1,098	0	+1,098	open	—	05-18 01:08
btc updown 4h 1775318400	209	$781	791	823	-33	open	—	04-04 19:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$715	600	2,032	-1,432	open	—	06-01 15:16
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?	195	$258	535	97	+438	open	—	04-27 18:08
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	57	$229	246	109	+137	open	—	04-25 16:01
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	58	$224	417	0	+417	Yes	$-9	05-06 20:32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	44	$204	599	0	+599	open	—	04-27 20:44
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25?	43	$204	219	109	+110	open	—	04-25 18:20
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?	51	$186	102	102	+1	open	—	04-25 18:44
btc updown 4h 1775548800	70	$171	2,003	0	+2,003	open	—	04-07 11:51
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	50	$168	238	3	+235	open	—	04-25 20:50
Will Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?	34	$165	96	96	+1	open	—	04-25 16:01
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?	80	$161	228	32	+195	open	—	04-26 14:00
btc updown 4h 1776153600	36	$156	252	0	+252	open	—	04-14 11:58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	52	$155	587	1	+586	open	—	04-25 18:19
btc updown 15m 1775367000	37	$145	273	0	+273	open	—	04-05 05:45
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-25?	61	$135	702	39	+662	open	—	04-25 17:18
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 6pm et	33	$135	204	0	+204	open	—	04-09 22:55
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?	121	$132	191	36	+155	open	—	04-26 20:42
Will Valencia CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	20	$124	86	72	+13	open	—	04-25 18:46
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?	8	$124	109	89	+19	open	—	04-26 15:34
Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	46	$118	64	64	+0	open	—	04-25 18:45
btc updown 4h 1776297600	30	$118	210	0	+210	open	—	04-16 03:59
Will West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?	8	$117	60	86	-26	open	—	04-25 16:13
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?	25	$110	180	2	+178	open	—	04-26 14:13
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?	26	$109	301	0	+301	open	—	04-26 17:45
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?	61	$107	189	35	+154	open	—	04-27 18:30
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 8pm et	30	$105	139	0	+139	open	—	04-10 00:58
btc updown 4h 1776168000	24	$105	411	0	+411	open	—	04-14 15:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 15:16:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x6de43c…
06-01 14:08:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	59¢	$64	0xe8c0ae…
06-01 14:08:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xd38df3…
06-01 14:08:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	59¢	$142	0x3252b9…
06-01 12:49:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	20¢	$7	0xab2594…
06-01 12:49:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,771	20¢	$345	0x20bbcc…
06-01 12:49:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	211	19¢	$41	0x51463a…
06-01 12:49:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0xaaa31e…
05-20 03:31:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	400	85¢	$340	0x817543…
05-20 03:25:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	1,067	86¢	$918	0x92aea2…
05-20 03:15:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xe9cd43…
05-20 03:15:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x5e0a61…
05-20 03:15:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x2e4aa9…
05-20 03:15:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x23eb14…
05-20 03:15:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x30b5cd…
05-20 03:15:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x0397e6…
05-20 03:15:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xd6866e…
05-20 03:15:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xe5dba9…
05-20 03:15:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x3d325a…
05-20 03:15:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xd9dbb0…
05-20 03:15:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x3c7bce…
05-20 03:15:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x4aa597…
05-20 03:06:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x028a19…
05-20 03:05:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x8a0298…
05-20 03:05:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x3ed73a…
05-20 03:05:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3f6667…
05-20 03:05:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xdf66fd…
05-20 03:05:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xeeb31e…
05-20 03:05:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x91bf49…
05-20 03:05:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xd92eb1…
05-20 03:01:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	73	86¢	$63	0x802b8f…
05-20 03:01:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x718fb7…
05-20 03:01:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x4a8eba…
05-20 02:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x4255f5…
05-20 02:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xfa52a3…
05-20 02:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x7baf69…
05-20 02:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x16ec44…
05-20 02:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x38b186…
05-20 02:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf4a6ac…
05-20 02:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd44458…
05-20 02:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9ee202…
05-20 02:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x177903…
05-20 02:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0xc2315e…
05-20 02:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x524232…
05-20 02:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x865c1f…
05-20 02:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x8917c7…
05-20 02:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0e8561…
05-20 02:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0xb4d59d…
05-20 02:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x233d9e…
05-20 02:42:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x78f68f…
05-20 02:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x892ee9…
05-20 02:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x673109…
05-20 02:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xdeb7da…
05-20 02:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x562a25…
05-20 02:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x514e47…
05-20 02:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe2103e…
05-20 02:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	260	1¢	$3	0x7f4b33…
05-20 02:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	235	1¢	$2	0x638bd9…
05-20 02:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xee92cc…
05-20 02:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc8754d…
05-20 02:33:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0d500e…
05-20 02:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x849799…
05-20 02:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb02b69…
05-20 02:29:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5158f0…
05-20 02:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x3a68c9…
05-18 05:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x7c7ba8…
05-18 05:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xa2c394…
05-18 05:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9800b9…
05-18 05:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb5863b…
05-18 05:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x22b4cb…
05-18 05:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc95d16…
05-18 05:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5c89e7…
05-18 05:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xfa1565…
05-18 05:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x4234da…
05-18 04:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xadfcbe…
05-18 04:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xdd2beb…
05-18 04:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x0161be…
05-18 04:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x815810…
05-18 04:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe8bb38…
05-18 04:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc3447a…
05-18 04:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0xd5508d…
05-18 04:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x15db6f…
05-18 04:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5e2b80…
05-18 04:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd7b353…
05-18 04:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x5a3250…
05-18 04:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3075eb…
05-18 04:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x24a128…
05-18 04:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2254fa…
05-18 04:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x67c8e6…
05-18 04:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x588d7e…
05-18 04:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa9a41…
05-18 04:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4b1c5a…
05-18 04:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x355dc0…
05-18 04:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0xed7d93…
05-18 04:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9ab970…
05-18 04:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5bca43…
05-18 04:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x506ef5…
05-18 04:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xcafd0d…
05-18 04:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x5589e6…
05-18 04:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe45f63…