Agreeable-Ideal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$231

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-06 15:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$1

Politics

49% 50% +$4

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	3	$2.0K	1,048	1,048	+0	open	—	03-18 18:18
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$2.0K	1,018	1,018	+0	No	+$4	03-18 17:02
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	2	$2.0K	1,035	1,035	+0	open	—	03-18 10:06
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,014	1,014	+0	open	—	03-18 19:08
msft close above 400 on march 17 2026	1	$179	325	0	+325	open	—	03-17 14:58
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$154	1,221	1,221	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 05:25
will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	2	$147	1,565	1,565	+0	open	—	03-18 09:14
will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	4	$126	1,148	1,148	+0	open	—	03-18 10:23
will tsla close above 420 week march 20 2026	3	$67	750	749	+1	open	—	03-18 18:04
will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	4	$66	1,192	1,192	+0	open	—	03-19 01:31
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$43	723	721	+2	open	—	03-18 09:32
hood up or down on march 17 2026	2	$34	132	0	+132	open	—	03-17 14:18
itsb reg mon 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	03-17 16:03
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)	1	$18	19	0	+19	Genoa CFC	+$1	05-09 15:32
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 spread away 2pt5	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-17 15:46
Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?	2	$14	263	263	+0	open	—	03-18 19:24
fif rom wal 2026 06 06 total 0pt5	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-06 15:04
Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-1.5)	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-31 13:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 15:04:42	fif rom wal 2026 06 06 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xd23907…
05-31 13:56:14	Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-1.5)	UD Las Palmas	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x061072…
05-09 15:32:27	Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)	Genoa CFC	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xe06d2a…
03-19 01:31:31	will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	701	3¢	$20	0xf6561b…
03-19 01:31:31	will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	491	3¢	$14	0x2d9d6d…
03-19 01:23:59	will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0xf1a1d3…
03-19 01:23:59	will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$27	0xca8238…
03-18 19:24:05	Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	263	3¢	$7	0xeba12a…
03-18 19:14:51	Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	3¢	$7	0x2d58e2…
03-18 19:08:35	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	1,014	95¢	$959	0x095b52…
03-18 18:59:17	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	1,014	94¢	$958	0x8075cd…
03-18 18:18:05	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	1,048	95¢	$998	0x4b1d3e…
03-18 18:11:37	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	994	95¢	$945	0xed5cf6…
03-18 18:11:37	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0x863aed…
03-18 18:04:31	will tsla close above 420 week march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	212	4¢	$8	0xd36c96…
03-18 18:04:31	will tsla close above 420 week march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	537	4¢	$21	0xcb77dd…
03-18 17:56:13	will tsla close above 420 week march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	750	5¢	$38	0x62c140…
03-18 17:02:09	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	335	97¢	$326	0xa130c4…
03-18 17:02:09	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	683	97¢	$665	0x800ac9…
03-18 16:53:59	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	363	97¢	$352	0x5d3c3d…
03-18 16:53:57	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	655	97¢	$635	0x90d23e…
03-18 10:23:59	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x4d2886…
03-18 10:23:37	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	1,069	5¢	$56	0x904e15…
03-18 10:23:37	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	70	5¢	$4	0x56811c…
03-18 10:15:05	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	1,148	6¢	$67	0xdf75c4…
03-18 10:06:01	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	Yes	SELL	1,035	95¢	$980	0x78f91a…
03-18 09:57:43	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	Yes	BUY	1,035	96¢	$990	0x578533…
03-18 09:32:35	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	721	3¢	$22	0x2aa4c5…
03-18 09:23:07	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	723	3¢	$21	0x8a0a9f…
03-18 09:14:53	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	No	SELL	1,565	5¢	$75	0xf58b47…
03-18 09:07:43	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	No	BUY	1,565	5¢	$72	0xad7053…
03-18 05:25:51	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	1,221	6¢	$77	0x3aa99e…
03-18 05:17:43	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	1,221	6¢	$77	0xca77b7…
03-17 16:03:31	itsb reg mon 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x6714c3…
03-17 15:46:45	ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 spread away 2pt5	Chelsea FC	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xc4a947…
03-17 14:58:51	msft close above 400 on march 17 2026	No	BUY	325	55¢	$179	0xcb78b6…
03-17 14:18:35	hood up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	117	26¢	$30	0xd42072…
03-17 14:18:35	hood up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x0ff7ae…