Uniform-Assumption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-13 14:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 92% +$13

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	3	$236	164	81	+83	Up	+$1	05-08 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$193	99	99	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$190	99	99	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$183	114	114	+0	Up	$-33	05-07 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$172	92	92	+0	Down	+$8	05-09 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$166	85	85	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$165	84	84	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$154	87	87	+0	Down	$-14	05-07 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$148	77	77	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$146	76	76	+0	Down	+$6	05-07 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$108	110	0	+110	Down	+$2	05-07 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$101	102	0	+102	Up	+$1	05-07 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$101	102	0	+102	Up	+$1	05-07 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$101	102	0	+102	Up	+$1	05-07 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$101	102	0	+102	Down	+$1	05-07 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$101	103	0	+103	Up	+$2	05-07 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$99	102	0	+102	Up	+$3	05-07 04:13
will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	1	$97	97	0	+97	open	—	04-09 18:14
will bitcoin dip to 78k january 12 18	1	$96	96	0	+96	open	—	01-15 20:14
will ethereum reach 3900 january 19 25	1	$96	96	0	+96	open	—	01-22 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$95	99	0	+99	Down	+$4	05-09 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$95	96	0	+96	Up	+$1	05-09 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$95	96	0	+96	Down	+$1	05-09 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$95	96	0	+96	Down	+$1	05-09 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$95	96	0	+96	Down	+$1	05-09 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$95	95	0	+95	Down	+$0	05-09 06:42
will solana reach 200 january 5 11	1	$95	95	0	+95	open	—	01-09 21:11
will ethereum reach 2600 february 16 22	1	$94	94	0	+94	open	—	02-20 17:59
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	1	$94	94	0	+94	open	—	01-26 12:43
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	1	$93	93	0	+93	open	—	02-24 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 14:54:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x853615…
05-09 12:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	99	96¢	$95	0xac917e…
05-09 12:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0x4150d6…
05-09 12:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x88bd46…
05-09 12:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	99	100¢	$98	0x035e39…
05-09 12:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0x39e474…
05-09 10:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0xd42378…
05-09 06:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x7a24b1…
05-09 06:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x0c511d…
05-09 06:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0x09f3b4…
05-09 06:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x945ae8…
05-09 06:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0xf68649…
05-09 06:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	92	89¢	$82	0x6a331b…
05-09 05:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x4a4388…
05-09 05:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	85	97¢	$82	0x63fd32…
05-09 05:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xb84ea7…
05-08 15:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xe89a38…
05-08 15:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	84	98¢	$82	0xa1666c…
05-08 14:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x0e7c0f…
05-08 14:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xdb368d…
05-08 14:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	81	95¢	$77	0xb8cc02…
05-08 14:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0xb27a6b…
05-08 07:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x1fcdc1…
05-08 05:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	79	97¢	$77	0xc16ed4…
05-08 05:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x7542e2…
05-08 04:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	79	97¢	$77	0xc6e0c6…
05-07 17:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xcd6477…
05-07 16:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	76	99¢	$76	0x330b6b…
05-07 16:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0xa6c3d7…
05-07 16:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x7ad10c…
05-07 16:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x9a55ba…
05-07 16:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	87	81¢	$70	0x3b585b…
05-07 16:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	87	97¢	$84	0x6b8b9b…
05-07 15:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x37cb11…
05-07 15:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	84	98¢	$82	0x66bf58…
05-07 14:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x51c81c…
05-07 14:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x4e3a6e…
05-07 14:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	81	96¢	$78	0x1b7d83…
05-07 14:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0xb5d48b…
05-07 14:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x411ed2…
05-07 13:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0x2a8143…
05-07 13:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	77	95¢	$73	0x52883a…
05-07 13:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0x8a2701…
05-07 13:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	114	66¢	$75	0x95ec05…
05-07 13:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	114	95¢	$108	0xdab6ec…
05-07 13:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	110	99¢	$108	0xe921ee…
05-07 08:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x666611…
05-07 06:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x8291fc…
05-07 06:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x700477…
05-07 05:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xc65d7b…
05-07 05:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x541585…
05-07 04:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0x77e51c…
04-17 09:21:48	will solana dip to 60 april 13 19	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x4d9e7d…
04-09 18:14:35	will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x352d56…
04-02 15:45:13	will ethereum reach 2700 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe77cd8…
03-30 12:48:08	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x00e423…
03-27 15:37:27	will ethereum reach 2800 march 23 29	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x9dbf5a…
03-20 20:27:15	will bitcoin reach 88k march 16 22	No	BUY	93	100¢	$92	0x1ffd9c…
03-11 13:19:33	will russia enter vozdvyzhivka by march 31	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb213ff…
03-06 06:27:25	will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x7ed334…
02-24 20:06:32	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xcb8d34…
02-20 17:59:30	will ethereum reach 2600 february 16 22	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x2900c2…
01-26 12:43:27	will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x5a60f1…
01-22 19:15:12	will ethereum reach 3900 january 19 25	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x4e4c9d…
01-15 20:14:54	will bitcoin dip to 78k january 12 18	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x8a0ebd…
01-09 21:11:30	will solana reach 200 january 5 11	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x1dcea0…