Heartfelt-Nexus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$666

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 05-16 03:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

51% 100% +$39

Crypto

25% 53% +$8

Other

24% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$202	132	132	+0	open	—	04-08 04:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$99	110	110	+0	Yes	+$39	05-09 06:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$53	30	30	+0	open	—	04-28 04:49
Nothing Ever Happens: May	1	$30	43	0	+43	open	—	05-06 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$28	22	22	+0	Down	+$8	05-10 12:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$25	38	0	+38	open	—	05-06 11:50
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	04-19 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$20	42	0	+42	Down	+$22	05-10 12:15
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-06 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$15	34	0	+34	Up	$-15	05-10 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$15	66	0	+66	Up	$-15	05-10 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	3	$15	23	0	+23	Down	+$8	05-09 13:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$13	16	16	+0	open	—	05-16 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$-10	05-09 12:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-09 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	Up	+$11	05-10 12:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-09 12:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-09 12:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-09 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-09 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-09 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-10 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-10 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	1	$5	19	0	+19	Up	$-5	05-09 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-09 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-09 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-10 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-09 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-09 13:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 03:27:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$3	0x6f9b1f…
05-10 12:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2221b4…
05-10 12:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9b29db…
05-10 12:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xd827b1…
05-10 12:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x501e0f…
05-10 12:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xca5a26…
05-10 12:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeacc15…
05-10 12:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	22	85¢	$18	0xa0a170…
05-10 12:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x18382d…
05-10 10:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x783dd1…
05-10 07:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa58849…
05-10 04:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf7c022…
05-09 14:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9820e8…
05-09 13:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcac68d…
05-09 13:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2d49d5…
05-09 13:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa3b425…
05-09 12:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa98e55…
05-09 12:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd3a32c…
05-09 12:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x840d7f…
05-09 12:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5ef8f2…
05-09 12:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xabf03b…
05-09 12:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x72463c…
05-09 12:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x531255…
05-09 12:03:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x773bcd…
05-09 12:02:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc936a6…
05-09 12:02:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd26a4d…
05-09 12:01:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe143d6…
05-09 12:01:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xc5f37c…
05-09 11:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x479914…
05-09 06:13:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x51fd0d…
05-06 11:50:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xf5bdfb…
05-06 11:41:38	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x7a38da…
05-06 10:04:56	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x2e52da…
04-28 04:49:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xaa4cb3…
04-19 09:59:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	16	71¢	$11	0xd52246…
04-17 06:20:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x442cc7…
04-16 04:21:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	26¢	$14	0x6897b8…
04-13 06:17:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0xb290b4…
04-10 05:13:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xc13638…
04-08 05:24:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xbb1709…
04-08 04:58:05	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0xb9683b…
03-27 08:16:43	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	132	53¢	$70	0xc159a7…