Medical-Quicksand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$320

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

3,744

Trades

6,887

lifetime

Volume

$19.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-24 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% -$320

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	6	$59	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	06-02 06:54
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	7	$54	55	0	+55	Down	+$1	06-01 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$50	28	28	+0	Down	+$0	09-13 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	5	$49	50	0	+50	Down	+$1	06-02 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	8	$49	50	0	+50	Down	+$1	06-02 02:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 23:00 UTC	6	$46	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	02-03 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	7	$44	45	0	+45	Up	+$1	06-02 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	7	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	06-02 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$40	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	05-29 18:18
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	5	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	06-02 02:12
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 19:30 UTC	4	$38	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	01-14 19:43
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	10	$36	38	0	+38	Up	+$2	06-01 13:19
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 20:45 UTC	6	$34	35	0	+35	Down	+$1	06-03 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$34	35	0	+35	Up	+$1	06-03 16:42
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	6	$34	35	0	+35	Up	+$1	06-01 13:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 23:00 UTC	5	$32	20	20	+0	Up	-$2	02-03 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 15:10 UTC	6	$31	29	18	+12	Up	+$7	04-06 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	6	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	06-02 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	3	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	06-02 07:01
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	5	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	06-03 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	06-02 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$29	30	0	+30	Down	+$1	05-28 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$29	30	0	+30	Down	+$1	05-28 13:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 09:45 UTC	5	$28	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	01-14 09:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 11:00 UTC	4	$26	20	10	+10	Down	+$2	01-14 11:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 09:30 UTC	3	$26	20	10	+10	Down	+$2	01-14 09:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 01:15 UTC	5	$25	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	06-04 01:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 10:45 UTC	6	$25	20	10	+10	Down	-$7	01-14 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	5	$25	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	06-03 16:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$25	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	05-29 15:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 13:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x9cad75…
10-24 13:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x1e5498…
10-23 19:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x4c1e6e…
10-23 19:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xe4196b…
10-23 19:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x83dea1…
10-23 19:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xa07bbf…
10-04 18:33:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x57d191…
10-04 18:33:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xac4fac…
10-04 18:27:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xeff3c3…
10-04 18:27:01	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xd524dd…
10-04 18:17:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x03626b…
10-04 18:17:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa2f859…
10-04 18:06:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa91cb0…
09-24 10:10:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x686d91…
09-24 09:58:09	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x623c63…
09-24 06:31:26	Solana Up or Down - September 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x009009…
09-24 05:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe47bb0…
09-24 05:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4db69e…
09-24 04:43:35	Solana Up or Down - September 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc7e1c6…
09-24 04:43:35	XRP Up or Down - September 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xab1875…
09-24 04:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb2d6bb…
09-24 04:10:20	Solana Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6d923f…
09-24 04:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xdae090…
09-24 04:01:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xac6bdd…
09-24 03:58:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x411caf…
09-24 03:42:20	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8f8209…
09-24 02:56:11	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x40bdcc…
09-24 02:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x45dba7…
09-24 02:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x85a637…
09-24 01:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x37908f…
09-24 01:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x3ae8e7…
09-24 01:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x341e86…
09-24 01:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x793534…
09-24 01:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x94d9ab…
09-24 00:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3feed8…
09-24 00:56:29	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xea9516…
09-24 00:43:59	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9c8e00…
09-24 00:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x30a1fb…
09-24 00:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4a7bf2…
09-24 00:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x26a76d…
09-24 00:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x6b7938…
09-24 00:13:20	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe56832…
09-23 23:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x89c7f1…
09-23 23:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x116c76…
09-23 23:27:37	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x93e7c5…
09-23 23:13:23	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3f7dd1…
09-23 23:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf001e9…
09-23 22:41:32	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xde2163…
09-23 22:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x91aefc…
09-23 22:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x912124…
09-23 21:56:25	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe93b75…
09-23 21:55:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xc56315…
09-23 21:54:35	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1a638e…
09-23 21:26:58	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe0ca5d…
09-23 21:22:46	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x58049f…
09-23 21:22:44	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xef5ed0…
09-23 21:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x43cd40…
09-23 21:02:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x71756b…
09-23 20:49:23	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5b7241…
09-23 19:59:02	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x80e5bf…
09-23 19:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x93a707…
09-23 19:40:19	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x88ec90…
09-23 19:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x21baa2…
09-19 21:04:32	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x7d050e…
09-19 21:04:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x23e414…
09-19 20:46:02	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa66adc…
09-19 20:46:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5cf07d…
09-19 20:46:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x42e97c…
09-19 20:43:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xab9bcb…
09-19 20:39:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbd6471…
09-19 20:24:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4f91db…
09-19 20:22:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x66a5df…
09-19 20:13:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8f7e1b…
09-19 20:13:20	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x2b1208…
09-19 20:13:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf72f3d…
09-19 20:12:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6211b1…
09-19 20:00:36	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc9f29a…
09-19 19:08:20	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4fa4e1…
09-19 18:56:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9b60b9…
09-19 18:56:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x5d4f90…
09-19 16:55:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x20b284…
09-19 16:42:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x15207c…
09-19 16:41:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc8ce70…
09-19 16:36:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd0db4e…
09-19 16:20:53	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9fa3f0…
09-19 16:20:53	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x4a168b…
09-19 16:10:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb2725d…
09-19 16:10:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xccf01b…
09-19 16:09:02	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x63c20b…
09-19 16:02:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x0db00c…
09-19 15:31:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xaecd08…
09-19 15:31:09	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x62f4a2…
09-19 15:25:32	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9888ce…
09-19 15:10:53	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xffcefe…
09-19 14:57:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4be757…
09-19 14:55:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x90adab…
09-19 14:55:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x21f856…
09-19 14:53:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0dde40…
09-19 14:51:44	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa909ec…
09-19 14:46:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9a3e5d…