Wiry-Lid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$168

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

21,334

Trades

31,487

lifetime

Volume

$51.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-22 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 202 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 81% -$119

Other

10% 60% -$49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 276 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:40 UTC	2	$136	89	87	+1	Up	+$38	03-25 01:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:35 UTC	2	$128	105	104	+2	Up	+$28	03-24 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 00:10 UTC	2	$114	100	98	+2	Up	+$14	03-25 00:13
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 02:30 UTC	2	$107	65	65	+1	Down	+$7	03-25 02:34
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:50 UTC	4	$102	193	2	+192	Down	-$42	03-24 23:54
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 20:35 UTC	4	$102	117	2	+115	Up	+$15	03-24 20:36
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 02:35 UTC	2	$100	192	0	+192	Up	-$100	03-25 02:36
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 21:10 UTC	2	$100	149	0	+149	Up	-$100	03-24 21:13
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:00 UTC	2	$100	121	0	+121	Down	+$21	03-25 01:01
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:55 UTC	2	$100	153	0	+153	Down	+$53	03-24 23:57
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 20:45 UTC	2	$100	184	0	+184	Up	+$84	03-24 20:46
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:05 UTC	2	$100	139	0	+139	Up	-$100	03-24 23:06
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 00:05 UTC	2	$100	126	0	+126	Up	-$100	03-25 00:06
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 22:15 UTC	2	$100	122	0	+122	Down	+$22	03-24 22:16
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 20:50 UTC	2	$100	126	0	+126	Up	+$26	03-24 20:52
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:10 UTC	2	$100	121	0	+121	Down	-$100	03-25 01:12
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 20:40 UTC	2	$100	134	0	+134	Down	+$34	03-24 20:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:45 UTC	2	$100	123	0	+123	Up	+$23	03-24 23:46
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 22:00 UTC	2	$100	118	0	+118	Down	+$18	03-24 22:01
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:20 UTC	2	$100	116	0	+116	Up	+$16	03-25 01:21
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 22:50 UTC	2	$100	115	0	+115	Down	+$15	03-24 22:52
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:45 UTC	2	$100	117	0	+117	Down	+$17	03-25 01:48
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 22:55 UTC	2	$100	110	0	+110	Up	+$10	03-24 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 00:20 UTC	2	$96	104	103	+2	Down	-$4	03-25 00:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:20 UTC	2	$95	99	97	+2	Down	-$4	03-25 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 00:50 UTC	2	$91	112	110	+2	Down	-$9	03-25 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:10 UTC	2	$89	95	94	+1	Down	-$10	03-25 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 00:00 UTC	2	$88	86	85	+1	Up	-$12	03-25 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 00:05 UTC	2	$87	125	123	+2	Up	-$13	03-25 00:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:30 UTC	2	$81	96	95	+2	Up	-$17	03-24 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 13:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x469d0f…
10-22 13:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x80d333…
10-22 13:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x64e987…
10-22 13:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x0cbc98…
10-22 11:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x241e1b…
10-22 09:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x9076af…
10-22 08:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xd3c413…
10-22 07:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x01a022…
10-22 07:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x379626…
10-22 07:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xc2adc9…
10-22 04:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xcb7c80…
10-21 14:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x71d49d…
10-21 14:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd67c11…
10-21 14:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x7565e6…
10-21 14:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd777f2…
10-21 13:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x7ee908…
10-21 13:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x1d498a…
10-21 13:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xe1fd7b…
10-21 13:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xf5955d…
10-21 13:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x0827bd…
10-21 13:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x340572…
10-21 13:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x40dccf…
10-21 13:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x428795…
10-21 12:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x437846…
10-21 12:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xa22d28…
10-21 12:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xb06a1a…
10-21 12:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x9a6b3f…
10-21 12:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x61f95e…
10-21 12:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xc5ba5e…
10-21 12:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x9977d2…
10-21 11:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x5fa3af…
10-21 11:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x99807d…
10-21 11:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xc347c4…
10-21 11:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x603957…
10-21 11:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xc416d3…
10-21 10:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xf566ce…
10-21 10:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x1e1389…
10-21 10:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x0d8de1…
10-21 10:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6df266…
10-21 10:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$8	0x1c6c64…
10-21 10:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x98a48a…
10-21 10:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x94e5c3…
10-21 09:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x02b6c1…
10-21 09:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x08dd71…
10-21 09:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xb0e808…
10-21 09:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x0b7ef1…
10-21 09:11:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x399cc3…
10-21 09:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x9abc80…
10-21 09:01:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xd43344…
10-21 08:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xe430e1…
10-21 08:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc0b353…
10-21 08:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa3beb7…
10-21 08:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xa6a17a…
10-21 07:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0x220ce8…
10-21 07:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x34d2d4…
10-21 07:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x755205…
10-21 07:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x7b5e08…
10-21 07:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xfeaa52…
10-21 06:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa55f2a…
10-21 06:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3f3568…
10-21 06:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x1d4944…
10-21 06:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x412e4c…
10-21 06:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x122df2…
10-21 05:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xe4849b…
10-21 05:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xeca0b0…
10-21 05:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x63776b…
10-21 05:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x1c9fad…
10-21 04:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x93de55…
10-21 04:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xf85218…
10-21 04:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x10c643…
10-21 04:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x62ad61…
10-21 04:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x4a1640…
10-21 03:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xeb61fb…
10-21 03:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xdc6e8b…
10-21 02:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x8c3002…
10-21 02:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xee59ca…
10-21 02:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc17ea8…
10-21 01:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x73f39d…
10-21 01:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xde0a00…
10-21 01:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xdf89a5…
10-21 01:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x564f26…
10-21 00:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x49a68b…
10-21 00:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x22fc13…
10-21 00:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xf9db74…
10-21 00:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xa87732…
10-20 22:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x168b4b…
10-20 22:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa8d56a…
10-20 22:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x1d41f0…
10-20 22:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbdbc62…
10-20 22:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x2a9e30…
10-20 22:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x0e07f3…
10-20 22:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x7bb312…
10-20 21:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x7204eb…
10-18 19:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf18551…
10-16 19:14:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 16?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x769ba6…
10-14 08:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x57c752…
10-14 06:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 14?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xaa44ad…
10-14 05:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 14?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x038825…
10-14 04:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 14?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x54586d…
10-14 03:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 14?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x9da7b1…