Delayed-Sandbar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

Trades

643

lifetime

Volume

$8.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-21 22:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Politics

27% — —

Crypto

14% 42% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	8	$1.2K	647	647	+0	open	—	03-14 15:38
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	15	$824	826	826	+0	open	—	03-03 14:07
cs2 mglz mouz 2026 02 22	5	$412	251	251	+0	open	—	02-22 13:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	2	$385	210	210	+0	open	—	03-08 22:23
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	6	$380	4,161	4,161	+0	open	—	02-24 10:24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	6	$351	207	207	-0	open	—	03-06 18:40
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	4	$285	3,509	3,509	+0	open	—	02-21 21:17
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$250	343	343	+0	open	—	02-27 22:09
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	4	$180	108	108	+0	open	—	02-27 21:36
will team vitality win pgl cluj napoca 2026	4	$168	130	130	+0	open	—	02-20 18:09
cs2 vit aur1 2026 02 20	2	$167	91	91	+0	open	—	02-20 16:54
cs2 bcg 3dmax 2026 01 29	4	$157	97	97	+0	open	—	01-29 17:07
cs2 tl1 g2 2026 01 29	10	$142	59	118	-59	open	—	01-29 21:18
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$139	167	167	+0	open	—	03-05 18:50
cs2 mglz aur1 2026 03 07	4	$124	80	80	+0	open	—	03-07 11:51
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	4	$110	231	231	+0	open	—	02-22 23:04
will russia enter ternuvate again by february 28	3	$96	66	66	+0	open	—	02-26 17:11
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$96	200	200	+0	open	—	03-05 19:40
cs2 vit bcg 2026 01 31 game2	4	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	01-31 21:10
iran closes its airspace by june 8	4	$85	58	58	+0	open	—	06-07 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	13	$83	85	85	+0	open	—	05-16 19:55
cs2 fal2 prv 2026 01 25 game3	18	$83	65	65	+0	open	—	01-25 18:22
cs2 furia mglz 2026 02 20	1	$82	109	0	+109	open	—	02-20 18:54
will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	2	$80	47	47	+0	open	—	02-26 12:42
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	5	$78	200	200	+0	open	—	06-06 17:34
cs2 prv ast10 2026 02 01	4	$76	74	74	+0	open	—	02-01 21:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$69	50	50	+0	open	—	06-10 13:45
cs2 mouz vit 2026 02 16	2	$68	43	43	+0	open	—	02-16 15:52
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	4	$67	63	63	+0	open	—	01-29 11:17
cs2 fal2 aur1 2026 02 01	11	$67	69	61	+8	open	—	02-01 15:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 22:59:53	will wti dip to 75 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0xa94a3a…
06-21 22:56:22	will wti dip to 75 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xe4a174…
06-15 10:15:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x7f8119…
06-15 10:06:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xb80558…
06-10 13:45:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xb8ea2e…
06-10 12:11:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x532038…
06-07 20:47:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	58	80¢	$47	0x90f249…
06-07 19:21:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xb92dd2…
06-07 19:21:27	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x8647fd…
06-07 19:21:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc66e2f…
06-06 17:34:07	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	129	18¢	$23	0x681999…
06-06 17:32:09	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0xaa82ef…
06-06 17:31:48	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	70	19¢	$13	0x54e419…
06-06 16:11:55	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	21¢	$32	0x935c2e…
06-06 14:22:58	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xba691e…
06-04 16:52:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	61	5¢	$3	0x29ea86…
06-04 14:07:03	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0x1c0269…
06-03 21:50:36	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x678475…
06-03 20:47:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	61	10¢	$6	0x899ab1…
06-03 20:24:18	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x4cf2b5…
06-03 20:24:16	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x48b3f4…
06-03 20:24:13	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x2b0075…
06-03 20:24:12	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0xaddc4f…
06-01 16:34:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x150cd1…
05-29 22:31:19	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2afbaa…
05-25 21:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x78b9ab…
05-25 21:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xc13bc4…
05-25 21:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	28	82¢	$23	0x7ee4fc…
05-25 21:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xd7af28…
05-25 21:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x386b65…
05-25 21:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3aa0e8…
05-25 20:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xcf4434…
05-25 20:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdf8545…
05-25 20:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x988967…
05-25 20:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xb3f10b…
05-24 23:06:55	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x3ce843…
05-24 23:03:35	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x4a90b3…
05-24 12:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	39¢	$22	0x2f042f…
05-24 11:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xdef6cc…
05-24 11:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x24c1f5…
05-24 11:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5d3253…
05-24 11:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x5e597e…
05-24 11:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xcef284…
05-24 11:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x26dede…
05-24 11:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	28	51¢	$14	0xae4b51…
05-24 11:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x8529a3…
05-24 11:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0xba0d47…
05-24 11:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x50425a…
05-24 10:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xba6338…
05-24 10:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x739b36…
05-24 10:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x6fe8f8…
05-24 10:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xf17b88…
05-24 10:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x6797bc…
05-24 10:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe6145d…
05-24 10:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	19	24¢	$4	0xd2edf8…
05-24 10:08:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x4daf23…
05-24 10:07:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x716e87…
05-24 10:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd4da07…
05-24 09:55:04	hype updown 5m 1779616500	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2cc0cb…
05-24 09:54:33	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xb76efd…
05-24 09:54:19	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x64140a…
05-24 09:49:39	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2957d8…
05-24 09:49:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8d6a2e…
05-21 08:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x71bf9a…
05-21 08:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc7d9ea…
05-21 08:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9a225b…
05-19 10:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xea9e12…
05-19 10:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0xfdeab3…
05-19 09:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x291e4f…
05-19 09:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x73bc92…
05-17 21:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x1f59f6…
05-17 21:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xdc96b5…
05-17 21:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x9e504e…
05-17 21:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x70b3f5…
05-17 21:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x5a9871…
05-17 20:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x75fde8…
05-17 11:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcb41d6…
05-17 09:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x96b86b…
05-17 09:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x81fc2f…
05-17 09:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x2c9d5b…
05-17 08:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x3b861b…
05-17 08:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x11622e…
05-17 08:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1da145…
05-16 19:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x82a746…
05-16 19:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x0f284c…
05-16 19:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6131e3…
05-16 19:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	36	57¢	$21	0xf53985…
05-16 19:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	24	48¢	$12	0x5bd2e8…
05-16 19:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x65e3f3…
05-16 18:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x3d3d7f…
05-16 18:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0xece9e8…
05-16 18:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x4a623b…
05-16 18:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0dcfa8…
05-16 18:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xd77300…
05-16 18:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x4cac3a…
05-16 18:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xebe836…
05-15 23:05:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x8e0809…
05-15 23:05:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x2e046e…
05-15 23:04:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x96bd03…
05-15 22:40:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xf1bc9e…