Delayed-Sandbar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

Trades

725

lifetime

Volume

$9.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 08-14 07:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

60% — —

Politics

25% — —

Crypto

15% 42% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	8	$1.2K	647	647	+0	open	—	03-14 15:38
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	15	$824	826	826	+0	open	—	03-03 14:07
cs2 mglz mouz 2026 02 22	5	$412	251	251	+0	open	—	02-22 13:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	2	$385	210	210	+0	open	—	03-08 22:23
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	6	$380	4,161	4,161	+0	open	—	02-24 10:24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	6	$351	207	207	-0	open	—	03-06 18:40
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	4	$285	3,509	3,509	+0	open	—	02-21 21:17
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$250	343	343	+0	open	—	02-27 22:09
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	7	$189	173	173	+0	open	—	07-13 22:15
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	4	$180	108	108	+0	open	—	02-27 21:36
will team vitality win pgl cluj napoca 2026	4	$168	130	130	+0	open	—	02-20 18:09
cs2 vit aur1 2026 02 20	2	$167	91	91	+0	open	—	02-20 16:54
cs2 bcg 3dmax 2026 01 29	4	$157	97	97	+0	open	—	01-29 17:07
cs2 tl1 g2 2026 01 29	10	$142	59	118	-59	open	—	01-29 21:18
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$139	167	167	+0	open	—	03-05 18:50
cs2 mglz aur1 2026 03 07	4	$124	80	80	+0	open	—	03-07 11:51
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	4	$110	231	231	+0	open	—	02-22 23:04
russia elections united russia wins every region	1	$109	231	0	+231	open	—	08-13 10:24
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	3	$101	290	290	+0	open	—	08-12 09:16
will russia enter ternuvate again by february 28	3	$96	66	66	+0	open	—	02-26 17:11
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$96	200	200	+0	open	—	03-05 19:40
cs2 vit bcg 2026 01 31 game2	4	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	01-31 21:10
iran closes its airspace by june 8	4	$85	58	58	+0	open	—	06-07 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	13	$83	85	85	+0	open	—	05-16 19:55
cs2 fal2 prv 2026 01 25 game3	18	$83	65	65	+0	open	—	01-25 18:22
cs2 furia mglz 2026 02 20	1	$82	109	0	+109	open	—	02-20 18:54
will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	2	$80	47	47	+0	open	—	02-26 12:42
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	5	$78	200	200	+0	open	—	06-06 17:34
cs2 prv ast10 2026 02 01	4	$76	74	74	+0	open	—	02-01 21:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$69	50	50	+0	open	—	06-10 13:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 07:32:22	btc updown 5m 1786692600	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xdd3503…
08-14 07:22:40	btc updown 5m 1786692000	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x945fcc…
08-14 07:22:01	btc updown 5m 1786692000	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x73da96…
08-13 10:24:39	russia elections united russia wins every region	No	BUY	231	47¢	$109	0xa8e2c2…
08-12 16:10:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xd21fe5…
08-12 15:38:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xc57a11…
08-12 09:16:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	SELL	290	20¢	$58	0xc7cd3a…
08-11 19:25:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	BUY	220	15¢	$33	0x965048…
08-11 15:34:06	wti up or down on august 11 2026	Up	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0x4f2288…
08-11 12:58:58	wti up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0xe166f0…
08-11 11:48:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0xf2532d…
08-10 17:52:09	btc updown 5m 1786384200	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xbd17d0…
08-10 17:51:43	btc updown 5m 1786384200	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2ae14f…
08-10 16:24:27	btc updown 5m 1786378800	Up	SELL	16	85¢	$14	0xdf7a1b…
08-10 16:21:24	btc updown 5m 1786378800	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x88830e…
08-10 16:20:31	btc updown 5m 1786378800	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x54eefa…
08-10 16:18:10	btc updown 5m 1786378500	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x76652d…
08-10 16:17:13	btc updown 5m 1786378500	Up	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x003894…
08-10 16:15:36	btc updown 5m 1786378500	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa51d05…
08-10 16:15:07	btc updown 5m 1786378500	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x325538…
08-10 16:13:07	btc updown 5m 1786378200	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0e6711…
08-10 16:12:30	btc updown 5m 1786378200	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x8a6e66…
08-10 16:12:18	btc updown 5m 1786378200	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0ad47f…
08-10 16:11:57	btc updown 5m 1786378200	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xdbec3a…
08-10 16:11:09	btc updown 5m 1786378200	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x978656…
08-10 16:09:13	btc updown 5m 1786377900	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe388db…
08-10 16:02:06	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x8103cb…
08-10 16:00:10	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xc602d9…
08-10 15:57:13	btc updown 5m 1786377300	Up	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x419b31…
08-10 15:55:42	btc updown 5m 1786377300	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x96d551…
08-10 15:54:24	btc updown 5m 1786377000	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xef572c…
08-10 15:53:49	btc updown 5m 1786377000	Down	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0xbb579c…
08-10 15:50:57	btc updown 5m 1786377000	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4fa972…
08-10 15:49:36	btc updown 5m 1786377000	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x932068…
08-05 10:27:21	btc updown 5m 1785925500	Down	BUY	233	3¢	$7	0x7090f2…
08-05 09:21:42	btc updown 5m 1785921600	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x370b86…
08-05 09:21:17	btc updown 5m 1785921600	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4b1a06…
08-05 09:18:44	btc updown 5m 1785921300	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x01b8e2…
08-05 09:18:14	btc updown 5m 1785921300	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0b7bff…
08-05 09:16:30	btc updown 5m 1785921300	Up	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xd03c4f…
08-05 09:15:24	btc updown 5m 1785921300	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x995fde…
08-05 09:08:59	btc updown 5m 1785920700	Down	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xb14c56…
08-05 09:06:18	btc updown 5m 1785920700	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3cd858…
08-05 09:02:26	btc updown 5m 1785920400	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xfa8b10…
08-05 09:01:27	btc updown 5m 1785920400	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1a25d4…
08-05 08:58:15	btc updown 5m 1785920100	Down	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x3ce3b0…
08-05 08:58:03	btc updown 5m 1785920100	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x55e113…
08-05 08:57:41	btc updown 5m 1785920100	Down	SELL	24	35¢	$8	0xe277b7…
08-05 08:55:42	btc updown 5m 1785920100	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xfdb181…
08-05 08:54:41	btc updown 5m 1785919800	Up	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x4efbaf…
08-05 08:53:47	btc updown 5m 1785919800	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x050f97…
08-05 08:48:51	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	16¢	$5	0xdf84b6…
08-03 10:32:14	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0b9c82…
07-24 21:32:16	btc updown 5m 1784928600	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x352e3a…
07-24 21:30:37	btc updown 5m 1784928600	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc60777…
07-24 21:25:52	cs2 shk furia 2026 07 24	Sharks	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x500959…
07-24 21:18:46	cs2 shk furia 2026 07 24	Sharks	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7b4eb5…
07-24 10:12:04	cs2 mgc 3dmax 2026 07 24	3DMAX	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xa1c941…
07-24 10:04:09	cs2 mgc 3dmax 2026 07 24	3DMAX	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xeed632…
07-24 09:23:25	btc updown 5m 1784884800	Up	SELL	7	34¢	$3	0x25c7b9…
07-24 09:23:13	btc updown 5m 1784884800	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x676f53…
07-21 15:23:37	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Down	SELL	36	11¢	$4	0x1f5a42…
07-21 15:09:39	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x3a131f…
07-20 09:54:43	btc updown 5m 1784541000	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xbb0de6…
07-20 09:54:27	btc updown 5m 1784541000	Down	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xae5254…
07-20 09:50:52	btc updown 5m 1784541000	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd340fa…
07-20 09:45:46	btc updown 5m 1784540700	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xdbf793…
07-20 09:35:49	btc updown 5m 1784540100	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x71da17…
07-20 09:35:25	btc updown 5m 1784540100	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x222c8d…
07-20 09:19:51	btc updown 5m 1784538900	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x710860…
07-20 09:19:18	btc updown 5m 1784538900	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xed2b37…
07-20 09:18:16	btc updown 5m 1784538900	Down	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x10d62b…
07-20 09:16:03	btc updown 5m 1784538900	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x77614c…
07-20 09:08:43	wti up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0x742052…
07-20 09:02:03	wti up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x14511d…
07-13 22:15:31	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	52	74¢	$38	0x387fc0…
07-13 14:29:19	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0x571c8a…
07-13 12:47:53	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x375bd7…
07-13 07:08:52	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	121	49¢	$59	0x51e1ba…
07-12 09:09:22	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	70	48¢	$34	0xbd2c37…
07-08 15:09:01	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	36	62¢	$22	0x4d5d2f…
07-08 15:07:23	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xb13c79…
06-21 22:59:53	will wti dip to 75 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0xa94a3a…
06-21 22:56:22	will wti dip to 75 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xe4a174…
06-15 10:15:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x7f8119…
06-15 10:06:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xb80558…
06-10 13:45:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xb8ea2e…
06-10 12:11:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x532038…
06-07 20:47:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	58	80¢	$47	0x90f249…
06-07 19:21:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xb92dd2…
06-07 19:21:27	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x8647fd…
06-07 19:21:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc66e2f…
06-06 17:34:07	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	129	18¢	$23	0x681999…
06-06 17:32:09	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0xaa82ef…
06-06 17:31:48	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	70	19¢	$13	0x54e419…
06-06 16:11:55	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	21¢	$32	0x935c2e…
06-06 14:22:58	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xba691e…
06-04 16:52:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	61	5¢	$3	0x29ea86…
06-04 14:07:03	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0x1c0269…
06-03 21:50:36	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x678475…