Diligent-Brewer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

688

Trades

1,481

lifetime

Volume

$19.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-22 15:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 187 days

Categories

Other

58% 47% -$385

Sports

27% 57% -$75

Politics

9% 69% -$616

Crypto

7% 56% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	21	$925	596	596	+0	Yes	+$212	03-16 06:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$581	600	0	+600	Yes	-$581	04-06 16:19
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	12	$467	300	300	+0	Yes	+$133	03-10 08:48
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	27	$451	360	260	+100	No	-$42	03-30 05:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	6	$380	290	190	+100	No	-$10	05-01 01:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	6	$364	261	186	+75	Yes	-$29	04-30 04:30
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$354	200	200	+0	Yes	+$46	03-16 03:00
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	26	$353	603	602	+0	No	-$352	03-21 14:46
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	7	$286	200	200	+0	Yes	-$7	03-30 13:32
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	3	$264	140	140	+0	Timberwolves	+$14	05-05 04:12
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	16	$230	153	153	+0	Yes	-$6	03-30 05:18
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	14	$229	203	127	+75	No	-$19	03-28 07:10
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	2	$223	123	123	+0	Spurs	+$23	05-13 02:46
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	5	$217	150	150	+0	Yes	+$82	04-13 17:07
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	29	$206	220	220	+0	No	+$58	03-27 16:21
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$200	303	0	+303	Spurs	+$103	05-14 03:05
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	12	$193	578	72	+506	No	-$162	03-12 15:24
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$190	200	0	+200	No	+$10	03-03 04:05
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	20	$190	600	530	+70	No	-$188	03-21 15:08
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5	5	$184	100	100	+0	Over	+$14	05-14 02:44
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	3	$183	100	100	+0	Yes	+$17	03-07 04:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	5	$179	100	100	+0	No	+$15	04-16 04:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	2	$176	100	100	+0	No	+$20	04-27 06:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$175	100	100	+0	No	-$1	05-04 15:04
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	9	$160	260	60	+200	Yes	+$151	04-06 03:14
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	4	$160	149	149	+0	Cavaliers	-$81	05-14 02:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$160	100	100	+0	No	+$16	05-11 18:36
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	8	$159	120	100	+20	No	-$14	03-31 03:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	10	$154	160	160	+0	No	+$8	05-29 02:13
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	7	$151	200	200	+0	No	-$41	04-20 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 15:26:53	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xc269b6…
10-16 03:38:36	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x02101b…
10-05 07:16:40	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xe7c97a…
09-28 14:10:17	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x51a20e…
09-25 01:31:59	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xa3bd07…
09-25 01:07:02	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x456efb…
09-24 14:16:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0xeb5d1f…
09-21 14:05:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x167300…
09-18 13:50:53	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x001af6…
09-13 13:24:03	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xfd3d00…
09-01 14:57:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x0e308b…
09-01 08:18:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb4d9df…
08-30 14:25:37	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 28	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2145a7…
08-25 04:36:48	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xaff76f…
08-25 04:32:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x85be48…
08-22 21:56:27	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x9bc753…
08-22 21:56:27	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x12d75c…
08-22 14:57:09	bitcoin up or down on august 22 2026	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xce0bca…
08-15 16:27:55	bitcoin above 64k on august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf5109a…
08-13 15:18:37	bitcoin above 64k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbe4c3d…
08-13 14:38:25	bitcoin above 64k on august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xda866c…
08-12 15:33:31	bitcoin above 64k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x5f897e…
08-12 15:05:19	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x90edb8…
08-10 12:36:36	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x0f58c3…
08-09 11:50:16	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb35aa9…
08-08 15:23:07	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x770a7f…
08-07 15:47:34	bitcoin up or down on august 7 2026	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5db2b3…
08-07 15:02:39	bitcoin up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xf87172…
08-01 12:06:24	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xe06fd4…
08-01 12:03:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x455b74…
08-01 11:48:02	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x77d5e6…
07-31 02:41:50	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x287f31…
07-31 02:23:20	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x28de17…
07-30 08:52:48	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x934e7a…
07-30 08:45:00	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xd2bddf…
07-29 15:42:20	bitcoin above 64k on july 29 2026	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7b188b…
07-29 15:41:05	bitcoin above 64k on july 29 2026	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xdf1f32…
07-29 15:16:14	bitcoin above 64k on july 29 2026	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x3077cd…
07-29 15:06:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xae23da…
07-29 15:00:05	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc41275…
07-29 03:34:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb46b3e…
07-29 02:44:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb7d92a…
07-29 02:37:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x6a7a0f…
07-28 16:43:52	bitcoin above 64k on july 29 2026	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x89a55d…
07-28 15:50:59	bitcoin above 64k on july 28 2026	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x5aee15…
07-28 15:50:08	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xff0bba…
07-28 03:31:31	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x368f32…
07-28 02:26:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb23253…
07-28 02:09:46	bitcoin above 64k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xd362d6…
07-27 03:29:34	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x8a6057…
07-27 03:19:39	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x89a464…
07-27 03:16:55	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf22e3f…
07-26 04:50:54	bitcoin up or down on july 26 2026	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x5c9e9a…
07-24 17:29:33	bitcoin above 64k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1c2b77…
07-24 12:53:12	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x10202f…
07-24 12:48:31	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa3e10e…
07-23 03:10:04	bitcoin above 66k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf5d7e7…
07-23 03:08:54	bitcoin above 66k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9533dd…
07-22 09:30:34	bitcoin above 66k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x326ded…
07-20 15:29:43	bitcoin above 66k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xe870d7…
07-19 15:46:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x6d43fa…
07-19 11:25:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x5ee68b…
07-19 11:24:43	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x94c8c1…
07-19 11:24:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x2c7cd3…
07-15 03:08:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xe43d87…
07-15 03:01:46	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xaa1f50…
07-15 02:59:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x3282c2…
07-14 17:16:34	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xe26440…
07-14 17:16:05	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9d2862…
07-14 17:15:40	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xbb354f…
07-11 15:49:05	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0x9d8ad5…
07-11 15:47:19	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xaf775d…
07-11 15:46:41	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf56d72…
07-11 15:46:34	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xdaf21f…
07-11 03:18:55	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xd52741…
07-11 03:18:46	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xf806d1…
07-10 18:19:34	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa8f9e4…
07-10 18:17:58	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xea3185…
07-10 18:17:40	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0fb972…
07-10 18:17:28	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x365143…
07-09 16:36:35	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1b897f…
07-09 16:36:20	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x50cebe…
07-09 16:35:38	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x56b541…
07-09 10:37:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x935009…
07-09 10:36:38	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xda6ec4…
07-09 10:34:43	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x809241…
07-09 10:30:56	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x6d36e3…
07-07 16:25:37	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x29565e…
07-07 16:25:23	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xac69de…
07-07 16:24:58	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa92bef…
07-07 16:24:52	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xcd55d7…
07-06 04:05:37	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb30dc8…
07-06 03:34:08	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x834121…
07-06 03:33:58	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x446114…
07-04 13:39:04	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7999e3…
07-04 13:38:40	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xacb592…
07-04 08:45:41	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd79608…
07-04 08:45:23	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8d1623…
07-04 08:45:10	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9a2801…
07-04 08:44:37	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x04534f…