Academic-Exhaustion-Siege — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$528

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

946

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 05-11 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

75% 0% $-528

Politics

24% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	48	$4.3K	20,438	7,805	+12,633	open	—	03-02 09:23
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	4	$2.5K	2,522	2,522	+0	open	—	04-09 13:37
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	12	$1.9K	16,514	16,293	+221	open	—	04-21 19:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	13	$1.8K	2,417	2,417	+0	open	—	05-06 16:04
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	41	$1.5K	13,800	3,800	+10,000	open	—	04-22 05:25
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	26	$1.5K	13,115	13,115	+0	open	—	03-31 15:08
us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	19	$1.2K	40,712	0	+40,712	open	—	04-11 14:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	24	$621	8,556	8,556	+0	open	—	05-09 01:34
spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	11	$605	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	03-30 12:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$570	430	2,000	-1,570	open	—	03-29 04:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	13	$396	18,284	0	+18,284	Down	$-396	05-11 13:29
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	1	$256	12,208	0	+12,208	open	—	04-13 14:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	9	$186	67,263	0	+67,263	open	—	04-24 13:30
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	279	$114	18,714	18,714	+0	open	—	03-28 11:38
spx opens up or down on april 14 2026	2	$110	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-14 13:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	4	$110	10,000	0	+10,000	Up	$-110	05-08 13:18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	4	$100	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-27 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	2	$100	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	05-01 13:21
spx opens up or down on april 16 2026	12	$100	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-16 13:30
spx opens up or down on april 1 2026	1	$91	9,078	0	+9,078	open	—	04-01 11:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	7	$77	19,667	19,667	+0	Up	$-4	05-06 14:05
spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	34	$60	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	04-13 19:07
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	6	$57	5,650	471	+5,179	open	—	04-29 23:11
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	342	$51	30,471	10,323	+20,148	open	—	03-31 19:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$50	6,300	6,300	+0	open	—	04-08 12:13
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	13	$38	1,419	1,419	+0	open	—	04-15 00:09
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$24	12,150	12,150	+0	open	—	03-07 04:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	2	$18	1,629	0	+1,629	Up	$-18	05-07 13:27
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	8	$12	6,070	0	+6,070	open	—	03-23 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 13:29:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	355	0¢	$1	0x67acc8…
05-11 13:29:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	140	0¢	$0	0xa209c6…
05-11 13:29:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	4,000	0¢	$8	0x2a36af…
05-11 13:28:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	9,011	1¢	$99	0x06f37c…
05-11 13:28:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x52f4ac…
05-11 13:28:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	504	1¢	$6	0x388d02…
05-11 13:28:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	404	1¢	$4	0x04eaf3…
05-11 13:28:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x95e077…
05-11 13:20:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	460	3¢	$14	0x054258…
05-11 13:13:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	107	8¢	$9	0x84bc27…
05-11 13:13:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	223	8¢	$18	0x4e6cfe…
05-11 13:11:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc51eaf…
05-11 13:11:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	2,991	8¢	$236	0x1c432b…
05-09 01:34:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	227	2¢	$6	0x0d84b2…
05-09 01:34:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x6b0f2c…
05-09 01:29:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$10	0x9fabca…
05-09 01:28:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$2	0x2222b3…
05-09 01:27:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$10	0xa9a966…
05-09 01:24:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x8e312a…
05-09 01:24:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x2f7b5d…
05-09 01:24:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xdd9e92…
05-09 01:24:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xa0fd05…
05-09 01:24:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xc14057…
05-09 01:22:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,059	2¢	$26	0xb4fff6…
05-09 00:52:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3,253	2¢	$81	0xaee621…
05-09 00:32:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x33c50b…
05-09 00:19:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	371	2¢	$9	0x8b6657…
05-09 00:19:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,488	2¢	$37	0x3def12…
05-09 00:19:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x12de93…
05-09 00:14:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x9b45cc…
05-09 00:13:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	983	2¢	$25	0xbe9970…
05-08 13:24:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,053	5¢	$201	0x5b99c8…
05-08 13:18:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	9,718	1¢	$107	0x3610fd…
05-08 13:18:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x01608f…
05-08 13:18:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xa64981…
05-08 13:17:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0xbbb5cc…
05-08 13:00:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xa401a8…
05-08 12:59:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x3a21c5…
05-08 12:59:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	720	5¢	$33	0x8488ae…
05-08 12:59:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,503	5¢	$160	0x62d8cb…
05-08 12:59:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x035272…
05-07 13:27:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	59	1¢	$0	0xff9400…
05-07 13:01:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	1,570	1¢	$17	0xd8a495…
05-06 16:04:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	2,174	56¢	$1,218	0xcf852e…
05-06 16:03:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	242	57¢	$138	0x644f59…
05-06 14:05:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	18,243	0¢	$18	0xc6a0f7…
05-06 13:28:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa3120b…
05-06 13:28:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	529	0¢	$1	0x4bca93…
05-06 13:28:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	5,205	0¢	$10	0x6d7042…
05-06 13:27:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	12,459	0¢	$12	0x4a4eca…
05-06 10:20:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	1,424	1¢	$19	0x08ef1f…
05-06 09:07:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	1,424	1¢	$17	0xb9b0da…
05-05 06:18:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x4fe063…
05-05 06:12:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb26f5e…
05-05 06:08:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0x4eb94d…
05-05 06:06:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x846f4f…
05-05 05:49:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x5af2bc…
05-05 03:18:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x8af15c…
05-05 03:14:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x1066ff…
05-05 03:11:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0xb2d1b8…
05-05 02:53:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf4b297…
05-05 02:41:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x013489…
05-05 02:35:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	2,040	20¢	$408	0x85cde2…
05-01 13:21:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	9,912	1¢	$99	0xbf1157…
05-01 13:16:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0xb3af38…
04-29 23:11:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Up	SELL	130	0¢	$0	0xc85d56…
04-29 19:30:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Up	SELL	217	0¢	$0	0xe67e0e…
04-29 19:29:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Up	SELL	116	0¢	$0	0xea83be…
04-29 19:29:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Up	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x7fd913…
04-29 13:30:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	3,173	1¢	$32	0x984271…
04-29 13:30:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	2,477	1¢	$25	0x0c2ff8…
04-27 13:30:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	2,557	1¢	$26	0xff2b89…
04-27 13:30:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	631	1¢	$6	0x5d1a81…
04-27 13:30:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	2,600	1¢	$26	0xf9dae4…
04-27 13:30:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	4,212	1¢	$42	0xbfed81…
04-24 13:30:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	30,314	0¢	$30	0xbd091a…
04-24 13:30:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	3,333	0¢	$3	0x5bae53…
04-24 13:30:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	503	0¢	$1	0x17b476…
04-24 13:30:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	14,000	0¢	$14	0x3ca8a1…
04-24 13:29:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	1,850	0¢	$2	0xbe7e2c…
04-24 13:19:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x3ecbf6…
04-24 13:12:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	7,192	0¢	$36	0x40c0f7…
04-24 13:10:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x96330d…
04-24 13:06:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8a87e7…
04-22 05:25:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	3,800	6¢	$228	0xd1b4a6…
04-21 19:12:38	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Down	SELL	13,457	0¢	$13	0x0c72e3…
04-21 13:30:06	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	1,126	1¢	$11	0xaf777c…
04-21 13:29:52	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	8,345	1¢	$83	0x1e18d4…
04-21 13:29:32	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	3,598	2¢	$68	0x6efab5…
04-21 13:29:00	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8ead5f…
04-21 13:28:48	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	527	1¢	$5	0xdf6f8c…
04-21 08:49:08	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Down	SELL	800	24¢	$190	0x56f393…
04-21 08:42:30	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Down	SELL	2,036	30¢	$616	0x1a31ad…
04-21 07:20:52	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	38	34¢	$13	0xd2f30d…
04-21 07:20:08	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	1,418	34¢	$484	0x4fa559…
04-21 07:15:26	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0x23d59b…
04-21 07:05:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	3,800	15¢	$576	0x10e0b4…
04-21 07:04:56	spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	1,160	29¢	$335	0xa5aa6f…
04-19 08:13:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	1,657	6¢	$99	0xe18468…
04-19 05:19:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	460	6¢	$28	0x7e48fc…