Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$223

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$123

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-25 04:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Sports

49% 80% -$79

Other

23% 92% -$11

Politics

14% 71% -$237

Tech

10% 50% +$103

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba mil bos 2026 02 01	1	$430	500	+500	Celtics	+$70	02-01 01:42
nba ind nyk 2026 02 10	1	$420	500	+500	Pacers	-$420	02-10 20:18
nba dal hou 2026 01 31	1	$395	500	+500	Rockets	+$105	02-01 01:21
nba dal phx 2026 02 10	1	$375	500	+500	Suns	+$125	02-10 20:19
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$345	449	+449	Yes	+$105	02-10 20:21
will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	1	$190	200	+200	Yes	+$10	02-26 10:53
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$186	200	+200	Yes	-$186	02-26 10:52
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 21:29
will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 21:26
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 21:29
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 21:30
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 21:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 21:28
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 21:31
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$73	73	+73	No	+$0	03-28 21:32
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	02-26 10:54
will silver si hit high 160 by end of february 597 366 984 937	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	02-26 10:55
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	1	$59	100	+100	Volkanovski	+$41	02-01 01:24
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1	$51	100	+100	No	-$51	01-25 08:54
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$23	100	+100	Yes	-$23	01-25 08:55
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	10-25 04:09
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	09-18 05:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	08-14 19:21
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	07-11 08:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	06-08 22:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	05-02 06:50
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	04-11 06:51
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$1	400	+400	Yes	-$1	03-28 21:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 04:09:50	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xb762a6…
09-18 05:20:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xcaaf87…
08-14 19:21:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7c8d81…
07-11 08:05:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0845af…
06-08 22:38:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x81ad6a…
05-02 06:50:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x809f38…
04-11 06:51:37	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb91c76…
03-28 21:32:26	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xaaac99…
03-28 21:31:58	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbb6562…
03-28 21:31:14	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	No	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xe7d057…
03-28 21:30:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x77b155…
03-28 21:29:46	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdbe00c…
03-28 21:29:20	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5159e5…
03-28 21:29:02	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x065e1a…
03-28 21:28:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeddd75…
03-28 21:26:32	will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x27e4a8…
02-26 10:55:32	will silver si hit high 160 by end of february 597 366 984 937	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xc80b3a…
02-26 10:54:50	will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xcaf9ab…
02-26 10:53:42	will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xb70c59…
02-26 10:52:32	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xfe5a8c…
02-10 20:21:33	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	449	77¢	$345	0x772ca4…
02-10 20:19:41	nba dal phx 2026 02 10	Suns	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x933326…
02-10 20:18:49	nba ind nyk 2026 02 10	Knicks	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0xc8d03b…
02-01 01:42:06	nba mil bos 2026 02 01	Celtics	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0xb9bf6a…
02-01 01:24:02	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	Volkanovski	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x79d02f…
02-01 01:21:22	nba dal hou 2026 01 31	Rockets	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0x470684…
01-25 08:55:50	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x117c4c…
01-25 08:54:48	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x3a5195…