Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.98K

Unrealized P&L

-$839

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$29.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$435

Open exposure

$446

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 11-04 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

97% 31% +$4,464

Other

1% 0% -$420

Crypto

1% 33% -$61

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No		+2,239	$596	18¢	$414	-$182	11-04 21:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No		+1,604	$690	2¢	$32	-$658	11-04 15:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$14.4K	10,936	10,936	+0	Yes	+$7,408	10-28 21:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$5.9K	9,333	9,333	+0	open	—	10-28 18:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	9	$1.8K	6,416	4,812	+1,604	open	—	11-04 15:24
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	7	$1.3K	5,816	0	+5,816	No	-$1,260	11-04 01:21
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$1.1K	3,208	2,406	+802	No	-$399	11-04 00:21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$800	9,011	0	+9,011	Yes	-$800	10-26 21:12
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$643	10,730	10,730	+0	No	-$557	10-29 20:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	2	$596	2,239	0	+2,239	open	—	11-04 21:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	2	$482	1,786	1,786	+0	open	—	11-03 21:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$437	408	408	+0	No	+$37	03-09 20:45
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	1	$400	8,465	0	+8,465	No	-$400	10-28 09:20
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$220	1,224	0	+1,224	No	-$220	03-09 20:46
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$175	868	0	+868	Yes	+$693	02-27 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$106	2,109	109	+2,000	Up	+$16	10-26 16:49
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$100	714	0	+714	No	-$100	02-25 00:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$100	1,136	0	+1,136	No	-$100	03-09 09:19
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$100	1,111	0	+1,111	No	-$100	02-25 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$91	2,556	56	+2,500	Down	-$9	10-26 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$55	327	0	+327	Up	-$55	10-26 16:52
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$50	909	0	+909	No	-$50	03-09 09:31
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$50	1,190	0	+1,190	No	-$50	02-25 00:32
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	1	$50	642	0	+642	No	-$50	03-09 09:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$45	74	0	+74	Yes	+$29	04-02 18:20
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$37	119	0	+119	No	-$37	03-09 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$37	83	56	+28	Up	+$44	10-26 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$30	632	0	+632	Up	-$30	10-26 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$25	236	0	+236	Up	-$25	10-26 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	Down	+$8	10-26 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$5	21	0	+21	Up	-$5	10-26 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$5	42	0	+42	Up	-$5	10-26 21:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 21:20:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2,100	26¢	$546	0x1d796d…
11-04 15:24:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	3,463	12¢	$416	0x1578fa…
11-04 15:17:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	833	12¢	$100	0x4dc2f9…
11-04 15:16:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xd1034c…
11-04 15:13:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	507	12¢	$61	0xfb03b9…
11-04 01:21:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xb0ec42…
11-04 01:03:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	277	10¢	$28	0xbb2e88…
11-04 01:03:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xb83f7d…
11-04 01:03:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	10¢	$22	0x5c83a6…
11-04 00:23:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	25¢	$300	0x0bd36e…
11-04 00:21:28	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,406	15¢	$371	0x7eaed7…
11-04 00:02:31	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x84113e…
11-03 21:35:25	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,208	24¢	$770	0x769185…
11-03 21:28:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	2,854	20¢	$571	0xbdc965…
11-03 21:28:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	SELL	1,786	13¢	$232	0x7eca50…
11-03 21:26:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	39	20¢	$8	0xc9e940…
11-03 21:26:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	2,106	20¢	$421	0x509943…
11-03 21:23:48	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,160	25¢	$790	0x3e9199…
11-03 15:37:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x107784…
11-01 17:56:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	1,316	19¢	$250	0x264f2c…
11-01 17:56:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	1,786	14¢	$250	0x8a16f2…
11-01 15:47:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x922bd1…
10-29 20:32:15	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10,730	0¢	$43	0xcf9459…
10-28 21:47:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10,936	100¢	$10,893	0x0e6f90…
10-28 18:14:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	795	46¢	$366	0x6e997c…
10-28 09:20:28	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	8,465	5¢	$400	0x61d469…
10-28 08:43:01	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10,730	6¢	$600	0xd9ca00…
10-28 08:33:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	795	51¢	$406	0x9ec964…
10-27 20:10:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	7,742	30¢	$2,333	0x25dc13…
10-26 21:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe7b3d6…
10-26 21:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x04a0e0…
10-26 21:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xca4df1…
10-26 21:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x950902…
10-26 21:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xa17dab…
10-26 21:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x23c667…
10-26 21:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4018fb…
10-26 21:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1c427d…
10-26 21:12:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	9,011	9¢	$800	0xd998cd…
10-26 16:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3f9938…
10-26 16:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x2cd639…
10-26 16:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x1d478d…
10-26 16:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	109	56¢	$61	0x41fb1f…
10-26 16:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x5e8e41…
10-26 16:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x3225a8…
10-26 16:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	56	74¢	$41	0x6b89e9…
10-26 16:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x58d209…
10-26 16:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	56	48¢	$27	0x8dac3b…
10-26 16:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa6c58c…
10-26 16:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe107af…
10-26 16:33:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	733	30¢	$220	0x5b2d59…
10-25 21:36:39	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,250	32¢	$400	0xb66abf…
10-25 21:30:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	8,953	32¢	$2,865	0x844a01…
10-25 15:01:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,000	29¢	$290	0xce0718…
10-25 14:01:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	8,333	30¢	$2,500	0x3c609a…
04-02 18:20:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	61¢	$45	0xa4bc34…
03-09 20:46:29	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	1,224	18¢	$220	0xb05864…
03-09 20:45:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	408	58¢	$237	0xac0f12…
03-09 09:31:59	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	119	31¢	$37	0xce99d0…
03-09 09:31:35	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	909	6¢	$50	0x6ff75f…
03-09 09:26:21	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	642	8¢	$50	0xdab3fd…
03-09 09:19:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,136	9¢	$100	0x980760…
03-03 01:09:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x42342a…
02-27 14:56:35	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	312	24¢	$75	0x670d68…
02-25 00:32:40	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x21d2fe…
02-25 00:32:28	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x44c6b7…
02-25 00:32:14	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	1,190	4¢	$50	0x83ee66…
02-25 00:31:44	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x95c1cd…