Realized P&L
-$23.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
35.1%
Resolved
267
Trades
1,313
lifetime
Volume
$94.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
$136
12 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 10-30 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Crypto
43% 72% -$946
Politics
33% 29% -$21,813
Other
23% 61% -$320
Sports
1% 86% -$26
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +45 $43 97¢ $44 +$1 10-28 19:29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +40 $38 96¢ $38 +$1 10-30 09:05
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +26 $24 93¢ $24 $0 10-27 20:48
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-29 17:02
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-28 17:29
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-29 16:01
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-28 21:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +5 $5 91¢ $5 $0 10-29 07:10
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 90¢ $4 $0 10-28 16:48
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-28 02:03
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1? Yes +10 $7 2¢ $0 -$7 10-29 16:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +1 $17 1¢ $0 -$17 10-30 08:57