Lumpy-Burn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$436

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-16 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% 0% $-16

Politics

40% 100% +$0

Sports

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	8	$6.6K	4,880	4,880	+0	No	+$0	03-18 21:11
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1240 1279	2	$3.2K	1,751	1,751	+0	open	—	03-18 05:06
will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	3	$3.1K	1,664	1,664	+0	open	—	03-18 08:40
f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	2	$3.0K	1,565	1,565	+0	open	—	03-18 07:53
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	3	$143	1,785	1,785	+0	open	—	03-18 08:27
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	3	$122	1,154	1,154	+0	open	—	03-18 19:36
cs2 nem zerote 2026 03 17 total games 2pt5	3	$97	245	11	+234	open	—	03-17 15:13
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026?	2	$96	1,092	1,092	+0	open	—	03-18 20:08
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	4	$72	816	816	+0	open	—	03-18 07:37
hood up or down on march 17 2026	1	$23	88	0	+88	open	—	03-17 14:18
col1 llf cdf 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	03-17 16:04
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 5.5	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-31 13:51
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5	1	$16	17	0	+17	Under	$-16	05-09 14:54
itsb pal sta 2026 03 17 spread home 2pt5	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	03-17 15:47
wnba sea min 2026 06 06	1	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	06-06 15:06
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 0pt5	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	06-16 13:49
nba phi den 2026 03 17	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	03-17 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 13:49:10	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x8ae700…
06-06 15:06:16	wnba sea min 2026 06 06	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x41bd83…
05-31 13:51:15	SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xc79673…
05-09 14:54:06	VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x27f751…
03-18 21:11:51	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,232	2¢	$30	0xed44ff…
03-18 21:11:51	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	310	2¢	$7	0xc48936…
03-18 21:05:09	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,542	3¢	$43	0x75a77e…
03-18 20:56:23	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	1,601	97¢	$1,553	0xb95dd7…
03-18 20:49:01	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,144	97¢	$1,105	0x8b7eda…
03-18 20:49:01	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	457	97¢	$441	0x43a9d5…
03-18 20:08:23	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,092	4¢	$39	0x809108…
03-18 20:02:41	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,092	5¢	$57	0x47b7df…
03-18 19:54:15	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	1,737	98¢	$1,694	0x0b9ba1…
03-18 19:46:39	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,737	98¢	$1,694	0xde9713…
03-18 19:36:33	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,037	5¢	$54	0xcf7a4a…
03-18 19:36:33	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	5¢	$6	0x4a5d90…
03-18 19:31:05	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,154	5¢	$62	0xba5156…
03-18 08:40:53	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	SELL	1,664	93¢	$1,544	0xef0651…
03-18 08:35:11	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	748	92¢	$691	0x7032b6…
03-18 08:35:11	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	916	92¢	$846	0x1ca9a4…
03-18 08:27:45	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	No	SELL	1,785	4¢	$71	0x75056b…
03-18 08:19:19	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	No	BUY	528	4¢	$21	0x8a098d…
03-18 08:19:19	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	No	BUY	1,257	4¢	$50	0x4ab07e…
03-18 07:53:03	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	SELL	1,565	97¢	$1,518	0x01cd88…
03-18 07:44:19	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	BUY	1,565	97¢	$1,518	0xfd3619…
03-18 07:37:55	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x4264b5…
03-18 07:37:55	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	788	4¢	$35	0x1b99eb…
03-18 07:28:43	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	491	4¢	$22	0x3812f9…
03-18 07:28:41	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	325	4¢	$14	0xb8f4ce…
03-18 05:06:55	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1240 1279	No	SELL	1,751	93¢	$1,621	0x9b6664…
03-18 05:01:17	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1240 1279	No	BUY	1,751	92¢	$1,616	0x9ceaa6…
03-17 16:04:21	col1 llf cdf 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x895db9…
03-17 15:47:35	itsb pal sta 2026 03 17 spread home 2pt5	SS Juve Stabia	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xcb578e…
03-17 15:29:59	nba phi den 2026 03 17	Nuggets	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x88a6ae…
03-17 15:13:57	cs2 nem zerote 2026 03 17 total games 2pt5	Over	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x9750c2…
03-17 15:11:39	cs2 nem zerote 2026 03 17 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa2888f…
03-17 15:09:49	cs2 nem zerote 2026 03 17 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	234	37¢	$87	0x8eb714…
03-17 14:18:35	hood up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	88	26¢	$23	0xdaf64a…