Cluttered-Cut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.1%

Resolved

622

Trades

1,175

lifetime

Volume

$4.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Other

94% 29% -$45

Sports

3% 18% -$57

Crypto

2% 60% +$12

Politics

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	10	$238	593	593	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 22:59
spx up or down on march 16 2026	13	$131	966	832	+134	Up	-$1	03-16 17:59
will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	12	$128	185	185	+0	Yes	-$9	03-18 02:56
rut up or down on march 11 2026	6	$103	283	283	+0	Down	$0	03-11 18:18
will mrbeasts next video get between 49 and 52 million views on day 3	3	$78	58	58	+0	No	$0	03-09 13:14
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	2	$50	56	56	+0	Yes	+$9	03-13 14:03
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 7?	7	$48	102	102	+0	No	+$1	06-07 11:05
sea int juv 2026 02 14 int	2	$47	34	34	+0	Yes	+$17	02-14 21:39
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 80 99	3	$47	66	66	+0	Yes	-$1	03-12 17:38
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	19	$46	333	333	+0	No	-$28	09-01 12:30
spx up or down on march 13 2026	2	$40	166	166	+0	Down	+$0	03-13 17:52
bun uni wer 2026 03 08 wer	2	$35	30	30	+0	Yes	+$15	03-08 17:05
spx opens up or down on march 18 2026	2	$35	266	166	+100	Down	-$2	03-18 12:47
Will France vs. England end in a draw?	5	$32	90	70	+20	No	+$12	07-18 22:47
sea com fio 2026 02 14 total 2pt5	4	$29	31	31	+0	Over	-$1	02-14 15:22
sea laz ata 2026 02 14 total 2pt5	2	$27	21	21	+0	Under	-$1	02-14 18:13
epl tot sun 2026 01 04 total 2pt5	2	$26	17	17	+0	Under	+$3	01-04 16:32
Will Meta reach $680 in April?	2	$25	16	16	+0	Yes	$0	03-10 17:17
fl1 tou rcl 2026 01 02 rcl	4	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	+$5	01-02 21:07
uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 btts	2	$23	15	15	+0	Yes	+$7	03-26 23:25
sea com fio 2026 02 14 draw	8	$23	49	39	+11	No	-$3	02-14 15:44
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	1	$22	40	0	+40	No	-$22	07-19 15:36
sea laz ata 2026 02 14 ata	2	$21	26	26	+0	Yes	$0	02-14 17:27
epl tot sun 2026 01 04 tot	4	$20	16	16	+0	No	+$4	01-04 15:35
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$20	28	28	+0	Yes	+$11	09-10 14:09
fl1 lil sbr 2026 02 14 lil	2	$20	22	22	+0	No	$0	02-14 19:04
lal esp cel 2026 02 14 draw	4	$20	22	22	+0	Yes	+$11	02-14 14:56
acn mli tun 2026 01 03 tun	3	$19	13	13	+0	No	+$5	01-03 20:54
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$19	11	11	+0	No	$0	01-14 20:54
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 7?	2	$19	201	0	+201	No	-$19	06-07 12:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:57:02	Persib Bandung vs. Melbourne Victory FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xf60fcb…
10-28 13:53:08	The Cong - Viettel FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x41bb2a…
10-27 14:03:05	Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xf2ab92…
10-26 20:26:09	Will CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x8718af…
10-26 20:21:18	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x42f0f1…
10-24 19:36:08	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x3d0b60…
10-24 17:08:15	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x106000…
10-04 20:36:14	Will Portugal vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x36c6c8…
10-02 07:41:08	over 45m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x3fc30f…
10-02 06:48:57	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0xb8aee4…
10-02 04:48:30	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x1e3711…
10-01 21:56:33	over 35m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x6efbae…
10-01 20:35:29	Will Greece vs. Netherlands end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x594120…
10-01 20:26:29	Wales vs. Norway: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x617fe1…
10-01 20:25:17	Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc73dae…
10-01 20:25:17	Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5b9f98…
10-01 20:18:05	over 35m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xdacc6d…
10-01 20:17:50	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xc17cf1…
10-01 20:17:38	Will Greece vs. Netherlands end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xd3d7ee…
10-01 12:07:02	Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf378cb…
10-01 10:53:59	over 30m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x1c2c26…
10-01 10:15:20	over 30m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x680c23…
10-01 09:32:02	over 30m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x73be41…
09-30 21:31:02	over 30m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xdeb6f0…
09-30 16:32:00	Lithuania vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	13	79¢	$11	0x32ad6c…
09-30 15:44:12	Lithuania vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x053b45…
09-30 15:40:32	afcq eri sa 2026 09 30 btts	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd1b346…
09-30 07:56:21	Seychelles vs. Sri Lanka: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x858d50…
09-29 20:27:56	Will Slovakia vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x02a2ad…
09-29 20:19:45	Will Slovenia vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xa86290…
09-29 19:57:45	Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x0ce915…
09-29 19:56:41	Will North Macedonia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x5a7db4…
09-29 19:56:17	Will Estonia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xfac287…
09-29 19:51:00	Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xf684dc…
09-26 20:30:08	Will England vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xfa1cea…
09-26 20:28:38	Will Czechia vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xbeac0b…
09-26 20:28:21	Will Czechia vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xf0f28e…
09-26 17:50:32	Will Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x7afd98…
09-26 17:49:38	Will Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x5dee66…
09-26 17:44:23	Will Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xeebd17…
09-19 22:19:32	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tai Tuivasa	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x2fb24f…
09-19 22:18:24	UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Mauricio Ruffy	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xb5931e…
09-19 21:19:48	Will Sporting CP vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0xdce972…
09-19 20:58:48	Will Sporting CP vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xeec0ea…
09-19 11:53:00	Will FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xeb4968…
09-19 11:51:00	Will FC Tōkyō vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xdcf473…
09-18 20:43:58	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xaddf9b…
09-17 21:10:19	Will Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa23f0b…
09-17 20:50:21	Will Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x31dda4…
09-17 20:46:33	Will Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x3a1614…
09-14 21:32:04	Will SC Braga win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xf50606…
09-14 21:27:22	Will SC Braga win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x9b284f…
09-14 21:16:00	Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x265e0b…
09-14 21:03:12	Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x2d7deb…
09-12 20:35:27	Will AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xc0a358…
09-12 20:35:04	Will AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x540ab5…
09-12 20:34:43	Will AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0xc285a2…
09-12 20:34:42	Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xdee89a…
09-12 20:32:15	Will Atalanta BC vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xdd0ba9…
09-10 15:26:40	FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0xd9d45f…
09-10 15:26:10	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x0dde80…
09-10 15:08:22	PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: FK Shakhtar Donetsk O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x8a5102…
09-10 14:14:10	LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x307d9f…
09-10 14:09:24	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	55¢	$15	0x1da2f1…
09-10 11:53:00	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xd439b7…
09-10 11:47:31	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xd6616f…
09-10 11:42:45	LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xf2dc7f…
09-09 18:55:46	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x97ab40…
09-07 21:23:43	Will Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x248105…
09-07 21:00:28	Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xdd0bd9…
09-07 19:13:16	US Open ATP (Doubles): Kiger/Kovacevic vs Arevalo/Pavic	Kiger/Kovacevic	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x111abd…
09-07 19:08:55	US Open ATP (Doubles): Kiger/Kovacevic vs Arevalo/Pavic	Kiger/Kovacevic	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0xb298ec…
09-07 18:12:01	US Open ATP (Doubles): Kiger/Kovacevic vs Arevalo/Pavic	Kiger/Kovacevic	SELL	23	15¢	$3	0x582b87…
09-07 18:12:01	US Open ATP (Doubles): Kiger/Kovacevic vs Arevalo/Pavic	Kiger/Kovacevic	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x22f2d1…
09-07 18:07:51	US Open ATP (Doubles): Kiger/Kovacevic vs Arevalo/Pavic	Kiger/Kovacevic	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x11cd32…
09-06 21:20:48	Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Académico de Viseu FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xf25778…
09-06 20:58:12	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x400750…
09-06 20:56:12	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x567d06…
09-06 20:56:09	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x3797fa…
09-06 20:56:03	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x820f91…
09-06 10:49:36	Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x8865f9…
09-01 17:06:33	Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x4ca400…
09-01 12:30:07	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	SELL	269	0¢	$1	0xa122bf…
09-01 12:14:03	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$1	0x62ebbb…
09-01 12:14:03	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x30af97…
08-31 20:41:15	FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xc475b7…
08-31 20:40:49	FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x1b2787…
08-31 20:25:46	Will Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x4e22c3…
08-31 20:25:42	Will Amed Sportif vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x3c3ea3…
08-31 20:22:48	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xf7a842…
08-31 20:20:49	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x924c66…
08-31 20:20:15	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x0d52b6…
08-30 15:34:55	Real Madrid CF vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0xbf5729…
08-30 14:43:54	Will Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0xb1b4a9…
08-30 14:43:43	Will Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xe00f58…
08-30 14:43:43	Will Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xc0b343…
08-30 14:39:24	Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)	OGC Nice	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x056064…
08-30 14:26:01	Real Madrid CF vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xecff0f…
08-29 12:04:03	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x3c6ae3…
08-29 12:04:00	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x22b69b…