Dismal-Music — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.6%

Resolved

676

Trades

892

lifetime

Volume

$6.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 07-04 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

49% 97% -$8

Sports

24% 0% $0

Crypto

15% 90% +$43

Tech

7% 0% —

Politics

5% 50% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	4	$476	255	255	+0	No	+$0	04-07 07:16
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$466	239	239	+0	open	—	05-13 02:48
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	3	$465	234	234	+0	open	—	05-20 07:13
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-17 House seat?	2	$443	233	233	+0	open	—	05-13 07:20
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	5	$415	210	210	+0	No	+$0	03-26 13:48
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$407	239	239	+0	No	+$0	03-26 07:00
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	2	$404	205	205	+0	No	+$0	05-13 01:15
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$399	205	205	+0	Yes	$0	03-19 07:08
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$392	198	198	+0	No	$0	03-19 08:39
Will Shelley Moore Capito be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	3	$298	156	156	+0	Yes	$0	03-27 02:23
will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	7	$234	130	130	+0	No	$0	03-17 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 29?	117	$184	190	0	+190	No	+$6	05-29 06:19
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	8	$100	0	200	-200	Yes	+$0	03-15 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 29?	43	$63	64	0	+64	No	+$1	05-29 03:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-29 07:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 01:40 UTC	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	03-16 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 3?	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	07-02 21:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 3?	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	07-02 21:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	07-03 18:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 3?	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	07-02 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 3?	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	07-02 18:51
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 04:45 UTC	1	$4	0	7	-7	Down	+$4	04-02 04:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 04:30 UTC	1	$4	0	7	-7	Down	+$4	04-02 04:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 02:30 UTC	2	$4	0	7	-7	Down	+$4	04-02 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 06:15 UTC	1	$4	0	7	-7	Up	+$4	04-02 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 17?	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	06-16 23:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 27?	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	06-27 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on June 27?	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	06-26 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 27?	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	06-27 04:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 04:00 UTC	1	$3	0	6	-6	Down	+$3	04-02 04:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 14:00:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x12f427…
07-04 13:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb88651…
07-04 13:08:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa5b1cb…
07-04 12:17:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4562a5…
07-04 11:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x99a121…
07-04 10:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6967a8…
07-04 10:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7473e9…
07-04 05:25:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2781bf…
07-04 05:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x30c9a5…
07-04 05:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5d1656…
07-04 04:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc76267…
07-04 03:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe1e008…
07-04 03:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xee9027…
07-04 03:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6dcf5a…
07-04 03:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4976e8…
07-04 02:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x27e523…
07-04 02:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 4?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x6581d6…
07-04 02:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe02c84…
07-04 02:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x37a6c8…
07-04 02:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8ce4b8…
07-04 02:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x029fdf…
07-04 02:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5cf277…
07-04 01:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1af561…
07-04 01:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb2c0a6…
07-04 01:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc9d284…
07-04 01:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9a35fa…
07-04 01:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa22f47…
07-04 00:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd2e23d…
07-04 00:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfbaf95…
07-04 00:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaec4e5…
07-04 00:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4fefcb…
07-03 22:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x535138…
07-03 21:25:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd6b2f6…
07-03 18:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe217fc…
07-03 18:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x22e853…
07-03 18:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaf71d7…
07-03 18:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x02a180…
07-03 18:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd21d2a…
07-03 17:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc8f723…
07-03 17:51:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4d33a4…
07-03 17:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x64ac21…
07-03 17:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf41c16…
07-03 17:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x46977a…
07-03 17:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe453ff…
07-03 17:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x52ce29…
07-03 17:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x491126…
07-03 17:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd123f2…
07-03 16:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7c141f…
07-03 16:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1f633c…
07-03 14:13:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x956977…
07-03 13:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb25279…
07-03 13:55:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x51ec3e…
07-03 13:38:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9aed6e…
07-03 13:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcb56f4…
07-03 13:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc8db36…
07-03 13:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x05ea58…
07-03 13:04:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0539e9…
07-03 12:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x26abd3…
07-03 11:43:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb01d81…
07-03 11:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfea242…
07-03 07:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x089582…
07-03 05:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd89f0c…
07-03 05:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfaa30b…
07-03 05:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb2d04e…
07-03 05:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa106b…
07-03 05:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x710a9d…
07-03 04:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x70a39b…
07-03 04:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe9db37…
07-03 04:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x097ca9…
07-03 04:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x61b3a9…
07-03 03:31:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x65e7b2…
07-03 03:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x89ecf7…
07-03 03:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x390421…
07-03 02:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4794f5…
07-03 02:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x21c901…
07-03 02:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcbe268…
07-03 02:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1e8807…
07-03 02:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x06ac6b…
07-03 01:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc69c0e…
07-03 01:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x290534…
07-03 01:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf4ce23…
07-03 01:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb99763…
07-03 01:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x181ba5…
07-03 01:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x07cbb9…
07-03 00:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x764ef2…
07-03 00:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4b41bb…
07-03 00:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6f197d…
07-03 00:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe9f9f9…
07-02 23:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc6f3a0…
07-02 23:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x48e3eb…
07-02 23:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc2a205…
07-02 21:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdfe317…
07-02 21:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeec66f…
07-02 18:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1a31f2…
07-02 18:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa819c9…
07-02 17:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x656f2c…
07-02 17:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdecaae…
07-02 17:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc0a715…
07-02 17:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc96df6…
07-02 15:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xff08ab…