Sad-Income — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

16.0%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$51.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$506

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-12

last 05-13 18:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

75% 36% -$14

Sports

20% 50% +$0

Politics

4% 60% +$26

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+304	$23	2¢	$6	-$17	05-13 18:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	7	$23.8K	13,170	13,170	+0	No	-$4	02-12 13:40
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$8.5K	4,353	4,353	+0	No	+$0	02-12 11:44
GTA VI released before June 2026?	3	$8.5K	4,390	4,390	+0	No	+$0	02-12 13:50
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	4	$4.5K	2,256	2,256	+0	Yes	+$0	02-12 12:56
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$1.6K	858	858	+0	No	+$0	02-12 12:34
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	22	$659	1,313	1,009	+304	open	—	05-13 18:35
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	8	$457	479	479	+0	No	+$4	04-26 09:24
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$381	212	212	+0	No	+$2	04-26 17:22
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$375	227	226	+1	Yes	-$4	04-22 23:04
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	3	$371	208	208	+0	No	+$0	04-23 04:08
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	5	$370	211	211	+0	No	-$1	04-24 23:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	3	$359	235	235	+0	No	+$27	04-21 16:26
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	8	$290	596	596	+0	No	-$1	03-23 03:58
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 380 399	5	$259	137	137	+0	No	$0	03-24 05:01
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	2	$204	8,510	8,510	+0	No	+$0	02-12 09:23
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	2	$199	101	101	+0	No	+$0	03-20 13:10
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$130	71	71	+0	Yes	+$1	03-21 11:34
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$96	270	270	+0	No	+$0	04-02 17:58
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$80	284	284	+0	No	+$0	04-04 17:28
will trevor win the legend trade series	3	$11	70	0	+70	No	-$11	04-14 05:35
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 400 419	2	$3	71	71	+0	No	$0	03-25 22:31
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 440 459	3	$3	106	106	+0	No	+$0	03-26 04:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 18:35:20	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	304	7¢	$22	0x728a5c…
05-13 15:40:46	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0xee5a8f…
05-13 14:01:52	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	77	93¢	$71	0xecc3d1…
05-13 14:01:52	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0xe26446…
05-13 14:01:52	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	65	93¢	$60	0xdab44f…
05-13 10:18:17	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	94	92¢	$87	0x991e94…
05-13 10:18:17	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	113	92¢	$104	0x20678c…
05-13 05:06:36	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0x765893…
05-13 03:59:42	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x377d21…
05-13 03:59:40	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x0656fb…
05-13 01:47:04	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	7¢	$8	0x489ef2…
05-13 01:47:03	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	7¢	$14	0xb56e54…
05-12 21:24:01	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	7¢	$21	0x509507…
05-12 14:45:24	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x5a5477…
05-12 14:45:24	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	75	93¢	$70	0x2a8bce…
05-12 11:49:52	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0x83b4fd…
05-12 10:01:47	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xb00a2c…
05-12 10:01:47	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	7¢	$8	0x6e2c31…
05-12 10:01:47	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	7¢	$5	0x61178f…
05-12 10:01:47	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	7¢	$7	0x24ea62…
05-12 10:01:45	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	7¢	$7	0x06a318…
05-12 07:10:17	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	384	7¢	$28	0x5e026d…
04-26 17:22:20	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	190	90¢	$172	0xe7a518…
04-26 15:23:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x4da7e1…
04-26 09:25:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	212	89¢	$189	0x2b82d9…
04-26 09:24:22	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	63	45¢	$28	0x2dbf08…
04-26 09:24:20	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	200	45¢	$89	0xb52a38…
04-25 03:53:06	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	104	43¢	$44	0x8fae1b…
04-25 03:53:04	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	159	43¢	$68	0xeb78f0…
04-24 23:20:42	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	SELL	103	88¢	$90	0xfe67b5…
04-24 23:20:42	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	SELL	108	88¢	$94	0xbda15d…
04-24 19:33:06	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0xbe7d55…
04-24 19:33:06	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	BUY	169	88¢	$149	0x397142…
04-24 19:33:06	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x114dca…
04-23 04:08:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	85	89¢	$76	0xa6acc0…
04-23 04:08:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	123	89¢	$110	0x539921…
04-23 03:47:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	208	89¢	$185	0x272b65…
04-22 23:04:24	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	127	82¢	$104	0xc95842…
04-22 23:04:24	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	99	82¢	$81	0xb8bc81…
04-22 21:27:28	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	84¢	$29	0x3e0590…
04-22 21:27:22	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x49280d…
04-22 21:25:48	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	182	84¢	$152	0x138ac7…
04-22 21:23:16	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	216	52¢	$113	0xb5a75f…
04-22 08:37:08	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	72	53¢	$38	0xfee764…
04-22 08:37:08	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	72	53¢	$38	0x7a42f9…
04-22 08:37:08	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	72	53¢	$38	0x3e10af…
04-21 16:26:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	235	82¢	$193	0xde77a5…
04-21 09:22:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	131	70¢	$92	0x1a990b…
04-21 09:22:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	104	70¢	$73	0x03e099…
04-14 05:35:21	will trevor win the legend trade series	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0xff526a…
04-14 05:35:21	will trevor win the legend trade series	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xfaf4ad…
04-14 05:35:21	will trevor win the legend trade series	Yes	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0x4368a3…
04-04 17:28:55	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	218	14¢	$31	0xfbb259…
04-04 17:28:55	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	66	14¢	$9	0xdccf04…
04-04 14:09:25	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	284	14¢	$40	0x95b6f2…
04-02 17:58:49	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	270	18¢	$48	0xe19761…
04-02 14:57:17	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	270	18¢	$48	0xc7e26d…
03-26 04:33:47	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 440 459	Yes	SELL	106	1¢	$1	0x9eff7f…
03-26 02:30:53	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 440 459	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$1	0xa99a47…
03-26 02:30:53	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 440 459	Yes	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0x89ee06…
03-25 22:31:05	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 400 419	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$2	0xc484ad…
03-25 20:02:09	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 400 419	Yes	BUY	71	2¢	$2	0x791e9f…
03-24 05:01:07	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 380 399	No	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x5cf56b…
03-24 05:00:21	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 380 399	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0xe43365…
03-24 05:00:21	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 380 399	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x3aae67…
03-24 03:20:41	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 380 399	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0xefbc9b…
03-24 03:20:41	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 380 399	No	BUY	98	95¢	$93	0x59d981…
03-23 03:58:13	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0xf4a703…
03-23 02:15:23	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0xdd2b8b…
03-23 02:15:23	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x0ed6d1…
03-22 23:27:49	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0xcd7a8f…
03-22 16:27:01	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xea001e…
03-22 16:27:01	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	287	3¢	$9	0xde8f59…
03-22 16:27:01	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	135	3¢	$4	0x233532…
03-22 13:33:31	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	462	3¢	$15	0x30d769…
03-21 11:34:13	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	71	92¢	$66	0x7a8fb5…
03-21 08:16:41	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	71	91¢	$65	0x5eedb3…
03-20 13:10:23	will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x35db34…
03-20 07:35:27	will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xefc2c8…
02-12 13:50:59	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	4,390	97¢	$4,254	0xdcb693…
02-12 13:46:21	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	762	97¢	$738	0xaa98dd…
02-12 13:46:21	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	3,628	97¢	$3,516	0x000ddd…
02-12 13:40:39	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	SELL	4,341	90¢	$3,920	0xc91ed5…
02-12 13:38:41	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	BUY	4,341	90¢	$3,920	0x80522b…
02-12 12:56:07	Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	SELL	519	99¢	$514	0xb86bd7…
02-12 12:56:07	Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	SELL	1,737	99¢	$1,718	0x3c69a6…
02-12 12:54:21	Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	BUY	1,226	99¢	$1,213	0xc283a0…
02-12 12:54:21	Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	BUY	1,030	99¢	$1,018	0xa9e966…
02-12 12:34:31	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	221	94¢	$209	0x721661…
02-12 12:34:31	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	637	94¢	$602	0x39139b…
02-12 12:31:23	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	858	94¢	$811	0x51d7db…
02-12 12:19:09	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	SELL	2,304	90¢	$2,078	0xcb2d53…
02-12 12:19:09	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	SELL	2,884	90¢	$2,601	0x6f8880…
02-12 12:16:31	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	BUY	5,188	90¢	$4,680	0xc36c62…
02-12 12:09:49	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	SELL	3,641	90¢	$3,284	0xc918b3…
02-12 12:07:59	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	BUY	3,641	90¢	$3,288	0x589042…
02-12 11:44:19	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	701	98¢	$686	0xf9be12…
02-12 11:44:19	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	3,652	98¢	$3,572	0x643ec4…
02-12 11:40:41	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	4,353	98¢	$4,257	0x40c484…
02-12 09:23:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	SELL	8,510	1¢	$102	0x626ef3…