Mushy-Lending — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$248

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

595

lifetime

Volume

$153.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$257

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-18 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

39% 100% +$23

Crypto

31% 100% +$225

Politics

30% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$23.1K	15,490	7,745	+7,745	open	—	04-13 09:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	81	$20.5K	13,965	8,313	+5,653	open	—	05-29 09:41
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	14	$10.8K	5,699	5,128	+571	open	—	05-14 23:02
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$10.2K	10,287	0	+10,287	open	—	04-07 23:54
cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	107	$9.3K	5,333	5,333	+0	open	—	06-08 19:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	27	$7.7K	6,500	6,295	+205	open	—	06-14 22:54
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$7.7K	7,700	0	+7,700	Yes	+$23	05-03 11:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$7.1K	7,189	0	+7,189	open	—	06-03 14:44
cs2 g2a yn 2026 06 10	6	$7.1K	3,586	3,586	+0	open	—	06-10 14:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	12	$5.9K	7,539	0	+7,539	open	—	06-15 07:58
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	11	$5.4K	3,010	3,010	+0	open	—	05-22 22:14
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$4.2K	2,560	1,700	+860	open	—	05-20 07:18
worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	6	$3.9K	3,914	3,914	+0	open	—	06-08 19:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	24	$3.3K	1,317	3,516	-2,200	open	—	06-11 21:15
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	9	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	06-12 19:58
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	87	$2.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	04-12 19:29
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	3	$2.6K	2,645	0	+2,645	open	—	06-02 01:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	20	$2.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-22 18:04
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	5	$1.8K	1,836	0	+1,836	open	—	05-29 15:35
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	7	$1.6K	2,030	2,010	+20	open	—	05-22 17:47
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	45	$1.5K	15,552	15,552	+0	open	—	06-08 10:26
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$1.5K	1,070	421	+649	open	—	05-17 21:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	5	$1.2K	1,180	0	+1,180	open	—	05-29 18:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	28	$1.1K	1,578	800	+778	open	—	05-30 00:28
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	2	$1.0K	1,231	0	+1,231	No	+$225	05-11 06:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	3	$977	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	05-22 16:23
lol vit shft 2026 04 12	2	$962	528	525	+3	open	—	04-12 19:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$910	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-18 16:33
val nrg lev1 2026 06 08	5	$872	500	500	+0	open	—	06-08 19:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	9	$781	600	400	+200	open	—	05-26 02:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 16:33:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	600	15¢	$90	0x245d17…
06-16 23:10:59	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xed0e20…
06-15 07:58:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	383	86¢	$331	0xc9d149…
06-15 07:48:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$14	0xb2d398…
06-14 23:16:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,576	82¢	$1,284	0x5f7a19…
06-14 23:16:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	424	82¢	$346	0xe3204d…
06-14 23:10:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	74	82¢	$61	0xdc64a1…
06-14 23:05:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x402d46…
06-14 23:05:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0xe3f1fe…
06-14 23:02:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	950	83¢	$785	0x008996…
06-14 23:02:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,050	83¢	$867	0x49a5ed…
06-14 22:54:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	82	76¢	$62	0x212fc7…
06-14 22:53:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	131	76¢	$100	0xa0fff6…
06-14 22:52:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x2febd4…
06-14 22:50:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xdddeab…
06-14 22:46:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	84	75¢	$63	0xcf43cc…
06-14 22:46:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x3d1216…
06-14 22:46:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	975	75¢	$731	0xc90370…
06-14 22:46:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x58d606…
06-14 22:45:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,918	73¢	$2,136	0x916f86…
06-14 22:45:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	75	73¢	$55	0x8da1a2…
06-14 22:45:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe0e976…
06-14 21:30:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	658	30¢	$197	0xa26d00…
06-14 21:30:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	333	30¢	$100	0x383c73…
06-14 21:30:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	408	30¢	$123	0x5ba163…
06-14 21:06:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	71¢	$355	0xcf686d…
06-14 16:11:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	656	55¢	$361	0xf6d29b…
06-13 19:41:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	66¢	$330	0x13e55e…
06-13 18:52:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	76	71¢	$54	0xd2459e…
06-13 17:34:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	66¢	$330	0x78d2b4…
06-13 17:23:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	212	69¢	$147	0x3a55eb…
06-13 17:15:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	69¢	$7	0x83aa74…
06-13 17:15:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	277	69¢	$191	0x1042f7…
06-13 17:01:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	473	63¢	$298	0x39b658…
06-13 16:55:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x4aeacb…
06-13 16:48:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	49	68¢	$34	0x99118b…
06-13 16:48:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	666	68¢	$453	0x935adc…
06-13 07:18:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	51¢	$510	0x77e9f3…
06-12 19:58:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	SELL	500	97¢	$487	0xd51c2a…
06-12 19:34:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,576	20¢	$315	0xd0503c…
06-12 19:30:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x093723…
06-12 19:30:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	90	20¢	$18	0x90f6d1…
06-12 19:28:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,969	48¢	$945	0xc76bfa…
06-12 19:28:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x4d8817…
06-12 19:23:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	304	20¢	$61	0xbe5487…
06-12 18:47:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	51¢	$510	0x9d26e1…
06-12 18:46:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	52¢	$1,040	0x83ea5b…
06-12 14:58:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	500	97¢	$485	0x38e8c5…
06-12 00:55:28	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	SELL	500	97¢	$485	0x057086…
06-11 22:47:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0x246337…
06-11 22:09:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	SELL	306	96¢	$296	0xf86f0a…
06-11 22:09:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	SELL	194	96¢	$187	0x9abaeb…
06-11 21:21:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	456	96¢	$439	0x6658b5…
06-11 21:18:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf9f819…
06-11 21:17:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x0f8835…
06-11 21:15:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0x9e8506…
06-11 20:26:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	520	67¢	$348	0xe0ff48…
06-11 19:18:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0x5ff3f1…
06-11 17:30:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	374	38¢	$142	0x34cdba…
06-10 14:01:57	cs2 g2a yn 2026 06 10	G2 Ares	SELL	2,987	100¢	$2,984	0x60969e…
06-10 14:00:39	cs2 g2a yn 2026 06 10	G2 Ares	SELL	437	99¢	$433	0xd6ddec…
06-10 14:00:37	cs2 g2a yn 2026 06 10	G2 Ares	SELL	162	99¢	$160	0x9829a4…
06-10 14:00:36	cs2 g2a yn 2026 06 10	G2 Ares	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xfad96b…
06-10 14:00:36	cs2 g2a yn 2026 06 10	G2 Ares	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xdea700…
06-10 14:00:13	cs2 g2a yn 2026 06 10	G2 Ares	BUY	3,520	97¢	$3,414	0xea8522…
06-09 14:14:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	295	38¢	$112	0x738e2e…
06-09 14:08:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xeaedea…
06-09 06:53:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	33¢	$99	0x24bc3d…
06-08 19:47:01	val nrg lev1 2026 06 08	Leviatán Esports	SELL	250	88¢	$220	0x90cb02…
06-08 19:47:00	val nrg lev1 2026 06 08	Leviatán Esports	SELL	162	88¢	$143	0xa4c634…
06-08 19:46:34	val nrg lev1 2026 06 08	Leviatán Esports	BUY	250	86¢	$215	0x48d432…
06-08 19:46:24	val nrg lev1 2026 06 08	Leviatán Esports	BUY	250	87¢	$218	0x113116…
06-08 19:43:19	worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	Infamous	SELL	914	49¢	$448	0x1c4a81…
06-08 19:41:48	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	SELL	541	99¢	$536	0x887007…
06-08 19:40:22	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	SELL	103	96¢	$99	0xed2898…
06-08 19:40:21	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xb5222c…
06-08 19:40:09	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	SELL	115	96¢	$111	0xd0be84…
06-08 19:40:06	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x29959c…
06-08 19:40:04	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x27e0f4…
06-08 19:40:01	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x203df3…
06-08 19:40:00	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x0d4ecd…
06-08 19:39:54	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	SELL	726	96¢	$697	0x4ff6d6…
06-08 19:39:43	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x999a00…
06-08 19:38:57	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	SELL	166	91¢	$151	0x34e316…
06-08 19:38:06	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	SELL	500	90¢	$450	0x612f69…
06-08 19:37:40	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	SELL	150	89¢	$134	0xd4c4e1…
06-08 19:37:31	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	SELL	63	88¢	$55	0x2ca06b…
06-08 19:36:30	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	BUY	71	80¢	$57	0xb890ca…
06-08 19:36:12	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	BUY	250	81¢	$202	0x96c7ac…
06-08 19:34:40	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	BUY	250	82¢	$205	0x570ac9…
06-08 19:33:34	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	BUY	172	83¢	$143	0x084219…
06-08 19:33:25	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0x6d89bb…
06-08 19:33:22	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	BUY	16	83¢	$14	0x173b1f…
06-08 19:33:01	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb70e0a…
06-08 19:30:30	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0xa61262…
06-08 19:30:09	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x341548…
06-08 19:29:19	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	BUY	209	87¢	$182	0x8cea77…
06-08 19:29:12	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	BUY	41	87¢	$36	0x4783c1…
06-08 19:28:49	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	BUY	250	88¢	$220	0xf2b91d…
06-08 19:27:10	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08	Legacy	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x539d44…