Starchy-Ash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

129

Trades

618

lifetime

Volume

$659

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-09 00:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 78% $-8

Other

7% 100% +$0

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No		-1	$-1	84¢	$-1	+$0	06-08 04:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$12	9	5	+3	open	—	05-09 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$8	6	4	+2	Up	+$0	05-14 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	7	$8	8	7	+1	open	—	05-04 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	6	$7	9	8	+0	open	—	04-27 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	6	$6	11	11	+0	open	—	04-29 04:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	5	$6	7	6	+1	open	—	05-04 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	5	$6	6	5	+1	open	—	04-24 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	5	$5	5	4	+1	open	—	04-27 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	5	$5	6	5	+1	open	—	04-26 16:44
btc updown 5m 1776818700	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-22 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$5	6	5	+0	open	—	04-27 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	5	$4	5	7	-2	open	—	05-15 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$4	7	6	+0	open	—	04-24 22:28
eth updown 5m 1776863400	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-22 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	5	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 04:16
eth updown 5m 1776832800	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-22 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$4	4	3	+1	open	—	04-25 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	4	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 02:26
will trump say iran during the white house easter egg roll	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-05 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$4	4	2	+1	Down	$-1	05-10 15:54
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$3	4	3	+1	open	—	05-02 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-25 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$3	4	3	+0	open	—	04-25 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$3	4	3	+1	open	—	04-28 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$3	6	3	+3	open	—	04-27 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$3	5	3	+2	open	—	05-02 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$3	3	1	+1	open	—	05-15 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 00:13:33	world cup any player to score a hat trick 20260608155042800	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x3f6a21…
06-09 00:10:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x343194…
06-09 00:08:49	btc updown 5m 1780963500	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x42b0e2…
06-08 23:53:46	btc updown 5m 1780962600	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x97fd22…
06-08 04:24:07	btc updown 5m 1780892400	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x96b983…
06-08 04:10:46	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x920bff…
06-06 05:25:09	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x53903d…
05-24 01:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb8d5c8…
05-15 23:55:51	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xfe1549…
05-15 23:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xfc2546…
05-15 22:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8f20ca…
05-15 22:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x352cca…
05-15 22:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x646487…
05-15 22:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5bcacd…
05-15 22:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x5a3c6b…
05-15 22:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xef63e7…
05-15 22:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5c4184…
05-15 22:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdc44f7…
05-15 22:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xde581f…
05-15 21:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcb1c44…
05-15 21:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x376e9d…
05-15 21:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2fe1cd…
05-15 21:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf75755…
05-15 21:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfe0ec8…
05-15 21:08:35	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xb37753…
05-15 21:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbd6521…
05-15 21:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x81e225…
05-15 20:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcc5475…
05-15 20:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9580c3…
05-15 20:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x34604a…
05-15 20:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdddeb0…
05-15 20:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2e5372…
05-15 20:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3608ec…
05-15 20:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xedce2e…
05-15 19:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8e6fc7…
05-15 19:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x386091…
05-15 19:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5c5843…
05-15 19:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2009ae…
05-15 19:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4343b6…
05-15 19:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x362f94…
05-15 19:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xede681…
05-15 18:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0c20bd…
05-15 18:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe3a219…
05-15 18:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x04f16c…
05-15 18:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xda8a08…
05-15 18:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd1b35d…
05-15 18:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb090b1…
05-15 18:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x01d68a…
05-15 18:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfaa034…
05-15 18:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0c7d44…
05-15 18:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd6f642…
05-15 18:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0d8e33…
05-15 18:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5a3952…
05-15 18:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcc6a19…
05-15 18:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x394ded…
05-15 05:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa1869a…
05-15 05:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4663a5…
05-15 04:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x90d8ab…
05-15 04:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x51187e…
05-15 04:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc9637d…
05-15 04:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x654b53…
05-15 04:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfe7790…
05-15 04:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3af651…
05-15 04:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4e822b…
05-15 04:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfecb6b…
05-15 04:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1448e7…
05-15 04:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9e882e…
05-15 04:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcd6a7c…
05-15 04:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xcde6ab…
05-15 04:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc98425…
05-14 02:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x8d1447…
05-14 02:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa8b934…
05-13 01:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0c8d15…
05-13 01:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe23cfe…
05-13 01:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xeb65b3…
05-13 01:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4de72b…
05-13 01:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x38f0d8…
05-13 01:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6fcab6…
05-13 01:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x875968…
05-13 01:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x19121b…
05-13 01:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdd147c…
05-13 01:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6eb36a…
05-13 01:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa47017…
05-13 01:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xacbe3b…
05-13 01:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4e69fc…
05-13 00:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9c247b…
05-13 00:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2548e7…
05-13 00:56:19	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5e6783…
05-13 00:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x907600…
05-13 00:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe151e6…
05-13 00:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x840eb5…
05-11 13:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc7842b…
05-11 13:01:38	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6f58fc…
05-10 20:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xeae5dc…
05-10 20:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1308b9…
05-10 20:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbb33e1…
05-10 20:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0ef8a2…
05-10 20:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x95b9b5…
05-10 20:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7163de…
05-10 20:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1918d4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	385	$595	1,503	05-15 23:59
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	377	$46.9K	4,531	06-09 00:09
Favorable-Dawn 0x444f…1469	371	$688	467	05-15 22:35
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	361	$191.3K	13,422	05-15 22:34
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	360	$298.9K	11,869	06-09 00:11
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	359	$111.6K	18,492	06-09 00:09
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	359	$107.9K	31,377	06-09 00:09
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	359	$101.5K	16,736	06-09 00:09