Lawful-Nightlife-Sleet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$341

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

43.4%

Resolved (7d)

1,686

Trades (7d)

5,295

239,809 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$11.5K

$907.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 11-01 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 148 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% +$48,668

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 3573 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	—	+3	$1	98¢	$3	+$1	11-01 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	—	+28	$3	2¢	$0	-$2	11-01 18:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	99	$722	1,667	+1,667	Up	-$476	10-16 01:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 14:15 UTC	81	$588	1,015	+1,015	Down	+$90	04-22 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	31	$530	1,148	+1,148	Down	-$271	09-12 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	23	$511	914	+914	Up	-$381	09-05 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	52	$488	1,049	+1,049	Up	+$449	09-10 00:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 13:30 UTC	89	$486	975	+975	Up	+$122	04-24 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 06:30 UTC	52	$483	941	+941	Up	+$210	08-21 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 13:30 UTC	100	$478	1,108	+1,108	Up	+$74	04-20 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 03:00 UTC	33	$476	824	+824	Up	+$10	04-21 03:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:30 UTC	83	$475	869	+869	Up	-$7	04-22 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 13:45 UTC	64	$466	981	+981	Up	+$39	04-22 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	24	$447	789	+789	Down	+$49	09-07 03:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:30 UTC	53	$420	848	+848	Up	+$237	04-24 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 13:30 UTC	54	$417	947	+947	Down	+$323	04-22 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:00 UTC	57	$411	817	+817	Down	-$188	04-21 15:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 22:45 UTC	16	$395	1,103	+1,103	Up	+$703	08-26 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	28	$386	617	+617	Up	+$45	09-10 00:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:30 UTC	47	$380	2,568	+2,568	Up	-$60	08-24 12:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 03:40 UTC	33	$368	711	+711	Up	+$50	04-23 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 19:50 UTC	28	$367	683	+683	Down	+$17	04-23 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	17	$364	639	+639	Up	+$16	09-07 05:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:05 UTC	34	$361	652	+652	Up	+$29	04-23 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	37	$353	778	+778	Up	-$20	10-16 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:30 UTC	59	$351	764	+764	Up	+$148	04-23 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:35 UTC	56	$351	817	+817	Down	+$267	04-20 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:45 UTC	44	$344	657	+657	Up	+$69	08-25 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	24	$340	671	+671	Up	+$319	09-11 03:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 08:30 UTC	34	$339	1,058	+1,058	Up	+$702	08-22 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:55 UTC	22	$337	841	+841	Up	-$248	04-22 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	41	$335	666	+666	Down	+$67	10-03 23:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 18:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x82fbb6…
11-01 18:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xcf34a3…
11-01 18:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0x6699f9…
11-01 18:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x086fa6…
11-01 18:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xbd8cdd…
11-01 18:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x14bae1…
11-01 18:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb8fe91…
11-01 18:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xc1e9a9…
11-01 18:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xe196f3…
11-01 18:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xf46a2b…
11-01 18:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xfe3b75…
11-01 18:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0xbb6eff…
11-01 18:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x00f2c3…
11-01 18:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x76f7a6…
11-01 18:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0e2237…
11-01 17:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xac2df5…
11-01 17:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$4	0x667d8b…
11-01 17:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x889b20…
11-01 17:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x873192…
11-01 17:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x906dd3…
11-01 17:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x8d6e1f…
11-01 17:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0fda98…
11-01 17:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x56aad7…
11-01 16:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xfee1e4…
11-01 16:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x77b6b2…
11-01 16:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x668e73…
11-01 16:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x0430ce…
11-01 16:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x6a35af…
11-01 16:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xc8ebbb…
11-01 16:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6c7561…
11-01 16:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xb6d443…
11-01 16:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xf0cada…
11-01 16:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x740c69…
11-01 16:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x1c8402…
11-01 16:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x059d41…
11-01 16:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x96307e…
11-01 16:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x97a092…
11-01 16:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x2fd611…
11-01 16:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xb2ef78…
11-01 16:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xa6cc73…
11-01 16:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc82446…
11-01 16:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0xfea0a2…
11-01 16:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x5fa402…
11-01 16:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x9ebb72…
11-01 16:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x2ef24c…
11-01 16:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xabacfe…
11-01 16:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x308b90…
11-01 16:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xe52c2c…
11-01 16:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x74c5cf…
11-01 16:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x50a386…
11-01 16:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x3893d7…
11-01 16:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x50e153…
11-01 16:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1ad082…
11-01 16:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x511512…
11-01 16:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xf915a0…
11-01 16:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x1ffa88…
11-01 16:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x68b538…
11-01 16:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x8d4d1b…
11-01 16:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x26eb70…
11-01 16:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x945dcd…
11-01 16:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x82515c…
11-01 16:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x00a730…
11-01 16:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xcc0768…
11-01 16:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xb4351f…
11-01 16:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x12cf03…
11-01 16:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x579364…
11-01 16:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x58078c…
11-01 15:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x38212e…
11-01 15:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0d2064…
11-01 15:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe10d61…
11-01 15:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x4b2808…
11-01 15:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xab10aa…
11-01 15:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x4907a1…
11-01 15:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xb01ec8…
11-01 15:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x96f2d2…
11-01 15:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$9	0x39c1f3…
11-01 15:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x35b0c8…
11-01 15:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x1ecadb…
11-01 15:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x1081b9…
11-01 15:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x090d3e…
11-01 15:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x81d54c…
11-01 15:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x8028d0…
11-01 15:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x3acc7f…
11-01 15:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7f0b3c…
11-01 15:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0xebf1b9…
11-01 15:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0xac3852…
11-01 15:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0x94ef94…
11-01 15:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x84e193…
11-01 15:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xe256bb…
11-01 15:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3718fd…
11-01 15:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xbfde2f…
11-01 15:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x781108…
11-01 15:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x73ba19…
11-01 15:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x92f400…
11-01 15:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xbf805f…
11-01 15:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x3e55bf…
11-01 15:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x61efdc…
11-01 15:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbc90f6…
11-01 15:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xb15e44…
11-01 15:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x57831c…