Intent-Destination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$202

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-09 06:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

91% 50% -$203

Politics

9% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No		+6	$4	80¢	$5	+$1	09-04 06:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	2	$747	403	403	+0	No	+$0	05-23 06:48
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	3	$711	389	389	+0	open	—	05-21 05:41
Spread: FK Dukla Praha (-1.5)	1	$427	469	0	+469	FC Baník Ostrava	+$42	05-23 06:52
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)	1	$402	428	0	+428	Atalanta BC	+$26	05-22 04:51
Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)	1	$375	403	0	+403	Al Kholood Saudi Club	+$28	05-21 05:43
SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 5.5	1	$319	339	0	+339	Under	+$20	05-24 05:49
lol hrts use1 2026 03 23	1	$189	310	0	+310	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	-$189	03-23 08:49
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	4	$140	699	699	+0	open	—	07-04 08:53
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	13	$140	92	92	+0	Yes	+$1	04-25 08:00
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	6	$123	767	767	+0	open	—	05-26 05:04
Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$91	793	793	+0	No	+$1	05-18 05:29
NATO dissolves before 2027?	3	$73	728	728	+0	open	—	05-19 11:41
Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)	1	$58	834	0	+834	Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC	-$58	05-19 11:43
Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	2	$40	793	0	+793	Pharco FC	-$40	05-18 05:32
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)	2	$33	826	0	+826	Tromsø IL	-$33	05-25 05:49
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	09-04 06:28
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	10-09 06:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 06:23:33	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x606e5a…
09-04 06:28:45	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x735f59…
07-04 08:53:56	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	699	10¢	$70	0xc3297a…
07-04 07:02:23	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x36b382…
07-04 07:01:38	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	359	10¢	$36	0xb719c9…
07-04 07:01:34	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	318	10¢	$32	0x35b3c7…
05-26 05:04:26	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x277c1b…
05-25 05:49:46	Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)	Aalesunds FK	BUY	371	4¢	$15	0xc8cfbf…
05-25 05:49:46	Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)	Aalesunds FK	BUY	455	4¢	$18	0x69a0b4…
05-25 05:42:46	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	758	8¢	$61	0xa9a4c8…
05-25 02:48:12	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xa5b490…
05-25 02:47:55	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	394	8¢	$32	0x88b750…
05-25 02:47:46	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	365	8¢	$29	0x89affa…
05-25 02:47:34	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xa8468d…
05-24 05:49:38	SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	339	94¢	$319	0x1fa851…
05-23 06:52:49	Spread: FK Dukla Praha (-1.5)	FC Baník Ostrava	BUY	469	91¢	$427	0xaadac4…
05-23 06:48:14	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	No	SELL	403	93¢	$374	0x46de98…
05-23 04:30:43	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	No	BUY	403	93¢	$374	0x180225…
05-22 04:51:12	Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)	Atalanta BC	BUY	428	94¢	$402	0x024e59…
05-21 05:43:33	Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Kholood Saudi Club	BUY	403	93¢	$375	0xd957a2…
05-21 05:41:48	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	SELL	369	91¢	$335	0x361e33…
05-21 05:41:37	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xc73c01…
05-21 02:14:22	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	389	92¢	$358	0xb0f0a3…
05-19 11:43:48	Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)	Henan FC	BUY	834	7¢	$58	0x210527…
05-19 11:41:46	NATO dissolves before 2027?	Yes	SELL	728	5¢	$36	0xda77b0…
05-19 09:22:10	NATO dissolves before 2027?	Yes	BUY	381	5¢	$19	0xceb319…
05-19 09:22:03	NATO dissolves before 2027?	Yes	BUY	347	5¢	$17	0xb75269…
05-18 05:32:16	Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	Tala'ea El Gaish SC	BUY	444	5¢	$22	0x0ef74b…
05-18 05:32:14	Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	Tala'ea El Gaish SC	BUY	349	5¢	$17	0x446bae…
05-18 05:29:42	Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	793	6¢	$46	0x6027f3…
05-18 02:08:22	Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	440	6¢	$25	0x532397…
05-18 02:08:16	Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	6¢	$20	0x4ad59d…
04-25 08:00:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xb59f4f…
04-25 07:55:18	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xa175c5…
04-25 07:55:18	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x957c8e…
04-25 07:54:36	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xa95843…
04-25 07:54:32	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xac20c7…
04-25 07:54:30	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x4ed5bd…
04-25 07:53:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xffa7d1…
04-25 07:53:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x4cc10c…
04-25 07:51:18	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x34ac56…
04-25 07:38:36	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xa4d21b…
04-25 07:29:08	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	BUY	42	74¢	$31	0x1dc6b0…
04-25 06:58:48	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xc1f390…
04-25 06:35:18	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xb471ed…
03-23 08:49:47	lol hrts use1 2026 03 23	Team Heretics Academy	BUY	310	61¢	$189	0xc3aba9…