Devoted-Solvency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.55K

Unrealized P&L

-$40

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

1,380

Trades

7,508

lifetime

Volume

$106.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$60

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-17 18:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 61% -$1,346

Other

1% 41% -$136

Politics

0% 100% +$12

Sports

0% 0% -$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 303 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+357	$50	10¢	$34	-$16	07-23 11:16
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		+620	$50	4¢	$26	-$24	10-14 18:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 16:10 UTC	2	$582	400	386	+14	Up	+$196	04-21 16:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 15:05 UTC	4	$492	530	507	+24	Up	+$100	04-23 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	12	$487	442	442	+0	Down	+$313	09-20 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:25 UTC	2	$475	380	367	+13	Up	+$88	04-18 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 18:40 UTC	2	$467	392	378	+14	Down	+$81	04-21 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	6	$456	395	395	+0	Down	+$326	05-06 19:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 00:25 UTC	2	$456	395	381	+14	Down	+$70	04-21 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 00:30 UTC	4	$447	478	459	+19	Up	+$27	04-21 00:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:50 UTC	4	$446	482	461	+20	Down	+$53	04-21 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 00:20 UTC	2	$441	396	382	+14	Up	+$41	04-21 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:00 UTC	3	$431	294	284	+10	Up	+$141	04-17 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$430	397	383	+14	Down	+$30	04-27 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 18:35 UTC	2	$430	411	396	+15	Down	+$45	04-21 18:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 16:05 UTC	2	$424	400	386	+14	Up	+$24	04-21 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 15:50 UTC	4	$414	512	490	+22	Down	+$21	04-23 15:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 19:35 UTC	6	$361	321	308	+13	Down	+$94	04-23 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:25 UTC	4	$355	335	322	+13	Up	+$35	04-24 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:45 UTC	2	$342	240	231	+9	Down	+$111	04-24 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	11	$340	745	745	+0	Down	-$20	05-25 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 16:00 UTC	2	$334	247	237	+11	Down	+$145	04-23 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$328	318	305	+13	Up	+$54	04-27 18:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:00 UTC	3	$325	374	173	+201	Up	-$75	04-22 14:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 19:30 UTC	2	$323	260	251	+9	Down	+$72	04-18 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	15	$303	802	341	+461	Up	-$77	05-18 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 08:05 UTC	2	$291	200	193	+7	Down	+$98	04-20 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	8	$286	420	420	+0	Down	+$176	05-11 18:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 00:40 UTC	2	$284	192	186	+7	Down	+$90	04-21 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 19:20 UTC	2	$281	200	193	+7	Down	+$88	04-18 19:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:25 UTC	4	$278	246	237	+9	Up	+$45	04-21 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:45 UTC	2	$278	192	186	+7	Down	+$85	04-20 09:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 18:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0e9ec0…
10-17 18:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7220e1…
10-17 18:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x102009…
10-17 18:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x59875b…
10-17 18:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x77c045…
10-17 18:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1c4271…
10-17 18:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa01442…
10-17 18:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	79	30¢	$24	0xceb79e…
10-17 18:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x31947f…
10-17 18:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x481906…
10-17 18:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x34091c…
10-17 18:37:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf2bfc3…
10-17 18:37:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x13dd8f…
10-17 18:36:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xa60c39…
10-17 18:35:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3b1d2d…
10-17 11:40:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:40 UTC	Down	SELL	46	57¢	$26	0xac1544…
10-17 11:39:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x8c54f5…
10-17 11:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x90f797…
10-17 11:34:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x74c9af…
10-17 11:34:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8a3d7f…
10-16 02:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfd643e…
10-16 02:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa7b659…
10-16 02:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x332612…
10-16 02:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x2839a7…
10-16 02:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa7b34a…
10-16 02:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x2f4ffb…
10-16 02:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x73721c…
10-16 02:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	54¢	$7	0x2d1b61…
10-16 02:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbce15e…
10-16 02:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	38	38¢	$15	0xc7c021…
10-16 02:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x46f948…
10-16 02:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	28	44¢	$12	0xaeef17…
10-16 02:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xe1888c…
10-16 01:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	48	28¢	$13	0x831f3d…
10-16 01:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x67152a…
10-16 01:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x8d0615…
10-16 01:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	46¢	$12	0x821fcc…
10-16 01:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf92a53…
10-16 01:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	48	55¢	$27	0xb6b39b…
10-16 01:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xf739d8…
10-16 01:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x18875e…
10-16 01:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	147	26¢	$38	0xca9b52…
10-16 01:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe82b70…
10-16 01:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x848dc9…
10-16 01:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x1469d2…
10-16 01:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x875c10…
10-16 01:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x0a61ee…
10-16 01:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	25	62¢	$15	0x1e7da0…
10-16 01:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xe81980…
10-16 01:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	23	47¢	$11	0x53898b…
10-16 01:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd19f0d…
10-16 01:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	47	50¢	$24	0x698342…
10-16 01:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd6050a…
10-16 01:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe67610…
10-16 01:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	42	31¢	$13	0x6a7df2…
10-16 01:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xfb1aae…
10-16 01:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	34	30¢	$10	0x6d4c5b…
10-16 01:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x23735a…
10-16 01:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0x1dcb5f…
10-16 01:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2c43c0…
10-16 01:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	28	27¢	$8	0x4b3a5e…
10-16 01:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x5de8b9…
10-16 01:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf52f00…
10-16 01:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb1b7a9…
10-16 01:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xe1fc43…
10-16 01:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x0dc95d…
10-16 01:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xcb28fc…
10-16 01:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x6029af…
10-16 01:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	94	3¢	$3	0x516fc4…
10-16 01:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xfa4db6…
10-16 01:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x0b5f48…
10-16 01:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x4e995d…
10-16 01:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xaa9bb8…
10-16 01:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	77	47¢	$36	0x801cdb…
10-16 01:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x9fe0b0…
10-16 01:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xeccb08…
10-16 01:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x200433…
10-16 01:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	119	11¢	$13	0x573cfa…
10-16 01:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x83e06e…
10-16 01:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x4ab2ec…
10-16 01:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	152	27¢	$41	0x5c05d9…
10-16 01:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x7baa3a…
10-16 01:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe4f49d…
10-16 01:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xd73135…
10-16 01:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x363423…
10-16 01:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x0b3d4e…
10-16 01:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	172	24¢	$41	0x0809ec…
10-16 01:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x9a838d…
10-16 01:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x03f4ea…
10-16 01:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x80ab88…
10-16 01:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc64a6e…
10-16 01:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3f9e7a…
10-16 01:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	81	45¢	$36	0x4949d7…
10-16 01:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9d5076…
10-16 01:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x29badc…
10-16 01:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xcfafa9…
10-16 01:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	90	53¢	$48	0x45f2a0…
10-16 01:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xe46ff3…
10-16 01:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x32f3ea…
10-16 01:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x030bf7…